Long Weekend Surf Forecast 7 - 10 June 2019
Issued Thursday, 6 June 2019
Around most of country, the long-weekend is shaping up as a great window to be chasing down good surf – particularly on the East Coast. There is only one region where you would straight up not want to be – but I’ll get to that in a sec. The Eastern Seaboard, however, is about to pump. Big time. The arrival of a large, long-period Southerly groundswell on Friday will again have the more experienced among us busting out big-boards across Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast – and there will only be a short lag before it shows up across northern NSW and southern Queensland. In it’s wake, we’ll see a wide range of great surfing options opening up across the entire region as the tail end of the swell drops back to increasingly manageable levels under offshore breezes.
Further south, surfers across Victoria and South Australia will fare ok as a relatively subdued swell-regime coincides with persistent northerly quarter winds for several days to come. That leaves the Southwest as the only place you really don’t want to be. Days of howling westerly winds (by howling, we’re talking 30 to 45 knots of straight onshores) render the entire region a no-go-zone when it comes to surfing – and it will also be cold and rainy to boot. Wherever you find yourself, have a great long weekend.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Just when you thought it was safe to jump back on your short-board, we have yet another powerful round of South groundswell inbound over the next 24 hours. While this will undoubtedly fall well short of Tuesday’s freak spike in South storm-swell (there are plenty of guys who saw it arrive saying it’s the steepest and one of the largest spike’s they’ve ever seen), this is still shaping up as a large and powerful event: derived from an intense Southern Ocean storm that carried a broad fetch area across our long-range swell window on Wednesday and Thursday, exhibiting core wind-speeds of 40 to 50 knots. Both the location, longevity and alignment of this fetch all lend high confidence to a big pulse arriving on Friday. In it’s wake, the tail end of the swell will offer up great conditions on Friday, with scope for a small, reinforcing pulse of South swell on Sunday making for a full weekend of great conditions.
Large, long-period Southerly groundswell peaks at around 6 to 8ft+ across south facing breaks, up to 8 to 12ft on offshore reefs. Settling marginally during the afternoon. Wrapping at anywhere from 3 to 6ft+ along open beaches with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SW/SSW around 10 to 15 knots, easing and tending lighter South to SSE and in the afternoon.
Easing SSE groundswell. Around 3 to 5ft across south facing beaches early, easing to 2 to 4ft in the afternoon. Wrapping at lower levels along open beaches with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light Westerly around 5 knots, tending light North up to 10 knots in the afternoon.
Reinforcing South groundswell supersedes residual SSE swell. Sets around 2 to 3ft+ south facing beaches, grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure and fading in the afternoon. WIND: Early light WNW around 5 to 10 knots, tending light and variable to light Northerly seabreezes around 10 knots in the afternoon.
Leftover SSE swell up to 1 to 2ft across southern exposures, verging on flat elsewhere. WIND: Early light NW 10 knots, tending NNW up to 10 to 15 knots in the arvo.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
As discussed in more detail above, we have another serious pulse of Southerly groundswell inbound this weekend; building steeply across northern NSW on Friday arvo and holding plenty of size throughout Saturday. It’s looking big enough to max out the majority of northern NSW south-swell magnets, so you’ll be wanting to find a less-exposed open beach or sheltered point making sense of the long-period energy. It’s also looking big and powerful enough to wrap in at respectable, 3 to 4ft levels north of the border – and a wider range of surfable options should open up as it drops off on Sunday.
Mid and long-period South groundswell rebuilds. Ranging from 5 to 6ft+ across northern NSW south facing coasts, building to 6 to 8ft+ in the late afternoon. Wrapping at 2 to 3ft exposed QLD beaches, rising to 3 to 4ft later. Grading to a smaller 1 to 3ft along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure, picking up in the afternoon. WIND: SW to SSW 10 to 20 knots inshore, tending South in the morning and SSE to SE 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Long period SSE groundswell slowly abates. Northern NSW: Sets ranging from 6 to 8ft+ across south facing coasts, wrapping at anywhere from 3 to 6ft+ along open beaches with size depending on exposure. Southern QLD: Wrapping at 3 to 5ft exposed QLD beaches and grading to 2 to 3ft+ along the open beaches and points with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SSW to South 10 to 15 knots inshore, tending SSE to SE and fading in the afternoon.
SSE groundswell slowly eases. Sets around 3 to 5ft across northern NSW south facing coasts, easing to 2 to 4ft later. Southern QLD: Wrapping at 2 to 3ft exposed beaches and grading to 1 to 3ft along the open beaches and points with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SSE in the afternoon.
Leftover SSE swell steadily fades. Slower sets to 2 to 3ft across northern NSW south facing beaches, fading in the afternoon. Wrapping at 1 to 2ft+ along exposed QLD coasts and grading to tiny levels along the points and inside the bays. WIND: Early SW tending SSW 5 to 15 knots, turning light and variable SE to NE in the afternoon.
The state’s exposed beaches quickly emerge as the go-to venues over the long weekend. A slow-moving high drifting out over the Tasman Sea maintains a northerly bias in winds for days to come; starting out more NNW to NW over the next few days, before tending more north perhaps even NNE into Sunday and Monday. This mostly favourable wind-regime coincides with a slow downward trend in wave-energy, brought about by the blocking influence of the same, slow moving high responsible for the offshore winds.
Easing SW swell under light winds. Semi-clean 3 to 5ft exposed beaches early, settling in the afternoon. Grading to a clean 2 to 3ft+ along the Surf Coast reefs, easing later. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots, tending lighter North, NW to NE in the afternoon.
New WSW groundswell. Up to a clean 4 to 5ft along the exposed beaches. Wrapping at a clean 2 to 3ft+ on the Surf Coast reefs and grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: NNW 10 to 15 knots, tending NW in the arvo.
Small WSW groundswell. Around 2 to 3ft+ along exposed beaches, wrapping at a clean 1 to 2ft along the Surf Coast reefs. Otherwise grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: NW to NNW 10 to 15 knots, tending North, NNE in the afternoon.
Combined SW and WSW groundswells slowly ease. Around 2 to 3ft along exposed beaches, wrapping at about 1 to 2ft along the Surf Coast reefs, otherwise grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: North to NNW 15 to 25 knots.
You are best advised to vacate the region for the impending long-weekend - otherwise, get ready for some long-stints indoors. As far as I can tell, it doesn’t get much more stormy and windblown than what’s in store for the Southwest as a series of vigorous frontal lows hammer the region for days to come. Go on, do it. Book a ticket, pack the car and head for greener pastures.
Still large NNW storm-swell overwhelms underlying SW swell under fresh onshore winds. Southwest: Around 4 to 6ft+ along exposed breaks, easing during the afternoon, otherwise grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth: Around 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: WSW to SW 15 to 25 knots, tending Westerly later.
Scope for stronger SSW groundswell building steeply throughout the day. South West: Sets ranging from 5 to 6ft+ across exposed breaks, rising to 6 to 8ft+ during the day and bigger in the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth/Mandurah: Sets in the 2ft range, picking up later. WIND: NW 25 to 35 knots, tending Westerly during the day, then WSW in the afternoon.
Stormy SSW swell peaks under strong onshore winds. Southwest: Potentially peaking a chaotic 10 to 15ft+ along exposed breaks, downgrading or upgrading still possible as the week progresses. Perth: Stormy 3 to 4ft sets. WIND: Westerly or WSW up to 35 to 45 knots, tending Westerly later.
Heavy SSW groundswell slowly eases. South West: Stormy 10 to 12ft+ sets across exposed breaks, settling marginally in the afternoon. Perth/Mandurah: Up to a windblown 2 to 4ft. WIND: Westerly, WSW 25 to 40 knots.
Small, clean and fun. That’s what’s happening across SA’s more exposed stretches of coast that look south or southwest into the Southern Ocean over the next few days. The knock on effect of a large high pressure system drifting over the state is a combination of small-scale SW swell and offshore northerly quarter winds; a pattern that looks like remaining in place right through to early next week.
Easing SSW groundswell under offshore winds. South Coast: Around 2 to 3ft around Waits and Parsons, grading to 1 to 2ft or so around Middleton, fading in the afternoon Mid Coast: Virtually flat. WIND: NNE 10 to 15 knots.
Slight SW groundswell under offshore winds. South Coast: Slow, clean sets 2 to 3ft at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at an infrequent 1 to 2ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Virtually flat. WIND: Northerly 10 to 15 knots, tending NNW in the afternoon.
Small SW groundswell picks up into the afternoon. South Coast: Sets around 2 to 3ft+ at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at 1 to 2ft+ at Middleton, undersized early. Mid Coast: Flat to 0.5ft. WIND: Northerly 15 to 20 knots, possibly tending NNE later.
Potential for small SSW swell superseded by rising WSW groundswell. South Coast: Windy 2 to 4ft at Waits and Parsons, picking up in the afternoon. More like 1 to 2ft+ around Middleton, bigger later. Mid Coast: Around 0.5ft. WIND: NNW 15 to 25 knots, tending NW in the afternoon.
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