Weekend Surf Forecast 11 - 13 December 2015

10 Dec 2015 0 Share

Matt McKay

Swell Forecaster

Forecast issued Thursday, December 10, 2015

Summer has well and truly kicked into gear, with hot conditions felt throughout the country. After a great week of waves along the eastern seaboard, Ex-TC Tuni finally exited our swell window, only to be replaced a large high pressure system.

A small combination of swells will persist across QLD, faring slightly better along the northern NSW coastline thanks to a short range S swell. Further south, very small conditions on Friday we will be restored by a fun south windswell on Saturday. South facing beaches will be the pick of the bunch come Sunday as strong NE winds blow throughout the day. Victoria is the place to be this weekend. A solid SW to WSW swell will fill in on Friday before peaking on Saturday morning. Strong winds on Friday and Saturday will force surfers to seek shelter before tending light and variable by Sunday.

Heading west toward the shores of South Australia, Friday and Saturday will be below par. Once the cool change passes through we will see fun, albeit small conditions on Sunday morning. Now moving across to Western Australia. A small S to SW swell will be evident throughout the weekend. Favourable offshore winds on Friday and Sunday will provide clean waves for surfers along the southwest coast.

LISTEN TO THE SURF FORECAST PODCAST BY REGGAE ELLIS

A new south swell will generate fun waves across NSW this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Matt McKay

A new south swell will generate fun waves across NSW this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Matt McKay

Sydney, Newcastle & South Coast
The NSW coastline has had a decent run of swell of late, with sustained wave heights not dipping below 2-3ft for the past week thanks to Ex-TC Tuni. Unfortunately, this swell is long gone. Surfers along the south-east coast will need plenty of foam come Friday morning as a small NE windswell trickles toward the shore. 1ft waves are likely with the odd 2ft bomb at exposed beaches. However, this low point in wave energy will be short-lived.

A brisk southerly change will march up the coast on Friday afternoon/ evening giving rise to a new south swell. By Saturday morning, surfers should be greeted with fun 2-3ft waves under light and variable winds. A ESE sea breeze is expected to kick in by mid-morning, so getting out there early will be your best bet. Although this S swell will decrease overnight, the wave period will increase; so we should still see plenty of 2-3ft waves in the water on Sunday. A strong high pressure ridge over the Tasman will see an increase in NE winds throughout the day, favourable for south facing beaches like Bondi.

SEE ALSO: The Complete Aussie Summer Wetsuit Guide

Friday
Small NE windswell. 1-2ft max along exposed beaches. Grading to flat elsewhere. WIND: NW 5-10 knots tending NNE 5-10 knots ahead of a later southerly change in the evening.

Saturday
S swell. Consistent 2–3ft south facing beaches. Grading to 1-2ft elsewhere. WIND: Light and variable tending ESE 15-20 knots.

Sunday
New round of mid-period S swell. 2-3ft south facing beaches, grading to 1-2ft across open beaches. WIND: NE 10-15 knots increasing to 20-25 knots.

There will be plenty of small waves around this weekend. It may even be worth a drive south of the border. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Pennykempe

There will be plenty of small waves around this weekend. It may even be worth a drive south of the border. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Pennykempe

QLD & Far Northern NSW
Well in comparison to last weekend, this weekend just sucks. We are no longer under the influence of Ex-TC Tuni; instead we will see the return of those small summery conditions, especially along the QLD coast.  Tomorrow will see some leftover 1-2ft waves out of the east which will fade once the strong northerly winds kick in. These winds should be strong enough to whip up a short range NE windswell by the afternoon, persisting into Saturday.

A southerly change will make its presence felt on Saturday morning, bringing some much-needed relief from Fridays heat. As a result, we should see a combination of swells in the water; a leftover NE windswell and a new S windswell. Wave heights across the exposed northern NSW beaches are expected to reach 2ft, whilst surfers along the exposed QLD beaches should see waves in the 1-2ft range fading slightly by the afternoon. Winds throughout the day are forecast to be strong out of the south, restricting wave quality.

A further increase in wave energy is forecast for Sunday. Consequently, we will see fun 2-3ft waves at northern NSW exposures, whilst an underlying E swell will maintain 1-2ft waves across the QLD beaches. Winds will be out of the ESE early before the ENE sea breeze makes its presence felt by around lunch time; possibly opening up a few more options south of the border.

SEE ALSO: Fanning, Wright & Wilson Light Up The Gold Coast

Friday
Leftover E swell and NE windswell. 1-2ft northern NSW breaks. 1-2ft across QLD beaches, including the points and bays. WIND: NNW 15-20 knots tending N 20-25 knots.

Saturday
NE and S windswell. 2ft northern NSW breaks. 1-2ft across QLD beaches, grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: S 20-25 knots tending SE 15-20 knots.

Sunday
E and S windswell. 2-3ft northern NSW breaks. 1-2ft across QLD beaches, including the points and bays. WIND: ESE 15-20 knots tending ENE 10-15 knots.

You may need to seek shelter if you want to make the most of Saturday's swell. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: SeanR

You may need to seek shelter if you want to make the most of Saturday's swell. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: SeanR

Victoria
There’s plenty of swell inbound for the Victorian coast this weekend. A mid-period WSW swell will build gradually throughout Friday under strong SW winds. The morning should see waves in the 3-4ft (2ft+) range along the east coast (Surf Coast) before increasing to 4-6ft (2-3ft) by the afternoon.

A further reinforcement in wave energy will be apparent on Saturday morning as the mid-period SW/ WSW peaks at 6-7ft (3-4ft). Winds out of the southern quadrant will limit surfable waves to sheltered breaks, especially along the Surf Coast. A decline in wave action is then forecast to take place on Sunday; as 3-4ft (2ft) waves continue to propagate along the coast. Favourable winds from the NE will groom this small SW swell during the morning ahead of a light SE sea breeze.

SEE ALSO: The Most Uncrowded Perfect Waves Found

Friday
Mid period WSW swell. 3-4ft early increasing to 4-6ft across exposed locations. 2ft+ early increasing to 2-3ft on the Surf Coast. WIND: W 15-20 knots tending SW 25-30 knots.

Saturday
Solid SW swell. 6-7ft sets along the East Coast. Grading to 3-4ft on the Surf Coast. WIND: SW 15-20 knots tending SSW 10-15 knots.

Sunday
Small SW groundswell. 3- 4ft sets across the East Coast. Grading 2ft on the Surf Coast. WIND: NE 5-10 knots tending SE 10-15 knots.

Sunday may be your best chance to score some of these. Photo: Matt McKay

Sunday may be your best chance to score some of these. Photo: Matt McKay

South Australia
Friday and Saturday are looking pretty ordinary looking for surfer’s in South Australia. A small SSW swell will deliver 1-3ft waves along the states south coast, grading to near flat along the Mid Coast. The state will be in the midst of a strong frontal system and so, poor conditions will be on the menu.

Multiple SW swells should see a maintenance of fun wave heights across the region. Saturday marks the arrival of a mid-sized SSW swell. At this stage we are forecasting 2-4ft waves along southern exposures, grading to 0-1ft across the Mid Coast. Unfortunately, winds will be out of the southern quadrant, limiting any decent wave quality.

Conditions on Sunday will fare slightly better as an easing SSW swell coincides with early ENE winds. Wave heights in the 1-3ft range are likely along the southern exposures, whilst the Mid Coast will be close to flat. It is worth noting that a SSE sea breeze is forecast to kick in by mid-morning; so get out there early. 

SEE ALSO: Sharing Is Caring At Snapper Rocks

Friday
SSW swell. 1-3ft across the exposed South Coast beaches. Grading to 0-1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: WSW 20-25 knots tending SSW 15-20 knots.

Saturday
Small SSW swell. 2-4ft along exposed beaches. Grading to 0-1ft along the Mid Coast WIND: SSW 10-15 knots tending SE 5-10 knots.

Sunday
Low scale SSW swell. 1-3ft along exposed beaches. Grading to 0-1ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: ENE 5-10 knots tending SSE 10-15 knots.

Fun waves will be on offer during the mornings no matter what surf craft you ride. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: pflagg5

Fun waves will be on offer during the mornings no matter what surf craft you ride. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: pflagg5

Western Australia
By Western Australian standards, there isn’t much swell on offer over the next few days. A fading south swell will be in the water on Friday morning, delivering 2-3ft+ waves along the southwest coast. Stiff offshore winds are forecast during the mornings hours ahead of a SSW sea breeze.

A slight shift in direction will see the swell tend SW by Saturday; with wave heights ranging between 2 and 3 feet. Unfortunately, winds will blow out of the south all day, so finding a decent wave will be difficult. Light and variable winds will be on the cards for Sunday morning. Fun 2-3ft+ waves are forecast for the southwest coast before a SW sea breeze settles in, so make the most of the early session.

SEE ALSO: Why You Should Always Expect Nothing

Friday
Easing S swell. 2-3ft+ along the southwest coast. Flat across the Perth/Mandurah region. WIND: E 15-20 knots, increasing to SSW 15-20 knots. 

Saturday
Small SW swell. 2-3ft along the southwest coast. Flat across the Perth/Mandurah region. WIND: S 10-15 knots, increasing to SW 15-20 knots. 

Sunday
Fun SW swell. 2-3ft+ along the southwest coast. Flat across the Perth/Mandurah region. WIND: Light and variable tending SW 10-15 knots. 

Tags: weekend , surf , forecast , matt , mckay , reggae , ellis (create Alert from these tags)

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