Bali, Indonesia Surf Forecast 22 - 31 May, 2019
Forecast Issued Tuesday, May 21, 2019
In the wake of a great day of competition at the Corona Bali Protected on Monday we’re now seeing wave-energy subsiding to a lower 2ft to occasional 3ft-ebb across Indonesia’s exposed coasts. This looks like setting the trend in the near-term as another small-scale SSW pulse slowly fills in on Wednesday and Thursday; again offering up fun, but slow 2 to 3ft sets at the major breaks. It now looks like it won’t be until the weekend that we see a more substantial round of mid-sized SSW groundswell providing a better opportunity to finish the contest; prospectively in the form of clean 3 to 4ft plus sets at Keramas – not to mention lighting up countless other breaks across Bali and the rest of the Archipelago all weekend.
A lull in significant swell-activity sees several days of smaller-scale SSW swell prevailing across the region for the remainder of the working week, preceding the arrival of a new, mid-range SSW groundswell during Friday and this weekend; probably topping out in the 3 to 5ft range on Saturday before slowly easing Sunday/ Monday. In it’s wake it looks like we’ll see a return to increasingly small/ tiny levels of SW and SSW swell setting in from Tuesday 28th to Thursday 30th, ahead of a new SW groundswell starting to fill in sometime around Friday 31st or Saturday 1st June.
Small SSW groundswell slowly fades. Slow sets ranging from 1 to 3ft exposed breaks, inconsistent in the upper range and more like 1 to 2ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light and variable tending ESE 10 to 15 knots and up to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Slight SSW groundswell. Ranging from 1 to 3ft exposed breaks, grading to tiny/ near-flat elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Early light and variable tending ESE 10 to 15 knots, freshening to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Leading forerunners of a new SSW groundswell start to fill in. Sets up to a slow 2 to 3ft along exposed breaks early, picking up to a slow 3 to 4ft+ in the afternoon. Otherwise smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light and variable tending ESE around 10 to 15 knots.
SSW groundswell peaks. Sets ranging from 3 to 4ft+ exposed breaks, grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Light and variable tending ESE around 10 to 15 knots.
Easing SSW groundswell. Sets to 3 to 4ft exposed breaks, slowing up to 2 to 4ft later. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Light and variable tending ESE 10 to 15 knots.
Leftover SSW swell slowly eases. Sets ranging from 2 to 3ft+ exposed breaks early, fading into the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Early light and variable tending ESE 10 to 15 knots.
The prospect of a more substantial SSW groundswell arriving into the final days of May hinges on the forecast development of an intense, mid-latitude storm; developing well south of Madagascar this weekend. As the system drifts slowly eastward above the Kerguelen Islands its set to gradually deepen; establishing strengthening southerly quarter fetch across its western flank on Sunday and Monday. Initially this fetch will be aimed most directly at the Maldives and Northern Sumatran coasts, but should also send out a notable pulse of SW groundswell towards Java and Bali.
However, as we enter this time frame the models begin to diverge on the location as it further develops early to mid next week. This phase will be crucial to the development of the resulting SW groundswell, so at this point there’s still plenty of give or take with respect to associated SW swell-potential. Further, the later-stages in this storm’s lifecycle may lead in a larger SSW swell event for Indonesia during the first week of June, but further departure in longer-term model guidance regarding the size and strength of the storm on Tuesday/ Wednesday next week lends more uncertainty to the swell-specifics. Stay tuned for more clarity on this in next week’s update.
Late June is on the pump across Indonesia.
The back half of June sees overlapping SSW swells inbound across Indonesia.
SSW groundswell is in bloom in June.
The waiting period has started
The waiting period has started
With five special QnA screenings with Nathan and Hollywood director Michael Oblowitz from this Sunday
Some of the best beach break waves in recent memory.
Check the highlights from a rad event
Epic winter conditions are on the horizon across the Eastern Seaboard.
This Week In Surfing: Ten Things From Surfing & the Internet on the Week That Was June 21, 2019
Brett has surfed all around the world, but his favourite place to surf is still around home
The Quiky pro would have killed for hard packed sandbanks like this.
Ital.. oh no