Weekend Surf Forecast 23 - 25 June, 2017

22 Jun 2017 0

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Forecast issued Thursday, 22 June 2017

Sore shoulders? Bit surfed out? Well, let me tell you, it’s not time for a nice cup of tea and a lie-down just yet. The surf is once again primed to pump just about everywhere you look this weekend, so it’s time to find that second wind and get amongst it.

Western Australia and the southern states are by far and away the places to be over the coming days. Across the West Coast, a solid push in SSW groundswell sees set waves pushing up into the 6ft range under strong offshore southeast winds on Friday. Both the swell and wind-strength will then progressively settle over the weekend to produce great surf across the Southwest both on Saturday and Sunday.

Meanwhile, Victoria and South Australia are about to feel the full force of an intense winter storm that’s just starting hit peak-wave generating capacity below the mainland. The low aims a 40 to 50 knot WSW fetch more or less straight at Victoria; producing a deepwater swell of heavy proportions on Bass Strait’s doorstep on Friday night. The upshot is a heavy peak in SW swell impacting all southern Australian coasts on Saturday morning; producing surf ranging from very big to ginormous depending on where you look – and potentially resulting in excellent big wave conditions across the Surf Coast.

Turning to the East Coast, this week’s sustained run of ESE swell will finally begin to relent over the next few days. A final, robust pulse of mid-period energy arriving on Friday will scale down into the 2 to 3ft range by Saturday before substantially dissipating by Sunday. Of course, a new S swell is on track to arrive right on cue; pushing surf back into the 3ft range across southern exposures by Sunday morning, with more to follow early next week.

Further north, southern Queensland is probably the only region likely to miss out on any substantial surf – which is fair enough considering just about everyone up there has  spent more time in the tube than on land this week. Friday probably marks a final day of still punchy 2 to 3ft SE swell before it drops into the 1 to 2ft range over the weekend – and only northern NSW will see bigger waves with the addition of the new S swell in the mix.

Winter has been kind to surfers so far - and the benevolence continues just about everywhere you look this weekend. Photo: CW user Campa.

Winter has been kind to surfers so far - and the benevolence continues just about everywhere you look this weekend. Photo: CW user Campa.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
This week’s run of good surf just keeps on coming throughout the weekend. Friday marks a final day of solid ESE swell; still pulsing around the 3 to 4ft mark across exposed breaks under ideal, light WNW winds. This will probably mark the highlight for this event, before the swell drops off to a more user friendly 2 to 3ft by Saturday morning. However, just when you thought you might put your feet up and rest your weary shoulders on Sunday – yep, you guessed it: more swell. This time building in from the south in the 3ft range, with a further increase in long-period energy on the cards for Sunday afternoon. With predominant west to northwest winds in effect all weekend, it’s shaping up as several days of good to excellent surf state-wide.

Friday
Mix of mid period E swell and underlying S groundswell. Sets ranging from 3 – 4ft exposed open and south facing breaks, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Light WNW 5 to 15 knots.

Saturday
Mix of easing ESE swell reinforced by small S swell. Ranging from 2 – 3ft exposed open and south facing breaks. WIND: Early W 5 to 15 knots tending light and variable during the afternoon.

Sunday
S swell reinforced by building S groundswell. Sets ranging from 2 – 3ft+ south facing breaks, picking up during the arvo. Mixing in with residual ESE swell at 1 – 3ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light WNW tending NW and freshening during the afternoon.

The East Coast continues to pump this weekend as easing ESE swell transitions to new S swell.  Photo: CW user Dan Bielich.

The East Coast continues to pump this weekend as easing ESE swell transitions to new S swell. Photo: CW user Dan Bielich.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
It’s been a phenomenal week of surf across southern Queensland and while the peak of the swell may have come and gone, it isn’t quite done yet. Easing SE swell continues to deliver great surf both north and south of the border on Friday; still up around 2 to 4ft across the region depending on exposure, before it drops back another foot or so by Saturday. So while surf over the weekend won’t be packing the same kind of punch as the last few days, there will still be fun-sized leftovers on offer both on Saturday and Sunday; mostly hovering around 1 to 2ft across southern Queensland. Northern NSW also benefits from a new pulse of S swell on Sunday, with a strong push in to the 3ft range projected into the afternoon.

Friday
ESE swell. Sets to 3 - 4ft exposed northern NSW breaks. Up to 2 – 4ft exposed QLD coasts and down to 1 - 3ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early lighter WSW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending light and variable during the day.

Saturday
Easing ESE swell. Sets to 2 - 3ft exposed breaks. Grading to 1 – 2ft inside the points and bays. Potential for rise in reinforcing SSE swell during the afternoon. WIND: Early light WSW to WNW tending light and variable.

Sunday
Mix of smaller-scale SE swell and S groundswell. Sets ranging from 1 - 2ft+ exposed breaks. S groundswell picking up to 2 – 4ft across northern NSW south facing breaks during the afternoon. WIND: Early light WNW tending NW to NNW later.

There have been some mind-blowing moments across southern Queensland this week. The weekend is looking somewhat mediocre in comparison. Photo: CW user Keith Christie.

There have been some mind-blowing moments across southern Queensland this week. The weekend is looking somewhat mediocre in comparison. Photo: CW user Keith Christie.

Victoria
If last weekend was one to remember across Victoria, then this one is definitely destined for the proverbial history books. The arrival of a heavy SSW groundswell across the state on Friday night will show peak size early on Saturday morning; generating heavy, scale-invariant storm-surf across the exposed beaches, while wrapping in at anywhere from 6 to 10ft across the Surf Coast and potentially even bigger along the premier Torquay reefs. Although a cold front clipping Bass Strait on Friday night leads in an early WSW flow across the region, these winds will die out and give way to lighter offshore WNW winds during the morning, making for a phenomenal day to tackle some monster sets – or just sit back and watch.

The tail end of Saturday’s event will still be producing large surf state-wide on Sunday under still favourable NW winds, so there should ample opportunity to get amongst the swell. Although it should settle during the day, the leading edge of a new SW pulse should keep the surf running at solid levels all day, with plenty more in the tank early next week.

Friday
Potential for steep rising SW groundswell. Up to 3 – 5ft exposed beaches early, jacking up to 4 – 6ft during the day and potentially to 5 – 8ft into the afternoon. Around 2 – 4ft across the Surf Coast early, rising to 3 – 5ft+ later. WIND: NW 15 to 20 knots, tending WNW later.

Saturday
Heavy peak in SSW groundswell. Around 10 – 12ft+ exposed beaches. Grading to 6 – 10ft across the Surf Coast, easing during the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW 10 to 15 knots, tending light WNW during the day.

Sunday
Easing SW groundswell. Sets ranging from 5 – 8ft exposed beaches. Sets to 4 – 6ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light NW to WNW 10 to 20 knots, tending NNW later.

It won't be until Saturday's heavy SSW groundswell settles down on Sunday that the waves will turn on at about this size. Photo: Mark De Koning.

It won't be until Saturday's heavy SSW groundswell settles down on Sunday that the waves will turn on at about this size. Photo: Mark De Koning.

Western Australia
Another pumping weekend of waves looms across the Southwest Coast. The arrival of a roust SSW groundswell on Friday is set to peak in the 6ft range before scaling down over the course of the weekend. Initially this should see still solid overhead sets on offer under moderate offshore ESE winds. The swell will continue to scale down into Sunday, opening up a wider variety of options across exposed Southwest stretches as the offshore flow tends lighter east.

Friday
New SSW groundswell rising under moderate/fresh SE winds. South West: 4-6ft, plus sets rising at south exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 1-3ft. WIND: ESE 15-25kts.

Saturday
Ease in SSW swell under moderate ESE winds. South West coast: 3-5ft, possible plus sets at south exposed breaks early. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft, easing. WIND: ESE 10-15kts tending SSE.

Sunday
Minor overlap in SW swell under light ESE tending variable winds. South West: 2-4ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. WIND: ESE 10kts tending variable.  

Expect WA Coastalwatch Surf reporter and forecaster Dan Wyer to be monitoring conditions at close quarters this weekend. Photo: CW.

Expect WA Coastalwatch Surf reporter and forecaster Dan Wyer to be monitoring conditions at close quarters this weekend. Photo: CW.

South Australia
A monster SSW groundswell is about to slam South Australian coasts – and it’s going to arrive under light winds state-wide to boot. While offering up challenging, 4 to 6ft plus surf across the South Coast, this event is bound to make for epic big wave conditions at deepwater reefs holding the peak of the swell. If this calibre of Southern Ocean energy isn’t your cup of tea, there will always be some fun-sized options across the Mid Coast. Otherwise there’s always Sunday; by which time the tail end of the SSW swell will have come back down to more typical, but still large levels.

Friday
SSW groundswell. Sets ranging from 2 – 4ft+ exposed South Coast beaches, building marginally later in the day. Around 1ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light N/NW 5 to 10 knots tending light and variable during the afternoon.

Saturday
Large SSW groundswell builds in. 4 – 6ft+ exposed South Coast beaches. Up to 2 - 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light NW to light and variable, then SSW 5 to 15 knots later.

Sunday
SW groundswell slowly eases. Clean sets 3 – 5ft exposed South Coast breaks, easing into the afternoon. Ranging from 1 – 3ft across the Mid Coast, smaller later. WIND: Early WSW 10 to 20 knots, tending W later.

Deepwater breaks will be lighting up state-wide as SSW groundswell peaks on Sunday. Photo: Dan Wyer.

Deepwater breaks will be lighting up state-wide as SSW groundswell peaks on Sunday. Photo: Dan Wyer.


Tags: ben , macartney , weekend , surf , forecast , topnews (create Alert from these tags)

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