Weekend Surf Forecast 24 - 26 October 2014

23 Oct 2014 0

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

Forecast issued 9.00am, Thursday, 23 October 2014.

Although sea surface temperatures are still fairly tepid, it’s starting to look a bit like Summer across many regions. The East Coast in particular sees warm temperatures coinciding with a mix of low-scale NE windswell and long-range easterly tradewind swell ranging either side of 2ft. Meanwhile Victoria sees small to mid range surf favouring the exposed beaches as light local winds trace most points of the compass between Friday and Sunday. Only across the West Coast do we see still brisk onshore WSW winds and solid SW swell reminding  us that summer is still a while off yet.

Every wave is unique. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Dane Colley.

Every wave is unique. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Dane Colley.

Sydney to South Coast
Saturday probably presents your best opportunity to get amongst it this weekend. A localised northerly fetch strengthening to 20 to 30 knots across the western Tasman on Friday arvo/ evening should drive a consistent, short interval NE windswell up to a fun-sized 2 to 3ft across east facing beaches receiving the swell. Although such short range episodes aren’t of the highest quality it’s worth getting in early while light offshore winds last. A moderate southerly change arriving mid morning will quickly erode surface quality, lending the focus to sheltered southern corners during the afternoon. If you can’t do Saturday then the tail end of the windswell will still be mixing in with low-scale E swell around the 1 to 2ft mark on Sunday.

A rise in NE windswell holds good potential for some clean waves on Saturday morning. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Sam1234.

A rise in NE windswell holds good potential for some clean waves on Saturday morning. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Sam1234.

Friday
Mix of small NE windswell and background E swell
. Up to 1 - 2ft exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: NNE 5 to 15 knots tending NE 15 to 25 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
NE windswell up to 2 – 3ft exposed open beaches. Mixing in with low scale S groundswell around 1 - 2ft elsewhere. WIND: Early light WNW to WSW tending S during the day.

Sunday
Mix of residual NE windswell and background SSE swell 1 – 2ft exposed beaches. WIND: SSW 10 to 15 knots tending SE and easing during the afternoon.

Queensland and far northern NSW
A small mix of long-distance ESE swell and residual SE windswell keeps our heads above water over the next few days. Given the former swell train originated well over 2,000 nautical miles off the East Coast, it’s going to be slow going, with long waits between sets mostly ranging either side of 2ft. The swell coincides with moderate to strong northerly airflow that will remain in place all weekend, so head for northern corners for a bit of shelter.

There's some small E tradewind swell in the mix this weekend, hopefully just a taste of what's to come this summer. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Conradpk.

There's some small E tradewind swell in the mix this weekend, hopefully just a taste of what's to come this summer. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Conradpk.

Friday
Background ESE groundswell and residual SE windswell ranging from 1 - 3ft exposed breaks. Grading to 1 – 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early light NW tending NNE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Background ESE swell and residual NE windswell around 2ft exposed breaks. Grading to 1 – 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early NNW 10 to 20 knots tending NNE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Small ESE and S swells mixing with slight NE windswell up to 1 – 2ft exposed beaches. WIND: NW 5 to 15 knots tending NNE during the afternoon.

Victoria
The exposed beaches are looking like the go-to locations this weekend. A mid range pulse of SW groundswell peaking on Friday should gradually scale down to lower levels – still producing good 3 to 4ft sets across exposed beaches on Saturday under less-than-ideal SW winds tending S during the afternoon – but still light enough to ensure conditions are rideable all day. The swell drops another notch by Sunday as winds revert to the east – again lending the focus to the more exposed Victorian coasts.

Surf Coast breaks a looking pretty subdued over the coming days. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member GS.

Surf Coast breaks a looking pretty subdued over the coming days. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member GS.

Friday
Inconsistent SW groundswell
. Sets to 4 - 5ft exposed beaches. Grading to 1 – 3ft across the Surf Coast, gradually easing during the afternoon. WIND: E 10 to 15 knots tending light and variable ahead of a late SW change.

Saturday
SW groundswell. Slow sets to 3 - 4ft exposed breaks. Around 1 - 2ft across the Surf Coast, inconsistent in the upper range and easing during the afternoon. WIND: SW 5 to 15 knots tending S during the afternoon.

Sunday
Leftover SW swell 2 – 3ft+
exposed beaches. E windswell up to 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: ESE to ENE 5 to 15 knots.

Western Australia
A rising SW groundswell produces some solid surf Down South over the weekend. Unfortunately this coincides with a cold front clipping the Southwest of the state, leading in a moderate to strong onshore airflow that’s set to remain in place both on Saturday and Sunday.

There will be swell, to be sure, but onshore winds will take the shine off conditions this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

There will be swell, to be sure, but onshore winds will take the shine off conditions this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

Friday
SW swell decreases
. Southwest coast: 2-3ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft. Light variable morning winds, tending light seabreeze in afternoon.

Saturday
WSW swell mix rising. Southwest coast: 3-5ft rising 4-6ft late. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft picking up 2-3ft. W wind 15-20kt, tending SW in afternoon.

Sunday
SW swell mix continues. Southwest coast: 4-6ft Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft. SW to S wind 10-15kt.



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