Weekend Surf Forecast 10 - 12 June, 2016
COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast
In the wake of the highs associated with one of the biggest, cleanest easterly swell events to slam the East Coast in recent memory, a lot of surfers are about to come crashing back down to earth as conditions revert to a more typical kind this weekend. The rare confluence of huge ENE swell and offshore winds saw epic conditions across the entire Eastern Seaboard on Monday – and since then it’s just been pumping at still large levels for several days.
Ok, enough with the gratuitous links. Across the East Coast the tail end of this episode continues to linger at a fun size on Friday and Saturday, making for smaller leftovers in the 2 to 3ft range. Conditions then revert to a more typical winter state on Sunday under a steep rise in S swell joined by strong winds from the same direction.
Further south, both Victoria and South Australia see a robust SW change rendering conditions a little unruly on Saturday. It won’t be until winds rapidly drop away to light NE to light and variable on Sunday that some good options will open up state-wide. If you’ve always wanted to do a fly-in-fly-out surf trip across the West Coast to score it at it’s best, then definitely keep your credit card in your wallet for now. A short lived window of clean conditions on Friday precedes the arrival of strong winds blowing from the wrong direction throughout the weekend – so best to save that one for another time.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
I imagine there are a lot of surfed out people around the place. In the wake of several days of big, clean easterly swell we can still look forward to a couple of days of smaller scale easterly swell; initially still hanging in around 3ft on Friday before fading to lower 2ft levels on Saturday.
Just as the E swell starts to peter out it’s overtaken by a large, wintery round of south swell; jacking up to chunky 4 to 6ft levels across south facing breaks by Sunday morning. Unfortunately, the onset of this episode coincides with strong southerly winds that are set to swing SE during the afternoon. So if you’re feeling a little surf-weary, you might just want to put your feet up and replay some of the recent epic moments accrued over the last few days.
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Drag yourself out of bed for yet another day of clean waves. New mid period E swell. 2 - 4ft at exposed locations, inconsistent in the upper range. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 10-15 knots.
Tiny leftovers. Mix of small, angular S swell and residual E swell. Sets to 2ft+ at exposed locations. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 10-15 knots.
Chunky, windy S swell. Sets to 4 – 6ft south facing beaches. Mixing with underlying E swell at 2 – 5ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: S 20 to 25 knots, easing to 15 to 20 knots and tending SSE to SE during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The biggest and best of this episode may have come and gone, but there’s still plenty of fun-sized leftovers on tap for those who still haven’t had their fill. Expect smaller E swell hovering around the 3ft mark on Friday under early light westerlies tending south later in the day. Saturday looks like starting out a little lacklustre, but the arrival of a small, reinforcing E swell should perpetuate the run of small-scale E swell; still ranging either side of 2ft across the region and holding this size on Sunday.
Milk the leftovers. Reinforcing ESE swell. 2 – 4ft northern NSW south facing breaks, grading to 2 - 3ft across southern QLD coasts and smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots shifting WSW early morning, then SSW to SSE 5 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Small but still fun. Residual ESE swell and small S swell. Inconsistent sets to 2 – 3ft exposed breaks. Smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: SW 5 to 15 knots, tending light and variable during the afternoon.
Improving conditions throughout the day. Fading ESE swell and slight SSE swell. 1 - 3ft northern NSW southern exposures. Around 2ft across southern QLD coasts and smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early S change 20 to 25 knots, tending SSE during the afternoon.
As we delve into the depths of winter conditions are looking colder, windier and really only for the truly dedicated – or perhaps only the truly insulated in a 5/4/3 wetsuit with booties, hood, etc. Friday marks a low-point in wave-energy across the state lending the focus to the exposed beach-breaks – but strong WNW winds will keep quality to a minimum all day.
The onset of a new SW groundswell on Saturday lends the focus to the Surf Coast as it builds in throughout the day – but again conditions are looking far from ideal under the influence of an early SW change kicking in at 20 to 25 knots. It won’t be until Sunday morning that conditions improve under light and variable winds, making for another good day across the Surf Coast as the swell subsides.
Small and wind-affected across exposed beaches. Small-scale SW/WSW swell. 2-3ft+ across exposed locations. Grading to 1-2ft on the Surf Coast. Winds: Early NW 10 to 20 knots, tending W to SW later.
A dog’s breakfast. Building SW groundswell. Picking up to 4-6ft early (probably smaller at first light) increasing to 5-8ft across the exposed coasts. Around 2-3ft, building to 3-4ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: Early W shifting SW 20 to 30 knots, tending SSW during the afternoon.
Cracking across the Surf Coast. Easing SW groundswell. 5 - 6ft+ exposed beaches early, dropping to 4 – 6ft. Wrapping into Surf Coast breaks around 2 - 3ft+. WIND: Early light SSE tending light and variable.
Fortune doesn’t really favour the weekend surfer of late and this trend continues over the next few days. Friday offers up a full day of large, clean surf as a strong SW swell shows peak size early before quickly tapering off during the day.
From Saturday morning onwards conditions look increasingly forgettable. A strengthening northerly airflow is set to wreak side-shore havoc on conditions throughout the day, so unless you’re somewhere southeast of Augusta you might be hard-pressed to find a clean wave. Sunday sees a strong westerly wind-shift further reducing your chances for a surf – so the upshot is make the most of Friday if you can.
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Pumping all morning. Quick SW swell shows through the morning, under a period of light to variable winds and rain. Southwest coast: Inconsistent 6ft+ sets early, tending 4-6ft and dropping through the day. Perth/Mandurah: Clean 2-3ft dropping 1-2ft. Light and variable winds, 5-10kts from E to NW during rain episodes.
Get in early before the northerly kicks. Easing SW swell with possible northerly wind shift. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft with possible N bump. NNE wind 5-10kts, tending NNW 15-20kt in afternoon.
Sleeping in looks 6ft and offshore. New WSW swell mixed with W windswell, sloppy onshore wind conditions. Southwest coast: 4-6ft+ rising 8-10ft. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft rising 3-4ft. NW winds 15-20kts early, freshening WSW 25-30kts in afternoon.
Friday offers up one more day of small, clean SW swell across the region before conditions turn sour on Saturday. The arrival of a steep rising SW groundswell is marred by strong southerly quarter winds on Saturday morning; rendering conditions far from ideal all day. Thankfully, all is not lost. The rapid eastward migration of the associated frontal system leaves calm conditions in place throughout Sunday. Expect light NE to variable winds making for improving surface quality as SW swell continues to run at solid levels all day.
Mid period SW swell. 2 - 3ft across the exposed South Coast beaches. Grading to 0-1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: W 10-15 knots tending WNW 10-20 knots.
Building SSW swell. 3-4ft across the exposed beaches increasing to 4-6ft by the afternoon. 1ft increasing to 2ft+ along the Mid Coast. WIND: SSW 20-25 knots
SSW swell. 4-6ft decreasing to 3-5ft along exposed beaches. Grading to 2ft along the Mid Coast. WIND: Light NE to variable.
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