The Weekend Surf Forecast 16 - 18 June, 2017

15 Jun 2017 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Forecast issued Thursday, 15 June 2017

Mid June has seen typically energetic winter-swell levels keeping most surfing people content across all states. This trend continues over the weekend, with all regions holding rideable surf. However, the southern states are clearly the place to be this weekend. A combination of powerful SW groundswell and light offshore to variable winds points to “as good as they get” conditions across Victoria and South Australia this weekend. Sunday in particular, sees a heavy push in SW groundswell under light WNW winds producing an epic day across the Surf Coast. Similar conditions are set to prevail across the South Australia’s South Coasts – not to mention some of the state’s more remote regions – making it a great time be on the hunt for waves down that way.

Western Australia is also producing the goods on Saturday as a solid 4 to 8ft SW swell coincides with light winds. In comparison, the Eastern Seaboard isn’t looking particularly flash. Most of the NSW coast sees a mix of small-scale E and SSE swell in the water on Saturday, preceding a more substantial rise in S windswell under strong southerly winds on Sunday. This also applies to southern Queensland and northern NSW coasts as this week’s solid ESE swell steadily fades, before giving way to rising S windswell on Sunday.

The month of June has seen a non-stop run of powerful surf across many regions; and this trend will continue across the southern states this weekend. Photo: CW user Josh Whiting.

The month of June has seen a non-stop run of powerful surf across many regions; and this trend will continue across the southern states this weekend. Photo: CW user Josh Whiting.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
It’s amazing the difference a day makes in the world of surf forecasting. What was, just 24 hours ago looking like an epic round of easterly swell arriving early to mid next week has now been substantially downgraded to, well, not much at all. Instead, we can look forward to a couple of days of small surf; comprised of a mix of residual easterly swell and background SSE swell. This precedes a more substantial rise in southerly windswell throughout Sunday; albeit under strong southerly winds that will leave little to the imagination – particularly as they freshen to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.

Friday
ENE swell and residual SSE groundswell. Sets ranging from 1 – 3ft exposed breaks, inconsistent in the upper range and grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early light WSW to SW tending S 5 to 10 knots, then SSE later.

Saturday
Small-scale ENE and SSE swells. Around 1 - 2ft exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. SSE windswell picks up marginally during the afternoon. WIND: Early light SSW tending S 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon and up to 15 to 20 knots later.

Sunday
Rising S windswell. Junky windblown conditions ranging from 2 – 3ft+ south facing breaks early, building to 3 – 4ft during the day. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: SSW 15 to 25 knots, tending S 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon, possibly SSE later.

The run of clean conditions comes to a temporary end as strong southerly winds and rising S windswell set in across the NSW coast this weekend. Photo: CW user Luke Gordon.

The run of clean conditions comes to a temporary end as strong southerly winds and rising S windswell set in across the NSW coast this weekend. Photo: CW user Luke Gordon.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Expect a transition in wave-trains over the next few days as this week’s solid, short-period ESE swell pares back in size throughout Friday and Saturday, before giving way to a rising S windswell on Sunday. If you have the time, Friday morning should continue to offer up still good quality, albeit smaller 2 to 3ft waves inside the points and bays, with early SW to SSW winds producing the best conditions before they swing SSE during the day.

There will also be a component of S groundswell adding some power to conditions south of the border on Friday, but both swells are set to scale down a notch throughout the weekend. This should see still good sized sets ranging from 2 to 3ft across exposed breaks on Saturday, but by Sunday its likely to be down another foot – at least until the aforementioned S windswell begins to pick up under strengthening southerly winds throughout the afternoon.

Friday
Easing ESE swell. Sets to 2 - 4ft exposed breaks. Grading to 1 - 3ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SW to SSW tending SSE to SE 10 to 20 knots.

Saturday
Leftover E swell. Sets ranging from 1 – 3ft exposed breaks. Grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SW to SSW, tending S 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Residual E swell superseded by rising S windswell. Around 2 - 3ft+ exposed northern NSW breaks early, rising to 3 – 4ft during the day. Grading to 1 to 2ft exposed QLD breaks and smaller inside the points and bays, bigger later. WIND: Early SW to SSW 15 to 25 knots tending S 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.

This week's energetic run of ESE swell is on the way down this weekend. Photo: CW user Ashley.

This week's energetic run of ESE swell is on the way down this weekend. Photo: CW user Ashley.

Victoria
It’s shaping up as a weekend to remember across Victoria. A favourably positioned high pressure system sitting directly over Victoria keeps surface quality about as good as it gets across the Surf Coast – and with light WNW winds tending light and variable, there will also be great waves to be had anywhere holding the swell. Thursday marked the arrival of a strong, long-period SW groundswell that’s set to peak during the afternoon before slowly scaling down again throughout Friday. However, just as this pulse starts to back off, we have a two reinforcing pulses of SW groundswell inbound over the weekend – the second of which is set to push surf-heights up to large to heavy levels across all coasts on Sunday.

Friday
Easing SW groundswell. Solid 5 – 6ft+ exposed beaches. Sets to 4 - 5ft across the Surf Coast, easing during the afternoon. WIND: WNW 5 to 10 knots tending light and variable NW to NE during the afternoon.

Saturday
Reinforcing SW groundswell. Sets to 4 – 6ft exposed beaches. Wrapping at 3 - 4ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early NW to WNW 5 to 10 knots tending light and variable later.

Sunday
Heavy long-period SW swell builds in. Sets around 6 – 8ft+ exposed beaches early, building to 8 – 10ft+during the afternoon. Grading to 5 – 6ft+ across the Surf Coast early, rising to 6 – 8ft+ during the day. WIND: Light WNW 5 to 10 knots, tending SW during the day, then light and variable during the afternoon.

Swell for everyone in the south, Photo by Jordy Smith

Swell for everyone in the south, Photo by Jordy Smith

Western Australia
It’s shaping up as a typically great winter weekend of surf across the Southwest Coast. The onset of a strong round of SW groundswell on Friday should come to head early on Saturday; generating powerful surf ranging anywhere from 4 to 8ft depending on exposure. This pulse coincides with mostly light offshore, ENE winds tending to variable, so it should make for a full day of great conditions. Although the swell steadily drops off again throughout Sunday, we’re again looking at light offshore to variable winds making for another full day of good conditions.

Friday
SW groundswell fades with light winds. South West: 4-5ft sets, tending inconsistent with lulls. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft with lulls. WIND: Calm to light WNW 5 to 10kt, tending WSW 10 to 15 knots into the afternoon.

Saturday
New WSW groundswell reinforcement with light winds. South West coast: 4-6ft, inconsistent 6-8ft sets open breaks. Perth/Mandurah: inconsistent 2-3ft. WIND: Calm to E/NE 5 to 10kt, tending light variable in afternoon.

Sunday
Decreasing SW groundswell under variable light winds. South West: 4-6ft sets, fading 3-4ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft. WIND: Variable to light ENE, tending mild seabreeze in afternoon.

There's no shortage of solid, clean waves on offer across the Southwest this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

There's no shortage of solid, clean waves on offer across the Southwest this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
It’s hard to find fault with the forecast conditions across South Australia this weekend. With SW groundswell once again stacked to the horizon and beyond, there’s no shortage of powerful surf on tap across the state – particular on Sunday as a large to extra-large round of SW groundswell builds in statewide. The swell, combined with the calming effects of a large high building in across the state will result in several days of amazing conditions that should carry over into the first half of next week.

Friday
Strong SW groundswell continues. Sets ranging from 3 – 6ft exposed South Coast beaches, easing marginally later in the day. Around 1 – 2ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light NNE 5 knots tending light and variable.

Saturday
Easing SW groundswell. Ranging from 3 – 5ft exposed South Coast beaches early, easing during the afternoon. Up to 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light NE to NW tending SW to S 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Reinforcing SW groundswell. Clean sets 3 – 6ft exposed South Coast breaks, fading later. Ranging from 1 – 3ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light NW to NNE, tending light and variable.

South Australia is primed to pump this weekend, both near and far. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia is primed to pump this weekend, both near and far. Photo: Dan Wyer.


Tags: ben , macartney , weekend , forecast , topnews (create Alert from these tags)

blog comments powered by Disqus
Features
Watch: Episode 8 of Rivals – Danny Wills at Home on the NSW North Coast

Watch: Episode 8 of Rivals – Danny Wills at Home on the NSW North Coast

We're loving this home grown surf show!

29 Sep 2020
Lockdown Diaries: Meet the American Surfer Who Got "Stuck" at Supersuck

Lockdown Diaries: Meet the American Surfer Who Got "Stuck" at Supersuck

"They closed the borders, everything got cancelled, I got shut-in, and I stayed at Supersuck for four months. Pigdog heaven."

28 Sep 2020
Recent
Watch: Episode 8 of Rivals – Danny Wills at Home on the NSW North Coast

Watch: Episode 8 of Rivals – Danny Wills at Home on the NSW North Coast

29 Sep 2020
Watch: Episode 7 of Rivals – Bede Durbidge at Home in 4-5ft Straddie Barrels

Watch: Episode 7 of Rivals – Bede Durbidge at Home in 4-5ft Straddie Barrels

25 Sep 2020
Smashed In Vicco: A Couple Of The Lockdown State’s Finest Get Caught In The Mangler

Smashed In Vicco: A Couple Of The Lockdown State’s Finest Get Caught In The Mangler

2 22 Sep 2020
Master and Apprentice: Bethany Hamilton and Erin Brooks

Master and Apprentice: Bethany Hamilton and Erin Brooks

21 Sep 2020
Latest News

Smashed In Vicco: A Couple Of The Lockdown State’s Finest Get Caught In The Mangler

For a good chunk of this winter, it seemed like the Vicco crew had become the poor cousins of the surfing world...

Master and Apprentice: Bethany Hamilton and Erin Brooks

When Erin Brooks was nine and at the very beginning of her surfing journey, she met Bethany Hamilton.

Popular This Week

The Social Visa: Wondering How All These Surf Stars Are Cruising Around Indo? Here Ya Go

Remember when all this carnage started in March? And how briefly it looked like a whole Indo surf season would be going untravelled?

Forecaster Blog: La Niña conditions are here, what does it mean for Surf?

La Nina conditions continue to develop. Will the surf pump?

Padang Comes to Life as Late Season Swell hits Bali

Golden hour at perfect Padang Padang - it's been a good week to be in Bali... Photo: Childs

Go to Top