Weekend Surf Forecast 11 - 13 January 2019
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
Issued Thursday, 10 January 2019
We are in the midst of summer now. The heat, the crowds, the summer style of waves…it has all been in full swing the last couple weeks. If you are loving the summer vibes, this weekend has more in store for you. We see a typical seasonal synoptic chart with broadening high pressure in the adjoining oceans and a series of heat troughs extending down the interior of the continent.
For Queensland and Northern NSW coasts, easterly swell bumps up a notch over the weekend. Local onshore winds continue and additional mid period E swell arrives from an east fetch that extended under Fiji. Heading south on the NSW coast, a trough over the interior of the state will influence variable winds and swell generally hangs small. This tend to encourage northerly wind and alongshore N swell Friday to Saturday before possibly shifting to a mild southerly trend on Sunday.
Further south, a modest mid period WSW to SW swell brings in waves across Victorian and South Australian coasts, but at the same time, a weak front passing south of the bight rotates onshore SW to SE winds Saturday to Sunday. Meanwhile, conditions really turn on in the southwest WA where favourable offshores combines with a dose of good SW groundswell that should nudge the 6ft range as it peaks through early Sunday.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast.
On Friday, a N’ly wind pattern shows short range, alongshore north swell on exposures, tending smaller to the south as winds rotate side to offshore. As well, underlying ENE tradeswell continues small swell wrap to the open beaches, stemming from the stable high pressure system we have seen over the Tasman. Meanwhile, a trough is forecasted to deepen to our south Sunday, which can potentially encourage a modest southerly wind and low range S’ly swell to rise up.
ESE swell and NE swells. Waves tending straight at 2 to 3ft at open beaches with underlying NE sets mixing in at 1ft range. WIND: Early E 10 knots, tending NE 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
NE windswell increases early and underlying E’ly sets continue. Alongshore northerly waves wrapping 1 to 3ft on open and exposed beaches, otherwise grading smaller 1 to 2ft with fading E sets elsewhere. WIND: N 10 knots early, tending NE 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
NE swell fades and possible small short lived S’ly swell to south exposures. NE swell mix cleans up and drops to 1ft+ range on open beaches. Possible shift towards a small S’ly swell 1 to 2ft through the afternoon, depending on a S wind rotation. WIND: Early light and variable to calm, possibly rising SW to SE 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Additional E swell picks up with mid period swell energy inbound from an extension of trades in the Pacific. Expect continued straight and steady surf bumping up in the 3 to 4ft+ range, as well as persistent east winds, which will continue texture on exposed areas.
E swell, tending to decrease temporarily into 2 to 3ft+ along exposed beaches and grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots during the day.
Additional mid period ENE swell mix, tending 3 to 4ft+ along exposed open beaches, grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots early, tending E through the day.
Renewed mid period E swell continues, steady and straight 3 to 5ft along exposed open beaches, grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots early, tending E 10 to 20 knots through the day.
A weak trough passing Victoria this weekend will bring in a rotation of winds and additional short to mid period WSW to SW swells. Friday struggles with a projected easterly wind and fading surf but may hold some options early. Saturday then sees a rising short period SW windswell with lumpy mid period SW waves filling in towards Sunday. At this stage, the quality is the issue but there should be swell showing steady over the course of the weekend.
Residual SW groundswell with early E wind. Dropping down to 2 to 3ft sets along the exposed beaches with easterly wind bump. Wrapping small and possibly windswell bump at 1ft range on Surf Coast. WIND: E 10 to 20 knots early, varying 10 to 15 knots in afternoon.
Possible lumpy SW swell under renewed SW winds. Early bumpy 2ft along open beaches, rising SW windswell to 2 to 3ft+ in afternoon. Surf Coast reefs weak but cleaner early, tending side shore 1ft+ S'ly wrap in afternoon. WIND: W winds early 10 knots, quickly rotating to SW to S 10 to 20 knots.
New mid period SW swell fills in. Reinforcement of lumped up 3 to 4ft waves along the exposed beaches, tending 2ft along the Surf Coast reefs. WIND: SE 10 to 15 knots early, rising ESE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
New mid period SW swell shows Friday, followed by a stronger push in overlapping mid to large SW groundswells into the weekend. Clean conditions expected Saturday morning as inconsistent early forerunners make land fall. Peak energy shows on Sunday afternoon up within the 5 to 8ft range and we should see some decent options arise with protected bays and point firing.
New mid period SW swell fills in under average wind conditions. Southwest: Unsettled 2 to 3ft+ sets across exposed breaks. Perth/Mandurah: Semi clean although tiny to flat. WIND: South, SSW, easing to 5 to 10 knots before freshening 20 knots SW in the arvo.
Distant SW groundswell shows inconsistent rising sets. South West: Clean in areas early, 2 to 4ft sets across exposed breaks, rising 4ft_ later. Perth/Mandurah: Around 0.5 to 1ft, rising later WIND: ESE at 5 to 10 knots, tending variable before swinging SSW at 20 knots.
Peak in new SW groundswell under moderate south, SSE winds. Southwest: Clean in areas, 4 to 5ft, rising 5 to 8ft. Perth/Mandurah: Up to 1 to 1.5ft along exposed beaches, rising 2ft+ sets. WIND: South, SSE at 10 to 20 knots, tending SSW at similar strengths.
Like Victoria, SA will finally benefit from an upswing in SSW swell this weekend – and given it’s all relative – the waves will be looking pretty damn good – even as winds turn onshore on Friday. They will, however, become particularly inviting as winds swing N to NE and the swell picks up on Saturday – and it’s well worth making the most of it before a dreaded WSW airflow sets in on Sunday.
SW swell bottoms out as winds swing into the NE. South Coast: Clean 2 to 3ft at Waits and Parsons, grading to 1 to 2ft around Middleton, easing. Mid Coast: Clean but pretty well flat. WIND: ENE 10 to 15 knots, tending NNE then variable in the afternoon.
Rising SSE wind swell South Coast, tiny on the Mid. South Coast: Windblown 3 to 4ft Waits and Parsons, grading to 1 to 3ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Flat to 0.5ft, rising WSW swell later to 1ft. WIND: SE, SSE at 20 to 25 knots.
New WSW swell shows as winds ease SE. Messy 3 to 4ft+ at Waits and Parsons. Grading to 2 to 3ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Clean 1 to 1.5ft . WIND: SE 5 to 10 knots shifting SSE 10 to 20 knots.
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