Weekend Surf Forecast 9 - 11 November 2018

8 Nov 2018 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Issued Thursday, 8 November 2018

On the one hand, there’s nowhere really on the pump this weekend, but on the other, there’s plenty of waves no matter where you look. And given its early November, I think that means everything is pretty much as it should be. The current round of SSE swell moving up along the Eastern Seaboard is set to rapidly drop-off across Sydney and the South Coast – and that means you’re well advised to make the most of what’s leftover on Friday morning, with very little in the way of wave-energy anticipated over the weekend. You’ll fare better further north. Far northern NSW and southern Queensland coasts will see the bulk of this episode peaking early on Friday – and this should culminate in smaller, but still fun-sized leftovers on Saturday.

Further south, a consistent run of smaller-scale SW swell offers up good rideable options across all Victorian coasts over the next few days, with the Surf Coast looking like the pick under a mostly light westerly wind-regime. Similar conditions prevailing across South Australian coasts also lend the focus to the more exposed south facing areas across the state – both on Saturday and Sunday. Last but not least, the Southwest Coast sees a few cracking mornings along the most exposed reefs as small to mid-sized SW swell coincides with early offshores. Wherever you are, have a great weekend!


Photo: Pace yourself. Uploaded to CW by Dan Bielich.

Photo: Pace yourself. Uploaded to CW by Dan Bielich.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Going, going and goneskies. That sums up the situation over the next few days as fading SSE swell quickly dissipates; initially holding up at a fun 2 to 3ft across Sydney’s south facing breaks on Friday morning before scaling down towards 2ft into the afternoon – and locations from Newcastle North will probably be pulling in a foot more. However, by Saturday there probably won’t be much in the way of surf to speak of as background S swell combines with some localised north-easterly wind-chop at 1 to 2ft at best – and that pretty much sets the trend for Sunday.

Friday
Leftover SSE swell. Sets ranging from 2 to 3ft south facing beaches early, dropping to 2ft into the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere and fading later. WIND: Early light WNW tending NE and freshening to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Mix of slight S and SE swells up to 1 to 2ft max at exposed breaks, mixing with slight NE windswell at low-levels elsewhere. WIND: Early light WNW to NW turning NE 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Sunday
Mix of smaller-scale NE and SSE swells up to 1ft+ exposed breaks, otherwise tiny to near-flat elsewhere. WIND: Early light WNW to NNW tending NE 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Friday morning sees the best window for some clean waves over the next few days as SSE swell rapidly fades under light offshore winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Hewysurf.

Friday morning sees the best window for some clean waves over the next few days as SSE swell rapidly fades under light offshore winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Hewysurf.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
There’s a couple of reasonably good days of surfing in store (particularly in the context of this week’s run of short-range NE windswell). A new round of SSE swell fills in across the region; showing peak size on Friday morning before gradually scaling down in size as swell direction transitions from SE to ESE over the weekend. Initially fresh onshore SE winds won’t be adding a whole lot of value to conditions along exposed beaches on Friday, but quality will be better as the gradient slackens over the weekend; opening up some small, accessible options in the 1 to 3ft range depending on location on both days.

Friday
Short-period S swell ranging from 3 to 4ft+ northern NSW south facing breaks and wrapping at 2 to 3ft along exposed QLD beaches and more like 1 to 2ft in the bays and along the points. WIND: Early S inshore 10 to 20 knots, tending SSE 15 to 25 knots during the morning, then lighter SE in the afternoon.

Saturday
Easing SE swell up to 2 to 3ft+ exposed northern NSW beaches, grading to 1 to 3ft across exposed QLD breaks and 1 to 2ft elsewhere. WIND: Early lighter inshore tending SE to ESE 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday
Slow rise in SE tradewind swell around 1 to 2ft+ exposed beaches early, bumping up to 2 to 3ft during the day. Mostly 1 to 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early light SW/SSW, turning SE 10 to 20 knots in the morning, freshening to 15 to 25 knots later.

An modest, early season burst of ESE tradewind swell gets underway this weekend, leading in peak size early to mid next week. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Rabbit.

An modest, early season burst of ESE tradewind swell gets underway this weekend, leading in peak size early to mid next week. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Rabbit.

Victoria
While there’s nothing that qualifies as epic showing up in the forecast, we can look forward to a string of reasonably good surfing days of surfing as mid-sized WSW swell offers up rideable waves state-wide. The only real constraint to quality is persistent westerly quarter winds, for the most part limiting good surface quality to the Surf Coast – at least until winds turn light and variable on Sunday morning.

Friday
Easing WSW swell settles into the 3 to 5ft range along exposed beaches, wrapping at 2 to 3ft+ on the Surf Coast reefs smaller later. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots, easing turning West to SW in the arvo.

Saturday
WSW swell up to 3 to 4ft along the exposed beaches. Sets wrapping at 2 to 3ft on the Surf Coast reefs, smaller elsewhere and easing later. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots, easing and tending southerly during the afternoon.

Sunday
Leftover WSW swell superseded by new SW groundswell. Around 3 to 5ft along exposed beaches, peaking at 4 to 6ft during the day. Wrapping at 2 to 3ft+ or so along the Surf Coast reefs, picking up to a solid 3 to 4ft. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light and variable tending S to SE 5 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

There won't be anything of this calibre this weekend, but still some fun waves to be had none the less. Photo: Judy Scanlon.

There won't be anything of this calibre this weekend, but still some fun waves to be had none the less. Photo: Judy Scanlon.

Western Australia
A run of smaller-scale SW swell opens up good options across the more exposed Southwest breaks over the next few days; for the most part ranging from 2 to 4ft across the region – at least until a new SW groundswell nudges set waves up a foot or two on Sunday. As per the current pattern, you’ll be wanting to schedule your surfs for the early hours to capitalise on lighter inshore SE winds, before they swing south and freshen into the afternoons.

Friday
Smaller scale SW swell fades under early cross-offshore winds. South West: Clean 2 to 4ft sets across exposed breaks, settling towards 2 to 3ft later. Perth/Mandurah: Clean in the 0.5 to 1ft range along exposed beaches. WIND: ESE to SE 10 to 15 knots, tending SSE and freshening later.

Saturday
Small WSW swell under early offshore winds. South West: Up to 2 to 3ft exposed breaks, inconsistent in the upper range. Perth/Mandurah: Flat to 0.5ft. WIND: Early SE to SSE tending South 15 to 25 knots.

Sunday
Potential for new SSW groundswell under early offshore winds. South West: Sets ranging 3 to 5ft across exposed breaks, easing in the afternoon. Perth, Mandurah: Around 1ft+ at exposed beaches. WIND: Early SE to SSE 10 to 20 knots, tending South to SW and freshening later.

The most exposed Southwest breaks will be the pick over the next few mornings, albeit under fairly fresh SE to SSE winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by East_Chap.

The most exposed Southwest breaks will be the pick over the next few mornings, albeit under fairly fresh SE to SSE winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by East_Chap.

South Australia
There’s good waves on tap over the coming days as small to mid-sized SSW swell coincides with mostly early light winds, tending to onshores in the afternoons. Initially a slow downward trend in wave energy lends the focus to the most exposed South Coast breaks on Saturday, but that will start to change on Sunday with the arrival of a new SSW groundswell.

Friday
SSW swell further eases. South Coast: Sets Around 3 to 4ft Waits and Parsons, easing later. Sets up to 2 to 3ft around Middleton, fading later. Mid Coast: WSW swell up to 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: Light NNW to NW inshore, tending WNW to WSW 10 knots, then SW later.

Saturday
Residual SSW swell down to a slower 2 to 3ft at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at about 2ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Up to 0.5ft. WIND: Light and variable land-breezes inshore early, tending SSW to SSE around 10 knots.

Sunday
Small SSW swell rebuilds under light winds. South Coast: Sets up to a clean 2 to 3ft early, rising to 3 to 5ft at Waits and Parsons. Around 1 to 2ft at Middleton, picking up during the afternoon. Mid Coast: Around 0.5ft. WIND: Early light ENE tending S to SE sea-breezes 5 to 15 knots.

The more exposed South Australian breaks will be looking good under light and variable winds on Sunday morning. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Mariokart.

The more exposed South Australian breaks will be looking good under light and variable winds on Sunday morning. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Mariokart.


Tags: Weekend Surf Forecast , Ben Macartney (create Alert from these tags)

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