Weekend Surf Forecast 24 - 26 June, 2016

23 Jun 2016 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday, 23 June 2016

The lag in the decline in sea surface temperatures (SST’s) compared to air temps tends to make for idyllic surfing conditions across the NSW coast during early to mid winter. Such has been the case throughout the month of June, with relatively balmy, 20 to 23 degree SST’s coinciding with solid swell and offshore winds. This has allowed for long sessions in short-arm steamers – even spring-suits and vests for the hardier among us.

Earlier this week, a strong westerly airflow shunted much of the warmer surface water offshore, causing a sudden drop in SST’s to somewhere just below 20 degrees. I can tell you from my own experience that there was a whole lot of schadenfreude going on as those wrapped in sealed steamers looked on in secretive glee at the boggle-eyed shock of the uninsulated.

So if you didn’t already know, yes it’s cold and it’s probably going to get even colder as an even stronger westerly airflow sets in across the Eastern Seaboard this weekend and similarly windy conditions across the remaining states – so rug up.

SEE ALSO: Why The WSL Is Playing Gambling Ads On Its Webcasts

Clean, powerful winter conditions are once again on offer across the East Coast this weekend. Photo: CW user DKimber.

Clean, powerful winter conditions are once again on offer across the East Coast this weekend. Photo: CW user DKimber.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Seriously, how good is winter? At the risk of gushing rhetoric, it’s hard to think of more appealing conditions than the recent extended run of offshore winds and solid swell we’ve seen throughout the month of June. And yes, the run continues this weekend as a new, powerful round of S swell coincides with strong westerly quarter winds, making for clean, challenging, not to mention chilly conditions across the region all weekend.

SEE ALSO: Forecast Breakdown Video For East Coast South Swell

Friday
Virtually flat. Residual S swell 1 – 2ft south facing breaks, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early NNW 15 to 20 knots tending NW to W and freshening to 20 to 35 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Thumping S swell under honking offshore winds. Large S swell builds in. Potentially undersized early at 3 – 5ft across south facing breaks early, picking up to 4 – 6ft+ during the morning and up to 5 – 8ft during the day. Grading to 3 – 6ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WSW 15-25 knots, tending SW during the afternoon.

Sunday
Excellent, solid conditions under lighter offshores. SSE swell. 4 – 6ft south facing breaks, grading to 2 – 5ft elsewhere. Gradually easing during the afternoon, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 10-15 knots tending light WNW during the afternoon.

Expect big, clean conditions across NSW coast southern exposures this weekend. Photo: CW user Aidan Gunn.

Expect big, clean conditions across NSW coast southern exposures this weekend. Photo: CW user Aidan Gunn.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The onset of a more typical, winter south-swell regime produces the usual disparities in conditions across the region this weekend. While northern NSW feels the brunt of a solid round of S swell on Saturday and Sunday, the vast bulk of this energy will sail straight past southern Queensland coasts on its equatorward journey. Saturday in particular sees a deepwater SSW bias in swell direction leaving even the most exposed Queensland beaches bereft of any notable surf – and it probably won’t be until Sunday/ Monday that a more favourable SSE bias allows for some more substantial sets in the 2 to 3ft range.

SEE ALSO: Autumn On The Gold Coast - Barrels, Barrels, Barrels

Friday
Tiny to flat. Residual E swell 1 - 2ft exposed QLD breaks. S swell up to 2 – 3ft across northern NSW south facing breaks. Grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots, tending W and freshening to 15 to 25 knots during the arvo.

Saturday
Head south or bust. Steep rising S swell. Sets to 3 – 5ft northern NSW south facing breaks early, picking up to 5 – 6ft+ during the afternoon. Grading to 1 – 2ft at best southern QLD exposed beaches, bumping up later in the day. Grading to near flat inside the points and bays. WIND: W 10 to 20 knots, tending lighter SW during the day and S during the afternoon.

Sunday
Cranking south of the border
. S swell. Around 4 – 6ft northern NSW south facing breaks. Grading to 2 – 3ft southern Queensland exposed beaches and down to a smaller 1 – 2ft elsewhere. WIND: WSW/ SW 5 to 15 knots, tending light and variable during the afternoon.

Northern NSW coasts will pull in the lion's share of S swell this weekend. Photo: CW user Palmysurfer.

Northern NSW coasts will pull in the lion's share of S swell this weekend. Photo: CW user Palmysurfer.

Victoria
The arrival of a strong SW change on Friday afternoon spells the temporary end of the recent run of good conditions across the Surf Coast. The good news is they will progressively come good again over the course of the weekend, with lighter winds on Saturday making for reasonable quality surf in the 4ft range across the Torquay reefs are set to continue tIf you have time up your sleeve on Friday morning it’s well worth spending some time in water.

The prospect of some clean sets ranging either side of 4ft across the Surf Coast sounds a lot more appealing than the onshore conditions that are set to follow during Friday afternoon and throughout Saturday. Having said that, there will still be plenty of SW groundswell on-tap on Saturday so if you don’t mind a bit of lump and bump, it’s probably still well worth a paddle. Sunday holds more appeal as the onshore flow starts to peter out, making for good, slightly textured conditions state-wide throughout the day.

SEE ALSO: Indian Ocean Forecast Breakdown Video For VIC, WA & Indo

Friday
Get in early before the change. SW groundswell. Sets around 6– 8ft exposed breaks, grading to 4 - 6ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early WNW tending W ahead of a strong SW change 15 to 25 knots during the early afternoon.

Saturday
Good for the early and good for the late. Easing SW groundswell. Around 5 - 6ft+ across exposed locations. Grading to 3 - 4ft+ across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early W inshore tending SSW 10 to 20 knots easing and tending light WNW during the late afternoon.

Sunday
Clean conditions across the Surf Coast all day. SW swell. Around 4 – 5ft across exposed coasts. Around 2 - 4ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: NW 10 to 15 knots.

Once Friday's strong SW change subsides, expect conditions to steadily improve across the Surf Coast all weekend. Photo: CW user Fletcheroo.

Once Friday's strong SW change subsides, expect conditions to steadily improve across the Surf Coast all weekend. Photo: CW user Fletcheroo.

Western Australia
As far as winter conditions go across the West Coast, this weekend looks stereotypical. Friday marks a short-lived lull in wave activity preceding another onslaught of SW groundswell on Saturday; building to a heavy, wind-affected 8 to 12ft across exposed southwest coasts during the afternoon. However, it looks well worth seeking out some shelter from the brunt of the swell while southerly quarter winds remain in force. Sunday sees a full day of heavy SW swell coinciding with an emerging light to moderate north-westerly flow – which all sounds a bit dicey across exposed breaks holding the swell.

SEE ALSO: Indian Ocean Forecast Breakdown Video For VIC, WA & Indo

Friday
Get in early. S swell fades further. Southwest coast: 4-6ft dropping 3-4ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. Calm early, tending NE to NW wind 10kts in afternoon.

Saturday
Pumping inside the bays as the swell kicks during the afternoon. Rising SW groundswell. Southwest coast: 4-6ft early, building 8-10ft with larger 12ft sets late. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft occasional 3ft. SW winds 10kts early, tending S and decreasing in afternoon.

Sunday
Pretty sketchy across exposed coasts. Large SW groundswell peaks early. Lulls at times. Southwest coast: 10-12ft with larger 12-15ft sets on deepwater breaks. Perth/Mandurah: 2-3ft. Variable wind, shifting calm to NW 10kt.

It's looking big and wooly across the West Coast this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

It's looking big and wooly across the West Coast this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
The stormy conditions setting in across South Australian coasts are set to come to a head across the region on Friday; making for one windy, stormy day of waves best suited to kiteboarding – or perhaps staying at home, indoors. The outlook for the weekend is a different story. A new high pressure system rapidly building in over the state late Friday leads in a return to light offshore winds by Saturday morning, making for an excellent day of waves state-wide. This will set the trend of Sunday as an easing SW swell coincides with a fully day of offshore winds across the South Coast, so make hay while the sun shines.

Friday
Stormy SSW swell 4 - 6ft South Coast beaches, easing during the day. Grading to 2 - 3ft+ across the Mid Coast. WIND: WSW 25 to 35 knots, tending SW and rapidly easing during the afternoon.

Saturday
SSW groundswell 3 – 5ft South Coast breaks, easing during the afternoon. Around 1 - 2ft+ across the Mid Coast, rapidly easing. WIND: Early light NW to NE, tending N 5 to 15 knots.

Sunday
SSW groundswell 2 - 4ft exposed South Coast beaches. Around 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: NNW to NNE 10 to 15 knots.

Good conditions open up state-wide this weekend. Photo: CW user Pete.

Good conditions open up state-wide this weekend. Photo: CW user Pete.


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