Weekend Surf Forecast, 20 - 22 July, 2012
Dialling In: A Mid Winter Wave Fest
It’s one of those weekend’s when you could, in theory, put on a blindfold, randomly stick a pin on a map of Australia’s surfable coastline, travel to that random spot and have pretty high chances of scoring good waves. Across the West Coast in particular, you’d be hard pressed not to score, given a solid SW groundswell is set to coincide with very light E/NE to variable winds across the region both on Saturday and Sunday.
Likewise, Victorian coasts are bombarded by a constant supply of SW groundswell this weekend; strong enough to sustain good sized surf across the Surf Coast and heavy conditions across exposed coasts as light W/NW winds prevail throughout Saturday, tending light and variable on Sunday.
Even Tasmanian and South Australian coasts see a full weekend of light winds and solid swell. The only exception is the East Coast. Although the NSW coast also receives its fair share of E and SSE swell, it definitely draws the short straw with respect to surface quality; falling under the brunt of strong southerly winds ranging from 15 to 25 knots all weekend. South-eastern Queensland inevitably fares better under the southerly wind regime; coinciding with a building trend in SSE swell that should see small clean surf across the region’s Points and Bays.
ECL Intensifies over the Tasman Sea An East Coast Low spinning up over the Tasman Sea sets up a building trend in SSE and secondary E swell across the entire East Coast over the coming days. It also combines with a strengthening ridge extending across the Eastern Seaboard, sustaining strong southerly winds across the region all weekend. Saturday holds best chances for a period of inshore SSW winds before they shift S during the morning and SSE on Sunday.
Friday E swell and S windswell 2 - 3ft exposed beaches. WIND: Early SW tending SSW 10 to 20 knots during the day and S later.
Saturday E swell 2 – 3ft early, bumping up to 3 – 4ft during the day. Mixing in with SSE windswell at 2 – 3ft+ early, increasing to 3 – 4ft+ during the afternoon. WIND: SSW 15 to 20 knots tending SSE during the afternoon.
Sunday E swell 4 – 5ft+ open coasts, mixing in with SSE windswell up to 3 – 4ft south facing beaches. WIND: Early S 15 to 20 knots tending SSE during the day.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The developing ECL focuses a close range SSE fetch on south-eastern Queensland, triggering a steep run up in SSE swell that will gradually transition around to the SE during Sunday and Monday. Strong southerly winds ensures the action is limited to the Points and Bays.
Friday ESE groundswell inconsistent 2 - 3ft exposed open beaches, mixing in with SSE windswell at 2 – 3ft+ across northern NSW, building into the afternoon. WIND: S 20 to 30 knots tending SSE during the day.
Saturday SSE swell 4 - 5ft northern NSW exposed beaches, building to 4 – 6ft+ during the afternoon. Mixing in with residual E swell at 2 – 3ft+ across south-east QLD. WIND: Early SSW tending S 20 to 30 knots.
Sunday SSE swell 4 - 6ft+ northern NSW exposed beaches, wrapping into south-east QLD at 2 – 4ft. WIND: S 20 to 30 knots.
A vast WSW fetch spanning the Southern Ocean beneath the Great Australian Bight delivers a full weekend of SW groundswell to the region, sustaining four to six foot waves across the Surf Coast on Saturday, grading to six to eight feet plus across open beaches under light WNW winds. The swell settles back a notch by Sunday as winds tend light and variable.
Friday SW swell 2 – 4ft Surf Coast, 4 – 6ft open beaches, building during the afternoon. W winds 10 to 20 knots early, tending light from the S in the afternoon.
Saturday SW groundswell. 4 to 6ft Surf Coast, 6 to 8ft+ open beaches Easing. Light NW to W winds.
Sunday SW groundswell easing back to 3 to 4ft+ Surf Coast and 5 to 6ft on the open beaches. Light variable winds 0 to 10 knots.
A heavy round of WSW groundswell lights up the entire West Coast this weekend, following the passage of a large, intense extratropical low across our swell window during the week. This episode tops out on Friday at a thumping eight to ten feet across the South West before gradually dropping back to lower levels over the course of the weekend.
New SW groundswell fills in. Southwest coast: 8 – 10ft. Perth: 3ft rising. WIND: WNW 5 to 10 knots tending light and variable later.
Large SW swell decreasing gradually. Southwest coast: 6-8ft. Perth: 3ft+. WIND: ENE tending light and variable.
Large SW swell decreasing. Southwest coast: 6ft plus sets. Perth: 3ft. WIND: S winds 10-15 knots tending SE 10knots later.
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