Weekend Surf Forecast 1 - 3 July, 2016

30 Jun 2016 0

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday, 30 June 2016

It’s tax time. For most of us, that means either receiving or paying money to the government. For guys like Rasta, whose board purchases are probably 100% deductible, it provides a great excuse to collect approximately a bazillion of them. Regardless of how this financial year pans out, surfing will continue to provide welcome respite from trials of the daily grind - and for some, from reality altogether.

With that in mind, the outlook for the next few days looks fairly typical of mid-winter. The NSW coast receives a short-lived blast of S swell just in time for the weekend; peaking early Saturday before gradually scaling down from there. Even far northern NSW will benefit from this pulse, but the short-period and acute direction will probably only result in a few ripples across the southern Queensland coast.

Down south, Victoria fares substantially better as energetic SW groundswell and predominant WNW wind-regime produces two consecutive days of clean, mid-sized waves across the Surf Coast – and this pattern will have similarly beneficial effects across South Australia. Over West, a typical abundance of SW swell coincides with mostly favourable winds; starting out very light offshore on Saturday before turning SSE to SE on Sunday.

SEE ALSO: How Good Did The NSW North Coast Look This Week?

The echoes of the early June ENE swell-event across the East Coast continue to reverberate. Photo: CW user Dan Bielich.

The echoes of the early June ENE swell-event across the East Coast continue to reverberate. Photo: CW user Dan Bielich.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
In the wake of a truly remarkable month of June on the wave front, the opening days of July are looking a little more run-of-the-mill. Having said that, it's still the middle of winter and the arrival of a new round of short-range S swell on Saturday morning is still looking reasonably solid across southern exposures. It’s worth making the most of Saturday’s pulse while it lasts.

The low pressure system responsible for the associated, short-range fetch it is forecast to drift east and weaken fairly rapidly during the day – flowing through to a notable drop-off in size into the afternoon. This should see much smaller leftovers in the 2ft range across south facing breaks by Sunday morning, with a further decline following throughout the day.

Friday
Virtually flat. 1ft across exposed beaches, grading flat elsewhere. WIND: W 15-20 knots tending WSW 15-20 knots.

Saturday
Clean offshore fun across southern exposures. Directional S swell 3 - 4ft+ early fading to 2 -3ft+ across south facing beaches during the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 15-20 knots tending W 5-10 knots.

Sunday
Small to tiny under lighter offshores. Directional S swell. 2ft across south facing beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WNW 5-10 knots tending NW 5-10 knots.

SEE ALSO: Fanning Surfs First Wave Back At JBay

Friday looks flat, but we're back in business on Saturday as a new, short range S swell peaks during the morning. Photo: CW user 1to9.

Friday looks flat, but we're back in business on Saturday as a new, short range S swell peaks during the morning. Photo: CW user 1to9.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A continuation of a more typical winter pattern continues to lend the focus to northern NSW locations, with the onset of a fairly mediocre round of directional S swell offering up 3ft waves at the more exposed breaks.

The short period and acute southerly direction associated with this episode doesn’t present much hope for southern Queensland beyond 1ft waves at the magnets. So if you scored epic waves during the huge ENE swell earlier this month, then you might want to just sit back, close your eyes and replay some of those rides in the minds eye this weekend.

Friday
Do your tax. Small SE swell. 1-2ft across exposed beaches, grading flat inside points and bays. WIND: W 15-20 knots easing to 10-15 knots.

Saturday
Sleep in. Then drive south. Directional S swell. Smaller early around 1 – 2ft northern NSW southern exposures, picking up to 2 – 3ft during the morning. Grading to 1ft max across exposed QLD beaches ad flat elsewhere. WIND: SW 10-15 knots tending S 10-15 knots.

Sunday
Worth a paddle south of the border. S swell. Directional S swell. 2-3ft across Nth NSW south facing beaches, grading to 1ft or flat across southern QLD coasts. WIND: WSW 5-10 knots tending light and variable.

SEE ALSO: Your July Surf Horoscopes Right Here

It could be some time yet before Queensland's points return to form. Photo: CW user Mike BJ.

It could be some time yet before Queensland's points return to form. Photo: CW user Mike BJ.

Victoria
With the exception of moderate SW winds on Friday morning, the forecast looks pretty hunky dory across the region – or more specifically, across the Surf Coast this weekend. The arrival of a strong WSW groundswell holds good potential for mid-sized surf in the 4ft range across the Torquay reefs, with Saturday seeing most of the size before it eases a notch by Sunday. Both days feature favourable WNW to NW winds, so in the absence of any onshore wind-shifts you’re best off timing your surfs around the optimum tides.

Friday
Morning sickness, but improving across the Torquay reefs. New SW groundswell and stormy WSW swell. 6-8ft across exposed beaches. Grading to 3-5ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: Early WSW tending WNW 10-20 knots during the day.

Saturday
Pumping across the Surf Coast. Solid WSW swell. 6-8ft across exposed beaches. Grading to 3-5ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: WNW 10-15 knots tending NW 10-15 knots.

Sunday
Clean across the Surf Coast. WSW groundswell. 5-6ft+ across exposed beaches. Grading to 3-4ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: NW 10-15 knots increasing to 15-20 knots.

SEE ALSO: If Every Board Has Story, Rasta Could Write A Book

A full weekend of solid swell and offshore winds is in store for Victoria's Surf Coast this weekend. Photo: CW user Fletcheroo.

A full weekend of solid swell and offshore winds is in store for Victoria's Surf Coast this weekend. Photo: CW user Fletcheroo.

Western Australia
It’s fair to say that conditions are looking a lot more accessible across the Southwest Coast this weekend in comparison to the June average. A combination of lighter winds and still large, but not ginormous SW swell should present plenty of fun options across the region. Friday sees early light onshore winds making for fairly lacklustre conditions, but from there they should improve. Saturday should see light offshores making for good conditions as the swell ratchets up a notch during the day – and at this stage Saturday is shaping up as the pick over the coming days. Sunday sees early SSE winds adding some cross-chop to exposed breaks, but conditions should improve as winds swing to the SE during the day.

Friday
Chunky, lump and bumpy. Ease in SW groundswell under a light variable breeze. Southwest coast: Messy 5-7ft, easing. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft+, easing. Variable wind 5-10kts tending N'ly 15kts down south. ENE 10-15kts Perth/Mandurah early.

Saturday
Pretty good and picking during the day. Overlapping SW groundswell coupled with a potential light offshore breeze. Southwest coast: 5-7ft, rising with 10ft sets later. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft, rising. Variable offshore winds 5-10kts.

Sunday
Pretty solid, cross-offshore early, steadily improving during the day. SW swell eases slightly under a freshening SSE breeze. Southwest coast: 6-8ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft+. SW wind 10-15kts early, shifting SE'ly 20-25kts. Lighter ESE winds early, Perth/Mandurah.

SEE ALSO: Due West

There should be plenty of good surfable options on offer state-wide this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

There should be plenty of good surfable options on offer state-wide this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
A static synoptic pattern featuring W to NW winds and solid levels of SW groundswell point to a good weekend of surfing across South Australia. Friday sees an already solid round of mid-period energy reinforced by longer-period SW groundswell during the afternoon. This episode carries us through the weekend, maintaining good sized surf ranging anywhere from 3 to 5ft across the South Coast depending on exposure.

Friday
Stormy SSW swell 3 - 4ft+ South Coast beaches, easing during the day. Grading to 1ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: Light WNW 5 to 15 knots.

Saturday
SSW groundswell 3 – 4ft+ South Coast breaks, easing during the afternoon. Around 1ft+ across the Mid Coast, rapidly easing. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots.

Sunday
SSW groundswell 3 - 4ft exposed South Coast beaches. Around 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: NW 10 to 15 knots.

SEE ALSO: The Deep Barrels Of June

Conditions look cleanest across the South Coast on Sunday as winds veer NW. Photo: CW user Admeeb.

Conditions look cleanest across the South Coast on Sunday as winds veer NW. Photo: CW user Admeeb.

Tags: weekend , surf , forecast , ben , macartney , australia , topnews (create Alert from these tags)

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