Bali, Indonesia Surf Forecast 1 - 13 November, 2017

31 Oct 2017 1

COASTALWATCH | BALI, INDO SURF FORECAST 

Forecast Issued Tuesday, 31 October 2017

It may be late season but Indo is still stirring with swell activity this week. A new push of SW groundswell will fill in Tuesday night and we see good surf continue over the first few days of November. And that’s not a wrap up of the season yet. A smaller secondary pulse of long period sets continue to keep the late season alive through early Friday before swells taper down through mid November.


Photo by Scotty Holland.

Photo by Scotty Holland.

Short Forecast 
A deepwater SW groundswell pushes in Tuesday night and we see a large late season dose of overhead sets deliver above average wave heights Wednesday morning. Conditions hold generally good through the week with light winds, tending calm early to light SW in the afternoons. Expect a secondary SW swell of smaller size to fill in Friday morning and this helps produce long period head high sets before surf decreases into the weekend.

Daily Summary

Wednesday 1
Larger long period SW groundswell fills in to a peak early and holds through the afternoon. Inconsistent 6 - 8ft exposed breaks tending occasionally 8-10ft on better focal breaks. WIND: Light and variable W tending SW 10 knots through the day.

Thursday 2
Decreasing long period SW swell, tending inconsistent. Sets easing 4 – 6ft+ early and occasionally better at exposed breaks early. Grading smaller in afternoon. WIND: Early light and variable tending S to 10 knots in afternoon.

Friday 3
New reinforcement SW groundswell peaks early. Sets hold up in the 4 – 6ft+ range on exposed breaks, tending inconsistent with lulls likely. Grading smaller depending on exposure. WIND: Variable to light tending SE to 10 knots.

Saturday 4
SW swell slowly decreasing. Easing sets tending from 4 – 5ft exposed breaks early then dropping 3-4ft through the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Light S early, tending SE to 15 knots in afternoon.

Sunday 5
SW swell decreases. Residual sets 3 – 4ft exposed breaks, fading to small scale in afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early light and variable E tending SE 10 to 15 knots in afternoon. 

Monday 6
Small scale leftover SW swell. Sets inconsistent 2 – 3ft+ and tending weaker through the day. WIND: Early light and variable tending SE 10 to 15 knots in afternoon.

CW wave tracker’s Indo Chart. Best conditions Wednesday morning as a SW groundswell fills in under light winds. 

Overview
Clean and fun sized surf shows for the first week of November with SW groundswell pulsing up wave heights Wednesday morning. Under continued light wind conditions, this offers a good run of 6-10ft sets on exposed beaches before surf slowly and gradually decreases Thursday. The long period swell should be noted to be inconsistent but still showing up a good and decent fun range pulse. Overall, surf will remain solid considering its so late in the season and this will hold up a good final run of overhead surf for the start of November.

A broader secondary SW swell will push up Thursday night, stemming off the interaction of a weaker polar low and an elongated area of high pressure in the central Indian Ocean last weekend. This deepwater SW groundswell offers smaller size but still a fair push of long period energy in the 17 second swell band, giving exposed areas a reinforcement of spaced out 6ft range set waves Friday morning the 7th November before fading off to smaller scale surf Saturday and Sunday.

For conditions, winds are projected to hold light, initially tending SW midweek before returning to a trade wind flow from Friday through the weekend. Over the weekend, surf fades down just as a trade wind pattern of winds returns so we are looking at deteriorating surf. Saturday the swell will continue to drop size and sets return small and less consistent, leaving better breaks topping off in the 4ft range and best early before seabreeze and trades fill in through the afternoons.

Beyond this week, a decreasing trend will take over and a downward and slower swell trend will finally correspond with the seasonal shift. There is a small exception of a distant SSW groundswell that will reinforce the occasional refracted sets of around 4ft into exposed and south focal areas on Thursday 9 November. That offers some inconsistent small to mid range swell, however, the following week will return generally small scale. Expect only minimal underlying SW swell energy trickling in the occasional 2ft range through to the following weekend. 

Image provided by Wave Tracker.

Image provided by Wave Tracker.

Long Range 
Overall, that seems to be the end of the seasonal swells for Indo this year so best to take advantage of what’s left on tap for swell this week! Way further out, the long range charts indicate some deepwater storms under Madagascar late next week could push up some longer period swell sources around the 14th November. Check out CW wave tracker if you would like to track up that storm over the coming weeks. 


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