Barton Lynch's Best Hawaiian Winter Ever & This Week's Swell Outlook

1 Feb 2016 0 Share

Matt McKay

Swell Forecaster

Tom Carroll Descends Himalayas, Photo captured by Larry Haynes from Instagram

Tom Carroll Descends Himalayas, Photo captured by Larry Haynes from Instagram

Several days ago a low-pressure system consolidated to the south-west of the Bering Sea. Although this system isn’t as strong as the storms responsible for the recent XXL swells that have hit Hawaii over the past couple of weeks, it should still generate some great waves on the North Shore.

1988 World Champion and Pipe Master Barton Lynch commented on the spectacular run since November. "From my point of view this is without a doubt, one of the best winters I have ever experienced and if it keeps up, it could be the best in my 30 plus years of coming here. Non-stop swell and light winds have continued for a month now, and they had two swells in the 20-foot range before November even started." 

Despite the Eddie unable to run the continued run of swell has kept everyone happy with Jaws, Himalayas and a number of other favourable big wave and popular breaks turning on keeping everyone occupied and surfed out at the end of each day. 

SEE ALSO: Jamie Mitchell, All Guns Blazing

As surfer's we live for the search and we love storms. This week's storm is located about 1200 nautical miles to the WNW of the Hawaiian chain with recent ASCAT passes showing strong winds (45-55+ kt) around the core, grading to 30-35kn along the SW flank. From this, we should see a solid mid-period WNW-NW groundswell fill in over the next 12-18hrs, with an initial peak expected within 24hrs (Monday afternoon Hawaiian time). Judging by current model guidance, wave heights of 6-8ft+ are forecast for Pipeline and Backdoor, which is great news for those involved with the Volcom Pipe Pro.

Wave energy is expected hold overnight and into Tuesday morning as our low edges closer to Hawaii. The latest MSLP guidance is indicating that this storm will re-intensify as it tracks ESE over the next 36 hrs. The WWIII model run is also showing this, with the arrival of a reinforcing NW groundswell now expected to rear its head come Tuesday afternoon. At this stage, Wednesday morning looks like it will mark the high point of wave energy with 8-10ft waves possible. An easing trend is expected from Wednesday morning through to Saturday.

As for winds, well they should be ideal throughout the early hours of Monday before the trade winds kick into gear. By Tuesday, they look like tending ENE/ NE throughout the day while Wednesday should see winds swing back around to the east. The map below indicates that this week's storm is forecast to re-intensify as it tracks ESE, resulting in Wednesday's peak. Source: NOAA 

SEE ALSO: Ross Clarke-Jones & Mason Ho Are Ready For The Eddie

This storm is forecast to re-intensify as it tracks ESE, resulting in Wednesday's peak. Source: NOAA

This storm is forecast to re-intensify as it tracks ESE, resulting in Wednesday's peak. Source: NOAA

Tags: topnews , hawaii , forecast , february , barton , lynch (create Alert from these tags)

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