Weekend Surf Forecast 8 - 10 July, 2016

7 Jul 2016 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday 7 July, 2016 

For some, the desire to surf on a day-to-day basis is all relative to your most recent surfing experiences. For those lucky enough to have spent a week or three amongst some of the warm, perfect line-ups of Indonesia this winter, dragging yourself out of a warm bed for a cold surf in winter can be a hard task – particularly when it’s a little raw and woolly. Similarly, if you’re still reminiscing on the big offshore days the East Coast experienced in June, you might find have to dig deep for some inspiration.

Across the NSW coast, that inspiration comes in the form of some solid offshore SSE swell early on Saturday, ahead of even cleaner SE/ESE swell for most of Sunday. Likewise, Victorian and South Australian exposed beaches are looking the goods for several days – good enough to don a hood and booties and brave the elements. It’s only across Western Australia’s Southwest Coast that conditions provide a legit excuse to sleep in, put your feet up, read a book or just find something – anything else to do as gig, stormy winter conditions prevail for several days. 

SEE ALSO: When Giants Ruled The Earth, The Joel Parkinson Interview

Winter continues to deliver - just about everywhere this weekend. Photo: CW user Oscar14.

Winter continues to deliver - just about everywhere this weekend. Photo: CW user Oscar14.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Winter returned with a vengeance on Thursday; reminding us that it’s not pumping and offshore every day of the year. Indeed, onshore southerly quarter winds continue to set the stage on Friday and Saturday; gradually easing in strength as a still robust SSE swell slowly abates. So expect still large, windy conditions on Friday, preceding a window of early lighter south-westerlies on Saturday morning – making for pretty good conditions state-wide. Moderate southerly winds are set to return during the day, so it’s worth making the most of the early offshore bias while it lasts. Otherwise, you could wait until Sunday morning; by which time the swell will have eased another notch and swung ESE – and there should see an early WSW bias in wind-direction preceding light and variable conditions setting in during the day.

Friday
Chunky, bumpy and lumpy. Mid period SSE swell. Sets to 5 – 6ft+ south facing beaches, grading to 4 – 6ft elsewhere. WIND: SSW 15 to 20 knots.

Saturday
Semi-clean and solid early. SE swell. Around 4 – 6ft exposed open and south facing beaches early, grading to 3 – 5ft+ elsewhere and easing during the day. WIND: SW inshore 10 to 15 knots, tending S during the day.

Sunday
Cranking all morning. ESE swell. Sets to 3 – 4ft exposed breaks, gradually easing. WIND: W 5-10 knots tending NE 5-15 knots later.

SEE ALSO: Tim Stevenson Is In Deep

The images of the early June ENE swell continue to flood in. Here's another from Betel Bailey.

The images of the early June ENE swell continue to flood in. Here's another from Betel Bailey.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The prospect of a windy south swell may not quite get the blood pumping like a big, clean ENE swell – but hey, it’s waves. Better than nothing, right?

Friday morning offers up a great window of opportunity across far northern NSW as early light WSW winds coincide with the leading edge of the new swell; producing clean waves ranging from 3 to 4ft at the more exposed breaks – and it’s worth making the most of these conditions before winds shift south and freshen into the afternoon. Likewise, getting amongst it early on Saturday and Sunday should reap the benefit of an early SW bias in inshore winds before they again turn south. Given the strong southerly bias inherent in the early stages of this episode, it’s likely to hold little appeal for southern Queensland surfers – at least until swell direction begins to come around to the SSE on Saturday.Although the swell gradually eases throughout the weekend, it probably won’t be until Sunday and Monday that a more favourable SE swell direction throws up some better quality surf north of the border.

Friday
Hunting around south of the border looks like the go.
. S swell. Solid 4 – 6ft northern NSW southern exposures, grading to 3 – 5ft open beaches and down to 1 – 3ft exposed southern Queensland coasts with size depending on exposure. Grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: WSW 5 to 15 knots early, tending SSW and freshening during the late arvo/ evening.

Saturday
Get in early before winds swing south. SSE swell. Sets to 4 – 5ft+ exposed northern NSW breaks. Grading to 2 – 4ft exposed southern Queensland beaches and down to 1 – 3ft inside the points and bays. WIND: SW/SSW 15 to 20 knots, tending S later.

Sunday
Pretty good everywhere you look. SE swell. Up to 3 – 4ft across exposed northern NSW beaches, grading to 2 – 3ft southern QLD exposed breaks and smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: SW/SSW 5 - 15 knots tending SSE to SE during the afternoon.

SEE ALSO: Atolls, Anchor Watch & Waves

Conditions should gradually improve across southern Queensland as swell direction transitions from SSE to SE over the course of the weekend. Photo: CW user Natrat.

Conditions should gradually improve across southern Queensland as swell direction transitions from SSE to SE over the course of the weekend. Photo: CW user Natrat.

Victoria
I don’t live in Victoria, but if I did – and I had Friday off, I’d be frothing at the prospect of some clean, solid beachbreak surf – somewhere across one of the region’s many exposed stretches of coast. While Friday is shaping up as the pick for size and conditions, there will still be no shortage of good waves to be had state-wide on Saturday. A slow easing in SW swell coincides with still favourable, westerly quarter winds on Saturday morning, tending variable into the afternoon. However, a continued decline in leftover SW swell is set to culminate in one of the smaller days of waves you’re likely to see across Victoria in winter. This temporary lull in wave activity should limit set waves to 2 to 3ft across the exposed beaches and it’s set to fade under the brunt of a freshening northerly flow, ironing out the residual swell during the afternoon. So if you’re thinking of long drive to one of the more remote, very exposed stretch of coast, it will definitely be a case of getting in earlier rather than later.

Friday
Pumping all day. Easing SW groundswell. Around 4 – 5ft across exposed coasts. Sets to 2 - 3ft+ across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early ENE to NE 10 to 20 knots, turning NNW to NNE during the day.

Saturday
Cracking across the exposed beachies. Easing SW swell. Sets to 3 – 4ft+ across exposed beaches early, easing during the afternoon. Wrapping into Surf Coast breaks around 1 - 3ft, inconsistent in the upper range and easing later. WIND: Light WNW to NW tending light onshore during the afternoon.

Sunday
The more exposed the better. Leftover SW swell. Sets around 2 – 3ft exposed beaches, easing later. Grading to 1ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: NNE 10 to 20 knots, tending N and freshening later.

SEE ALSO: Let The Kids Get Barrelled

The Surf Coast has had its moments this winter, but the exposed beaches are the focus this weekend. Photo: CW user Waveski.

The Surf Coast has had its moments this winter, but the exposed beaches are the focus this weekend. Photo: CW user Waveski.

Western Australia
There’s no use sugar-coating it – conditions are pretty much a write-off this weekend. Across the Southwest Coast, persistently big, cold, windblown conditions render the exposed breaks no-go zones over the coming days. Only the points and bays are likely to be making any sense of these conditions – and some of these venues may be worth a hunt around for some gems in the rough. Likewise Perth’s metro beaches are looking very unappealing under the onshore flow. It’s only further north – much further north, that you’ll find some high quality surf on offer for days at a stretch.

Friday
Poor, large WNW windswell coupled with WSW midperiod swell. Stormy conditions. Southwest coast: sloppy 6-8ft increasing 10-12ft with whitecaps. Perth/Mandurah: rising messy 4-5ft with whitecaps. Strong NW winds 20-30kts, tending W in afternoon 25-30kt. Heavy rain..

Saturday
Overlapping large mix of sloppy short period W and SW swells, coupled with strong SW wind. Southwest coast: sloppy 10-12ft with whitecapping windwaves. Perth/Mandurah: mixed up 4-5ft+ and whitecaps. SW winds 20-25kt, gusting higher 30kt+ in afternoon. Rainshowers.

Sunday
Whitecapped SW swell mix and strong SW winds. Southwest coast: sloppy 8-10ft with cross of large SW windswell. Perth/Mandurah: crossed up 3-5ft. SW winds 25-30kt+.

SEE ALSO: It's Coming... The Stories Behind The Swell

Only the points and bays will be making any sense of conditions across the Southwest this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

Only the points and bays will be making any sense of conditions across the Southwest this weekend. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
There’s some pretty fun looking waves on tap across South Australian coasts over the next couple of days. A slowly dying SSW continues to range either side of 3ft across the South Coast on Friday under favourable, northerly quarter winds. It’s worth making the most of these conditions while they last. While there should still be some fun-sized leftovers in the 2 to 3ft range across the most exposed breaks on Saturday under NE winds, it’s set to drop out to much smaller size by Sunday morning; probably down to 1 to 2ft.

Friday
Clean SSW swell 3 - 4ft South Coast beaches, easing during the day. Grading to 0.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Light NW, tending variable to NE during the afternoon.

Saturday
SSW groundswell 2 – 3ft South Coast breaks, easing during the afternoon. Flat across the Mid Coast, rapidly easing. WIND: Early light NE, freshening during the day.

Sunday
SSW groundswell 1 - 2ft exposed South Coast beaches. Flat across the Mid Coast. WIND: NNE 15 to 25 knots tending NNW later.

Small, clean conditions are on offer across SA this weekend. Photo: CW user DKimber.

Small, clean conditions are on offer across SA this weekend. Photo: CW user DKimber.


Tags: weekend , surf , forecast , ben , macartney , swell , topnews (create Alert from these tags)

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