Weekend Surf Forecast 26 - 28 June 2015
Forecast issued Thursday, 25 June 2015
There are a bunch of hellmen en-route to Western Australia right now, packing quivers of tow-boards and 10ft guns – all bent on tackling one of the larger, longer period SW groundswell’s for the 2015 winter. If, like me, you are not among them, don’t stress; there are plenty of good quality surfable options on offer around the continent this weekend. The impending groundswell not only impacts Western Australia, but also South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania this weekend – and this will undoubtedly be substantial enough to open up a wide range of surfing options as a dominant high pressure exerts a calming influence on local winds. The only region the swell won’t penetrate is the Eastern Seaboard, but there will be some indirect influence as a fractional long-interval S groundswell bumps up to low-levels across the NSW coast on Sunday. Southern Queensland fares a little better under a fleeting pulse of ESE swell that should top out at 2 to 3ft on Sunday. If all this sounds a bit lacklustre then, as the saying goes, go west young man!
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Compared to the recent past the forecast for this weekend isn’t exactly adrenaline pumping stuff. Still, there will be waves – particularly across south facing breaks as combination of swells roll in over the next few days. Friday morning probably holds your best chances for a few genuine 2 to 3ft sets as an overnight spike in southerly windswell peaks early before steadily waning into the afternoon. There’s also an underlying E swell in the mix on Friday that should ensure open beaches also have a few fun-sized 2ft sets. By Saturday morning both of these swell trains will have dwindled considerably, leaving smaller 1 to 2ft waves on offer under light westerly winds. Sunday morning is likely to reveal a virtually flat sea-state, but as the day progresses we should begin to see some infrequent, long period sets nudging up into the 1 to 2ft range across southern exposures, with scope for a stronger push in the 2 to near 3ft range during the afternoon.
Mix of S windswell and underlying E swell. Sets up to 2 – 3ft south facing beaches, grading to about 2ft elsewhere. Fading during the afternoon. WIND: SSW 10 to 20 knots, easing and tending S to SE during the afternoon.
Leftover S and E swells. 1 – 2ft exposed beaches. WIND: WNW to WSW 5 to 10 knots tending light and variable during the afternoon.
Residual S and E swells. Inconsistent 1ft exposed breaks. Long range S groundswell speculatively bumping up to 1 – 3ft south facing beaches during the afternoon. WIND: WSW 5 to 10 knots early, tending S to SE during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Southern Queensland and northern NSW fare a little better than more southern locations over the next few days. Over the course of this week the region was more directly exposed to a 20 to 30kt south-easterly fetch extending off the top of New Zealand’s North Island. A subsequent pulse of mid-period ESE swell should be evident at 2 to 3ft levels on Friday – probably marking a peak in size before dropping a notch by Saturday. The E swell also mixes in with a shorter-range SSE windswell to produce slightly larger surf across northern NSW on Saturday – albeit under less-than-ideal southerly winds. By Sunday both of these swell-trains will have faded considerably, so it’s well worth making the most of it of it on Friday and Saturday.
Mid period ESE swell around 2 – 3ft exposed QLD breaks. Grading smaller inside the points and bays. Mixing with SSE windswell at similar levels across northern NSW south facing breaks. WIND: Early SSW 10 to 20 knots tending SSE during the afternoon.
Mix of leftover ESE swell and SSE windswell. Ranging from 2 – 3ft northern NSW south facing coasts. Grading to 2ft+ exposed QLD breaks and down to 1 – 2ft elsewhere. WIND: Early SSW, tending SSE 10 to 15 knots.
Mid period SE swell. Sets around 3 – 4ft+ northern NSW south facing breaks, grading to 2 - 3ft exposed QLD breaks and down to 1 – 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SSW tending SSE 10 to 20 knots, then SE and easing during the afternoon.
Significant, long interval groundswells originating from the southern Indian Ocean create a lot of anticipation for Victorian surfers –a full week, in fact, to contemplate, plan and visualise surfing the impending swell event. Yes, the groundswell’s inexorable eastward propagation will culminate powerful surf under ideal WNW winds across the Surf Coast this weekend, but there is a caveat: The remoteness of the swell source (at the height of it’s lifecylcle the swell-producing fetch set up between 3,000 and 4,000 nautical miles west southwest of Victoria) means it’s likely to be a slow affair, characterised by long, cold waits between the larger sets – particularly as the leading edge builds in throughout Saturday. Once the bulk of wave energy fills in on Sunday and Monday there should be a higher frequency of big sets and if you’re looking to target the peak of the swell then aim for late Sunday and early Monday.
Mid period WSW swell. Ranging from 3 – 5ft exposed beaches early and rising to 4 – 6ft+ during the day. Around 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast, picking up into the afternoon. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots.
Long period SW groundswell builds in. Inconsistent 4 – 6ft exposed beaches early, building to 6 – 8ft during the day. Around 2 – 4ft across the Surf Coast, picking up to 3 – 6ft during the afternoon. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots.
Long period SW swell peaks. Powerful 8ft+ sets exposed beaches, peaking at 8 – 10ft+ later. Wrapping in at 5 – 8ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light WNW tending WSW 5 to 10 knots.
It’s shaping up as a very serious weekend of surfing across the West Coast – at least for those who like it serious. The arrival of a long-period SW groundswell lights up the entire coastline over the coming days, not only providing big-wave chargers with two full days of challenging conditions, but also delivering a couple of rare, 2 to 4ft days to Perth’s metro beaches – not to mention a vast number of other good options between these two extremes. Both wave height and period were already trending steeply upwards on Thursday, heralding the bulk of groundswell due to hit on Friday and Saturday at peak intervals of 16 to 18 seconds. Friday morning will probably start out a little wobbly under early southerly winds, but from there conditions just get better and better. Winds tend lighter SSE across the region during Friday and by Saturday morning they’ll swing straight E, producing a memorable day state-wide. Although the swell eases into Sunday it will still qualify as another large to heavy day of surf – again producing rideable surf on the outer bombies as winds ease and tend lighter ENE, and once again producing a wide variety of excellent surfable options statewide.
Holding large scale surf with solid XL SW groundswell. Southwest coast: 12-15ft with deepwater outer reefs up 20ft. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft occasional 4ft. S winds 10-15kt shifting SE to 10kt.
Large SW swell cleans up and settles. Southwest coast: 10-15ft with 20ft sets on outer reefs. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft occasional 4ft. ESE winds 10kts tending light to variable at times.
Settling SW swell under light variable winds. Southwest coast: 8-10ft decreasing 6 - 8ft. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft+. ENE winds 10kts.
A strong building trend in SW groundswell throughout Friday culminates in a full weekend of big, clean surf across South Australia this weekend, with favourable winds coinciding with one of the larger groundswell’s we’re likely to see this winter.
New SSW groundswell 2 - 3ft+ South Coast beaches, rising to 3 – 4ft. Grading to 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: NNW 5 to 15 knots.
Long period SSW groundswell 4 – 6ft South Coast breaks, building to 5 – 6ft+. Grading to 2 – 3ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: Light NNW tending WNW 5 to 15 knots.
SSW groundswell 5 - 6ft+ exposed South Coast beaches, gradually easing. Around 2 – 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Light WNW tending light and variable.
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