Weekend Surf Forecast 18 - 21 December 2015

17 Dec 2015 0 Share

Matt McKay

Swell Forecaster

Weekend Surf Forecast 18-21 December 2015

Forecast issued Thursday, December 17, 2015

As a nation surrounded by the ocean, more often than not somewhere in Australia will be pumping. Unfortunately for surfers, this isn’t the case for this coming weekend. The east coast of Australia will be plagued by persistent onshore winds thanks to a large high pressure system located over the Tasman. Fun waves will be on offer across the Queensland coast; that is if you’re willing to put up with ridiculous crowds and poor winds. Conditions aren’t any better in Sydney. In fact, they’re worse. A small NE swell will continue to trickle into exposed breaks throughout Friday and Saturday before a slight increase on Sunday.

Victoria is faring a tad better with hot northerly winds forecast over the next couple of days making for some smooth conditions. A small SW swell will peak tomorrow morning before fading and tending WSW by the weekend. Winds across the South Australian region will vary; with Saturday and Sunday morning offering the cleanest conditions as a mid-period SW swell generates small waves across the coast. Western Australia should toss up some fun 3 to 4 foot waves, especially on Friday and Sunday morning as winds tend offshore.

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LISTEN TO THE WEEKEND SURF FORECAST PODCAST BY REGGAE ELLIS

We won't see glassy conditions like this over the weekend thanks to a small NE windswell and onshore winds. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Lewis1

We won't see glassy conditions like this over the weekend thanks to a small NE windswell and onshore winds. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Lewis1

Sydney, Newcastle & South Coast
It’s hard to get excited about this weekend if you’re a surfer. However, if you just want to go for a swim, warm water and hot outside temperatures are forecast, so it’s not all bad. A broad high pressure system will remain semi- stationary until at least Sunday. As a result, a high pressure ridge extending to SE QLD will continue to direct moderate to strong NE winds along the eastern seaboard. Once again we will see small surf along the NSW coast. At this stage, Saturday will see a small rise in wave heights with 1-2ft waves forecast. Sunday marks the high point in wave energy, with 2-3ft waves making their way to shore.

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Friday 
Tiny NE swell. 1ft+ across exposed breaks. Flat elsewhere. WIND: N 10-15 knots tending NE 15-20 knots.

Saturday
Small NE swell. 1-2ft across exposed breaks. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: NNE 10-15 knots tending NE 15-20 knots.

Sunday
Fun NE swell. 2-3ft across exposed breaks. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: NNE 10-15 knots tending NE 20-25 knots.

Onshore winds will also limit wave quality along the QLD/ NSW border, so keep those expectations intact. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Danielmcphoto

Onshore winds will also limit wave quality along the QLD/ NSW border, so keep those expectations intact. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Danielmcphoto

QLD & Far Northern NSW
A weak low pressure system has developed south of New Caledonia throughout the last 24hrs. As a result, we will see multiple small peaks in wave energy occurring throughout this coming weekend. Friday will see the initial peak in size from the east at 2-3ft before easing a touch on Saturday. As this low drifts away, we will see the swell direction tend ENE, and peaking at 2-3ft once again on Sunday. There is one problem though. Moderate onshore winds will limit wave quality over the weekend, so keep your expectations low.

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Friday 
Fun E swell. 2-3ft across northern NSW breaks. 2-3ft across QLD beaches, including the points and bays. WIND: SE 10-15 knots tending ESE 10-15 knots.

Saturday
E swell. 1-3ft across northern NSW breaks. 1-3ft across QLD beaches, including the points and bays. WIND: SSE 5-10 knots tending E 10-15 knots.

Sunday
Fun ENE swell. 1-3ft building to 2-3ft across northern NSW breaks. 1-3ft building to 2-3ft across QLD beaches, including the points and bays. WIND: ENE 5-10 knots tending NE 10-15 knots.

Small clean waves like this will be available for surfers this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Donovank

Small clean waves like this will be available for surfers this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Donovank

Victoria
The current heatwave and the impending Christmas holidays will see plenty of people flock to the beach this weekend. A weak low pressure system to the west will generate a small SW groundswell, peaking tomorrow afternoon at 2-4ft across the state’s East Coast, grading to 1-2ft along the Surf Coast.

By Saturday, we will be ‘in between’ swells, subsequently resulting in a reduction in wave energy, ranging between 1 and 3 feet along the East Coast, grading to 1ft across the Surf Coast. Stiff northerly winds will groom the small WSW swell on offer, so conditions should be clean all day. Small 1-3ft waves will be on the cards on Sunday morning, this time under light and variable winds. A cool WSW change is forecast to sweep across the state during the afternoon, effectively cooling things down.

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Friday
Small SW groundswell. 1-3ft early building to 2-4ft across exposed locations. 0-1ft early building to 1-2ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: N 5-10 knots tending SSE 10-15 knots.

Saturday
Low scale WSW swell. 1-3ft across exposed breaks. Grading to 1ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: N 15-20 knots easing to 10-15 knots late.

Sunday
Small WSW swell. 1-3ft across exposed breaks. Grading to 0-1ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: Light and variable tending WSW 10-20 knots.

Saturday and Sunday should offer some fun waves under early offshore winds. Photo: Matt Mckay

Saturday and Sunday should offer some fun waves under early offshore winds. Photo: Matt Mckay

South Australia
A blocking high in the Bight will keep a lid on wave heights this weekend. Onshore winds will make for some average conditions across the coast tomorrow. Heading into Saturday, things will improve. Light offshore winds, coupled with fun-sized waves (1-3ft along the South Coast, grading to 0-1ft across the Mid Coast) will ensure that you have a great day, especially across southern exposures.

The recent development of a small low pressure system below Western Australia will maintain wave energy throughout Sunday. Winds will be favourable early before SSW winds kick in around lunchtime, so try and get out early.

SEE ALSO: Finalists Revealed, Vote For Your Favourite Summer Waves Photos Now!

Friday
Mid-period SW swell.  1-2ft early building to 2-3ft across the exposed beaches. Grading to 1ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: SSE 10-15 knots tending S 10-15 knots.

Saturday
Mid period SW swell. 1-3ft across the exposed South Coast beaches. Grading to 0-1ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: NNE 10-20 knots tending N 5-10 knots.

Sunday
Mid period SW swell. 1-3ft across the exposed South Coast beaches. 0-1ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: WNW 10-15 knots tending SSW 15-20 knots.

3-4ft waves are on the menu for W.A surfers this weekend. Who knows, you may even score a wave like this under early offshore winds on Friday and Sunday. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Billycervi

3-4ft waves are on the menu for W.A surfers this weekend. Who knows, you may even score a wave like this under early offshore winds on Friday and Sunday. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Billycervi

Western Australia
Friday morning holds some potential for some fun waves under light SE winds. A moderate sized mid period SW swell will deliver clean 3-4ft waves down south early with occasional bigger sets at exposed magnets, grading to 1-2ft throughout the Perth/ Mandurah region. By Saturday we will see winds tend cross shore early before swinging SSW and strengthening. This should give rise to a mid-period SSW swell; initially 3-4ft, peaking at 4-6ft+ late across exposed beaches.

Surface conditions will improve on Sunday with ESE winds forecast early ahead of a moderate afternoon sea breeze. The SSW swell will fade as the day progresses, with biggest sets early in the 3-4ft+ range down south easing to around 2-3ft later. Metro beaches won’t see much out of this swell due to its southern angle.

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Friday
Moderate SW swell. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+ sets across exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. WIND: SE 5-10 knots tending SW 20-25 knots.

Saturday
Building SSW swell. Southwest coast: 3-4ft sets on open exposures early, rising 4-6ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. WIND: SSE 10-15 knots tending SSW 15-20 knots

Sunday
Easing SSW swell. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+ with bigger sets early at south exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: inconsistent 1ft+ early, easing. WIND: ESE 15-20 knots tending SSW 15-20 knots.

Tags: weekend , surf , forecast , december , matt , mckay (create Alert from these tags)

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