Dialling In, 16 - 18 March, 2012
Select your region:
A new round of ENE swell begins to materialise across the NSW coast at relatively low levels on Saturday, pushing up to two to three feet across the most exposed open coasts, grading to a smaller two feet or so across the majority of locations. An early southerly change will rapidly erode surface quality during Saturday morning so seek out sheltered southern corners for the cleanest rideable options.
By Sunday a new SSE windswell emerges as the dominant swell at three to four feet across south facing beaches – still mixing in with underlying ENE swell running at an inconsistent two to three feet across exposed open beaches. A strong southerly flow persists across the region so again seeking out north facing breaks and sheltered southern corners will be your best bet. Beyond that a significant SE or E swell event looms early to mid next week. Check Friday’s update for details.
NE windswell 2ft+ exposed coasts, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: NNE 10 to 20 knots.
ENE swell inconsistent 2 – 3ft most exposed open coasts, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early S change 10 to 20 knots increasing to 15 to 25 knots.
Short range ESE swell around 2ft. Mixing in with inconsistent ENE groundswell around 1 - 2ft+ during the afternoon. WIND: S 15 to 25 knots tending SSE later.
Saturday sees a slight shift in swell direction as a new, longer range pulse of ESE swell fills in across the region. This is generated by a strengthening ESE fetch cranking up towards 20 to 30 knots above the North Island. This should see wave heights hanging in at two to three feet throughout Saturday and there’s plenty more in store into Sunday and early to mid next week.
ESE tradewind swell 3 - 4ft exposed locations, grading to 2 – 3ft inside the points and bays. Easing into the afternoon. WIND: SE 10 to 15 knots.
ESE swell 2 - 3ft+ exposed coasts,. WIND: SSW to SE 10 to 15 knots.
ESE swell 2 - 3ft exposed coasts, SSE windswell building to 3 – 4ft across northern NSW south facing coasts into the afternoon. WIND: SSE 10 to 20 knots increasing to 20 to 30 knots.
Latest weather models continue to show the development of a low pressure trough dropping down into The Bight through the middle of the week, undergoing cyclogenesis on Wednesday and Thursday. The low tracks rapidly down beneath Tasmania, driving some WSW winds off the back of the system late in the week. We should see resulting windswell arriving through the end of the week and start of the weekend. Initially size may be limited on the Surf Coast due to the strong W component of the windswell.
The low drops right down deep into the Southern Ocean below Tasmania on Friday. As it does this it seeks to deepen significantly and a secondary SW fetch is aimed toward our swell window. Resulting groundswell should begin to build from Sunday through the start of next week.
SW swell and ESE windswell. 1ft+ Surf Coast, 2 to 4ft+ open beaches. WIND: NW 15 to 25 knots tending WSW during the morning and SW later.
SW swell. 1 to 3ft Surf Coast, 3 to 5ft open beaches. WIND: SSW 10 to 15 knots.
SW groundswell 2 to 3ft+ Surf Coast, 4 to 5ft+ open beaches. WIND; SSE 5 to 15 knots tending ESE 10 to 20 knots.
The weekend conditions continue to show only modest strength SW swell but we will keep our eye on a new forming system in the south Indian Ocean for early next week. The weekend forecast shows a small new SW swell picking up Saturday and that gives a pulse for the early weekend. The longer period SW swell could push up reinforcement 3-4ft conditions with chance for fun scale sets on open areas. Winds are likely to be northeast through the weekend as high pressure continues to hold south of the state and Lua dissapates over the interior.
SW swell 2 to 3ft Southwest coast: Perth: 0.5ft,. WIND; E 15 to 20 knots tending ESE during the afternoon.
SW swell 3 to 4ft Southwest coast: Perth: 0.5 - 1ft. WIND; ENE 10 to 20 knots, possible light sea breeze later.
SW swell 2 to 3ft Southwest coast: Perth: 0.5ft. WIND; ENE 5 to 15 knots tending light E later.
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