New Year Weekend Surf Forecast 1-3 January 2016

31 Dec 2015 0 Share

Matt McKay

Swell Forecaster

Forecast issued Thursday, December 31, 2015

With another year almost done and dusted it’s time to fill the esky and fire up the BBQ (if that’s what you’re into). For those less inclined to have a big night, there will be waves all around the country come Friday morning.

Whilst 2015 won’t go down as a great year for waves along the East Coast, surfers along the southern coastline have seen their fair share of great conditions (e.g. the infamous XXL swell). So with that in mind, how are the first few days of 2016 shaping up? In short, it’s going to be pretty good along the Eastern Seaboard, pretty bad along Australia’s Southern Coastline and somewhere in between throughout Western Australia.

The team at Coastalwatch would like to wish you all a happy and safe New Year.

SEE ALSO: This Year In Surfing 2015

Plenty of swell around this weekend. You may even snag some good waves like this if you get up at the crack of dawn Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Tommy51

Plenty of swell around this weekend. You may even snag some good waves like this if you get up at the crack of dawn Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Tommy51

Sydney, Newcastle & South Coast
There will be plenty of waves around across the East Coast this weekend. Early risers on Friday should awake to smooth offshore winds and 2-3ft waves in what’s shaping up to be a fun morning. There is a brief chance of early offshore winds on Saturday morning, however, they will be short lived as winds are forecast to tend SSE and strengthen throughout the day. A mid-period E swell is forecast to build throughout the day; possibly reaching 4ft by the afternoon, so not all is bad. This swell will hang around throughout Sunday as well. It looks like we will see moderate SE winds persist throughout the day with the possibility of early light winds.

SEE ALSO: Video, Hipster Tricks & Summer Waves

Friday
ESE swell. 2-3ft across exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WNW 0-5 knots tending NE 10-15 knots.

Saturday
Building E swell and leftover SE swell. 2-3ft building to 2-4ft across exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Light and variable tending SSE 5-10 knots, increasing to 15-20 knots.

Sunday
Mid-period E swell. 2-4ft across exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere.  WIND: Variable winds tending SE 15-20 knots.

. I dunno why you’re reading this, it’s pumping! Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: pennykempe

. I dunno why you’re reading this, it’s pumping! Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: pennykempe

QLD & Far Northern NSW
Those of you residing along the Nth NSW/ SE QLD stretch of coastline may have to rethink your New Year celebrations. There’s plenty of swell inbound to the region and with possible favourable morning winds, you won’t want to miss the session due to a dreaded hangover. Our SE swell is expected to fade a touch by tomorrow, leaving us with 3-5ft waves across Nth NSW, grading to 2-4ft along the QLD coast.

Fortunately, we are forecasting an increase in wave height by Saturday morning as a new, E to ESE swell graces our shores. Good waves should be on offer early, with heights of 3-5ft expected across QLD beaches and points. By Sunday, we will see a slight decrease in energy. But don’t worry, there will still be 3-4ft waves across the region.

SEE ALSO: Swell Alert Nth NSW / SE QLD 31st December

Friday
Short period SE swell. 3-5ft across Nth NSW. 2-4ft QLD beaches, grading to 2-3ft inside points and bays. WIND: SSW 10-15 knots tending SSE 20-25 knots.

Saturday
Mid-period ESE swell. 4-5ft+ across Nth NSW. 3-5ft along QLD beaches and points. WIND: SSW/SW 10-20 knots tending SSE 20-25 knots.

Sunday
Easing mid-period ESE/ SE swell. 3-4ft+ across Nth NSW. 3-4ft long QLD beaches and points. WIND: SSW 10-20 knots tending SSE 15-25 knots.

Good luck trying to find clean waves this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Steve81

Good luck trying to find clean waves this weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member: Steve81

Victoria
As far as waves are concerned, 2015 was a great year in Victoria. Unfortunately, the first weekend of 2016 will be the poorest we’ve seen in some time. A stationary trough and a band of high pressure to the south will do their best to provide you with onshore E to SE winds.

To make things worse, our SW/ WSW swell won’t provide too much energy. Instead, we will have to rely on these onshore winds to generate some local, short-range swell. On a more positive note, the Surf Coast will be exposed to this SE windswell; whilst it will be onshore, wave heights across this normally sheltered coastline are forecast to reach 3-4ft on Sunday afternoon. Those of you residing along the East Coast may have to find another hobby for the time being.

SEE ALSO: Video, How To Surf Without Surfing

Friday
Mid-period WSW swell and building short range S swell. 2-4ft across the East Coast. 1-2ft increasing to 2ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: W 10-15 knots tending S 10-15 knots by late morning before strengthening to 20-25 knots.

Saturday
Small SW/ WSW swell and SE windswell. 2-3ft across the East Coast. 2ft building to 2-3ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: SE 15-25 knots increasing to 20-30 knots.

Sunday
Small SW swell and SE windswell. 2-3ft across the East Coast. 3-4ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: ESE 20-25 knots tending SE 25-30 knots.

Unfortunately, surfers won’t be seeing waves like this in Sth Aus this weekend Photo: Matt McKay

Unfortunately, surfers won’t be seeing waves like this in Sth Aus this weekend Photo: Matt McKay

South Australia
It looks like a good weekend to do those chores you’ve been putting off over the holiday period, especially for those of you along the Mid Coast. A persistent E to SE wind regime will destroy what little SW swell there is across the region. In saying this, these winds will whip up a short range SE windswell, so for those keen surfers willing to surf onshore mush, those breaks exposed to the southeast will have some waves.

SEE ALSO: Point Break Review: Forget Everything You Know About The Original!

Friday
Small SW swell. 2-3ft across the South Coast. Grading to flat along the Mid Coast. WIND: SSE 15-20 knots increasing to 20-25 knots.

Saturday
SW swell and SE windswell. 2-3ft across the South Coast, slightly larger across exposed SE facing beaches. Grading to flat along the Mid Coast. WIND: SE 20-25 knots.

Sunday
SSW swell and SE windswell. 2-3ft across the South Coast, slightly larger across exposed SE facing beaches. Grading to flat along the Mid Coast. WIND: SE 15-20 knots tending SSE 15-20 knots.

The waves will look like this over the weekend, but only if you’re an ant or maybe an toy soldier. Photo: Dan Wyer

The waves will look like this over the weekend, but only if you’re an ant or maybe an toy soldier. Photo: Dan Wyer

Western Australia
Every day should have extended periods of stiff offshore winds along the W.A coastline. However, thanks to a band of high pressure in the South Indian Ocean, there will be an obvious lack of wave energy. Small 1-2ft waves will bring in the New Year along the SW Coast, grading to near flat further north.

By Saturday, models are showing a minor increase in SW swell and so, we may see some 1-2ft+ waves trickle toward the SW Coast. Thankfully, a new SW groundswell should start to filter through overnight, pushing fun 2-3ft waves toward the SW Coast (grading smaller across Perth/ Mandurah). We may even see some larger albeit, inconsistent sets across exposed locations thanks to the long period nature of this swell.

SEE ALSO: Video Exclusive, Junkyard Dogs

Friday
Small SW swell. Southwest coast: 1-2ft across exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 0.5ft at exposed beaches, grading flat elsewhere. WIND: ESE 15-20 knots decreasing to 10-15 knots. 

Saturday
Low scale SW swell. Southwest coast: 1-2ft+ across exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft at exposed beaches, grading flat elsewhere. WIND: E 15-20 knots tending SSE 10-15 knots.

Sunday
Small rise in SW swell. Southwest coast: 2-3ft+ with possible larger, inconsistent sets across exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft at exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: E 15-20 knots tending WNW 15-20 knots.

Tags: weekend , surf , forecast , surfing , january , matt , mckay (create Alert from these tags)

blog comments powered by Disqus
Features
An Epic Week of Pipeline Viewing, the First Teaser For Laura's Movie, and Incredible Baiyungu Country Barrels

An Epic Week of Pipeline Viewing, the First Teaser For Laura's Movie, and Incredible Baiyungu Country Barrels

This Week In Surfing: Ten Things from Surfing & the Internet on the Week That Was December 13, 2019

13 Dec 2019
Mark Visser on Preparing Kelly Slater For the Pipe Masters

Mark Visser on Preparing Kelly Slater For the Pipe Masters

"We really worked a lot on the ability to feel versus think!"

13 Dec 2019
Tested: G-Lite Fun Machines

Tested: G-Lite Fun Machines

Softboards for when you’re feeling hard

13 Dec 2019
Recent

Mark Visser on Preparing Kelly Slater For the Pipe Masters

"We really worked a lot on the ability to feel versus think!"

13 Dec 2019
Nick Carroll: A Beautiful Round at Pipe, a 10 for the GOAT

Nick Carroll: A Beautiful Round at Pipe, a 10 for the GOAT

1 12 Dec 2019
Sean Doherty: Medina & Italo Ride On, Jordy & Filipe Crash Out, While Slater Has His GOAT Moment

Sean Doherty: Medina & Italo Ride On, Jordy & Filipe Crash Out, While Slater Has His GOAT Moment

1 12 Dec 2019
Nick Carroll: Grading The World Title Contenders on Day 1 of their Pipeline Showdown

Nick Carroll: Grading The World Title Contenders on Day 1 of their Pipeline Showdown

11 Dec 2019
Sean Doherty: Medina Dominant, John John Back and Zeke On a Mission as Pipe Gets Started

Sean Doherty: Medina Dominant, John John Back and Zeke On a Mission as Pipe Gets Started

1 11 Dec 2019
Go to Top