The Weekend Surf Forecast 28 - 30 April, 2017
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
Are you surfed out yet? There’s been so many good waves around the country over the past fortnight, you might not even care what the surf’s going to be like this weekend. Just put your feet up and relax. Of course, the reality is, surfing good waves just makes people hungrier for more. Most of us wake up each day with a replenished reservoir of froth, ready to pounce on the next swell. That brings us to the next few days – and like the recent past, there’s tons of swell inbound just about everywhere you look.
Across the NSW coast we have a consistent run of S swell on tap; initially hanging in at size early on Friday before settling into the 2 to 3ft range on Saturday. This is backed up by a fresh, 3 to 4ft pulse on Sunday morning – the only downside being less than ideal southerly winds. The strong SSW bias inherent in this southerly pulse won’t be doing any favours for southern Queensland coasts, so if you’re hell-bent on scoring overhead waves you might want to consider a drive south of the border – where the surf will be pretty solid all weekend.
Down in Victoria, all signs point to the Surf Coast as the place to be over the next few days. A consistent run of mid to large SW swell coincides with westerly quarter winds; making for typically good surf mostly in the 3 to 4ft range across the premier breaks all weekend. Up the road, South Australian coasts also see a similar combination of west to south-westerly winds and solid SW swell, making for reasonably good to average conditions across the South Coast all weekend.
Last but not least, the West Coast is once again primed to fire – at least for most of the weekend. The onset of a new, long-period SW pulse supplies several days of powerful, mid-sized surf, mostly ranging from 3 to 6ft across the Southwest. Saturday sees the best of it as idyllic, light ENE winds greet the brunt of groundswell peaking in the 4 to 6ft range. Initially, Sunday morning is looking similarly crash hot, but they’re set to deteriorate as early SE winds turn SW, taking the shine off conditions during the afternoon.
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Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
We’re getting our first taste of the coming 2017 winter this weekend. Thursday’s large, directional spike in S swell is set to maintain large surf early on Friday before rapidly settling down throughout the day, leaving far more sedate leftovers in the 2 to 3ft plus range across the region on Saturday.The precedes a second, mid-sized pulse that should show most size early on Sunday in the 3 to 4ft range across southern exposures before backing off again as the day progresses.
Conditions will be at their best on Friday and Saturday mornings as lighter SW to WSW winds make for good quality waves before winds swing to the south. Conditions won’t be as appealing early on Sunday, with the passage of a cold front leading in moderate to strong southerly winds. The good news is the southerly flow should fade out as the day progresses, making for improving wave quality as the swell backs off into the afternoon.
Large S swell slowly abates. Sets ranging from 5 – 6ft+ south facing breaks at dawn, easing to 4 – 6ft during the morning and down to 3 – 4ft+ into the afternoon. Wrapping in at 2 to 5ft open breaks with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SW 15 to 25 knots, tending S and easing during the afternoon.
Leftover SSE swell. Ranging from 2 – 3ft+ south facing breaks early, grading smaller elsewhere. Potential for a minor increase in S swell during the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW 5 to 15 knots tending S during the day and freshening to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
Reinforcing S swell. Sets up to 3 - 4ft south facing breaks early, grading to 2 – 3ft elsewhere. WIND: S 15 to 20 knots, tending lighter SSE, then SE to NE 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The surf-focus swings 90 degrees, from the east to the south this weekend. Even as I write, the southern half of the NSW coast is already feeling the brunt of an energetic S swell - and this energy will substantially fill in further north overnight.
Although not as big as southern NSW locations, this pulse should generate solid surf in the vicinity of 4 to 6ft across the most exposed far northern NSW south facing breaks on Friday. Unfortunately the directional, SSW deepwater characterstics of this event will preclude potential for any sizeable surf north of the border; probably limiting wrapping sets to an inconsistent 2 to 3ft at Duranbah, while grading to tiny levels inside the points and bays.
This pretty much sets the trend for the weekend as S swell fades to more subdued levels – invariably limiting scope for a solid wave to northern NSW locations both on Saturday and Sunday.
Large, mid-period S swell fills in. Solid 4 – 6ft northern NSW south facing breaks, wrapping in at 2 – 3ft southern QLD exposed breaks and smaller 1 – 2ft max inside the points and bays. WIND: Early WSW/SW 10 to 15 knots, tending SSW 20 to 30 knots, then S during the afternoon.
Dropping SSE swell. Solid 3 – 4ft northern NSW south facing breaks early, easing to 2 – 3ft+ wrapping in at 2 – 3ft across southern QLD and grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SW/SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending SSE during the afternoon.
Reinforcing S swell. Around 2 – 3ft northern NSW south facing breaks, picking up to 2 – 4ft. Wrapping in at 1 – 2ft across southern QLD exposed breaks, grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early SW/SSW 5 to 15 knots, tending SSE 10 to 15 knots during the day.
The surf is once again on the pump across Victoria, with the focus shifting firmly to the Surf Coast and other semi-sheltered stretches all weekend. Proceedings commence with an initial drop in size by Friday, making for smaller, albeit cleaner 3ft conditions across the Surf Coast reefs all day. However, the bulk of wave-action is reserved for the weekend.
Saturday marks the onset of a new round of SW groundswell that’ s set to send wave-heights north as the day progresses. With a robust WNW wind-regime in place, this will make for excellent conditions across the Surf Coast all day. And if that’s not enough, then it’s fair to say Sunday is looking similarly good – if not better. A consistent run of SW groundswell will continue to pulse either side of 4ft across the premier breaks as light WNW to NW winds prevail all day.
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Mid period SW swell. 4 – 5ft exposed beaches. Ranging from a clean 3 – 4ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots, tending W during the afternoon then WNW later.
Reinforcing SW swell. Around 4 – 6ft exposed beaches, building to 5 – 6ft+ during later. Sets around 3 – 4ft across the Surf Coast early, picking up to 4 – 5ft+ during the afternoon. WIND: WSW 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SW to SSW during the afternoon.
SW groundswell slowly eases. Solid, semi-clean 5 – 6ft exposed beaches, grading to an excellent 3 – 5ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light WNW tending light NW 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon.
It’s shaping up as another excellent weekend to be surfing across the West Coast. The confluence of another strong SW groundswell and favourable, easterly quarter winds are set to light the region for several days to come.
Friday sees light SE winds greeting leading forerunner swells associated with a long-interval pulse of SW groundswell. The bulk of this energy arrives overnight, making for an excellent day of clean, pumping surf in the 4 to 6ft plus range throughout Saturday. While this is likely to be the surfing-pinnacle for the weekend, Sunday morning will also be offering up excellent conditions as light SE winds greet a still powerful SW groundswell.
Long period SW groundswell shows rising sets. South West: 2-3ft, rising inco 6ft+ sets later. Perth/Mandurah. 1ft, 2ft sets later. WIND: SE’ly 10-15kts tending variable then 15-20kts S’ly
SW groundswell shows under continued favourable winds. South West: 4-6ft, plus sets at deep water reefs early. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft. WIND: ENE 5-10kts tending S’ly 10kts.
Minor overlap in mid period WSW swell under continued light morning SE winds. South West coast: 4-5ft. Perth/Mandurah: 1-2ft. WIND: SE wind early 10kts tending SSW 10-20kts.
It’s looking like another fantastic autumn weekend of waves across South Australia. The onset of a long-interval S chasing down a few waves across South Oz. Overlapping SW groundswells are set to provide a welcome boost to wave energy state-wide during Saturday, with long-period energy reinforcing set waves throughout the afternoon. The bulk of this episode is set to fill in on Sunday, making for a full day of light offshore to glassy 3 to 4ft plus conditions across exposed South Coast breaks, with smaller, similarly clean options on offer across the Mid.
Minor overlap in SW swell under light/moderate WSW - SW winds. South Coast: 2-4ft, exposed beaches. Mid Coast: 1-1.5ft. WIND: WNW 5-10kts early, tending SW 10-15kts. Possible light variable on the Mid early.
Building long period SW groundswell under light morning winds. South Coast: 2-3ft, plus sets at exposed beaches, rising to 3 - 4ft+. Mid Coast. 1ft, rising 2ft sets later. WIND: W to NW 5-10kts variable early tending SW 10-15kts and SSW later.
SW groundswell holds early under light morning winds. South Coast: 3-4ft+ at exposed beaches. Mid Coast: 1-2ft+. WIND: 5-10kts variable land-breezes tending light sea breezes.
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