Weekend Surf Forecast, 6 - 8 July, 2012

5 Jul 2012 0 Share

Source: BOM. A monster high pressure system exerts a calming influence across most of the continent over the coming days.

Source: BOM. A monster high pressure system exerts a calming influence across most of the continent over the coming days.

Forecast by Ben Macartney

NSW

People just disappear on winter days like this. Cold SW winds, large SSE swells pounding the coast and hardly a soul to be found – either in the water or the car park. With the exception of Manly and Collaroy, most of the northern beaches resembles a deserted stretch of some remote part of the Australian coast. Even the densely populated stretch of Bondi Beach is mostly uninhabited, with the exception of the odd back-backer who knows it never gets this good back home.

The deep low responsible for these brisk winter conditions departed our swell window on Thursday, making way for a burgeoning 1038 hPa high pressure system that will smother new swell potential over the next few days;

A subsequent drop in SE swell to accessible levels along with lighter inshore westerly winds ensures the usual crowd in absentia will return in force on Saturday morning. Expect two to three foot leftovers across the most exposed beaches, fading as winds shift to the south during the day. User Friendly best sums up this Sunday; expect smaller leftover SE and S swells, hovering around one to two feet across the most exposed beaches, with light offshore to light and variable winds producing a full day of fun.

Summary

Friday SE swell 3 – 4ft Sydney’s south facing beaches early, 2 – 3ft open beaches, easing during the day. WIND: Early SSW 10 to 15 knots tending S 10 to 20 knots, then easing into the afternoon.

Saturday SE swell 2 - 3ft most exposed open beaches, around 2ft elsewhere. Easing later. WIND: SW 10 to 15 knots tending SSE during the afternoon.

Sunday SE swell 1 - 2ft exposed beaches, fading during the day. WIND: SW 5 to 15 knots tending SE during the afternoon.

Detailed Forecast:
Sydney & South Coast NSW [ Coastalwatch Plus | Coastalwatch ]
Mid-Central Coast NSW [ Coastalwatch Plus | Coastalwatch ]

Queensland and Far Northern NSW

In stark contrast to most of the NSW coast, far northern NSW and southern Queensland coasts are a port in the storm when it comes to large, winter calibre south swells; providing many a haven from both the southerly swell and wind. While a gradual shift in swell direction around to the south-east facilitates a little more push in size across the Points and Bays, expect mostly low scale surf ranging from one to three feet north of the border, grading to a larger two to four feet south of the border.

Summary:

Friday SSE swell 3 – 4ft northern NSW south facing beaches. Wrapping into south-eastern Queensland exposed beaches at 2 – 3ft. WIND: Early SSW 15 to 25 knots tending SSE during the morning.

Saturday SE swell 2 – 4ft northern NSW exposed coasts, grading to 1 – 3ft across south-east QLD. WIND: SW 5 to 15 knots tending SSE 10 to 15 knots during the day.

Sunday SE swell 2 – 3ft northern NSW exposed coasts, grading to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD exposed beaches. WIND: SW 5 – 15 knots tending light SE to NE later.

Detailed Forecast:
Queensland & Northern NSW [ Coastalwatch Plus | Coastalwatch ]

Victoria

If you tacked on ten degrees to both the water and air temperatures across Victoria this weekend, you could just about describe conditions as idyllic. The exposed coasts receive a dwindling supply of background SW swell on Saturday, mostly fluctuating between one to three feet depending on location. The relatively calm conditions are greeted by a light northerly airflow, sustained by the gargantuan high pressure system (depicted above) sitting astride Victoria on Friday before inching its way out into the Tasman Sea over the weekend. Surf heights on Sunday morning is likely to start out tiny across the region, before ticking up marginally as the leading edge of a new SW pulse arrives during the afternoon. This is likely to show up best across the south-west of the state, with the Mornington and locations further east probably having to wait until Monday morning for any substantial increase. Unless you’re of the old school breed used to footy jumpers and beach bonfires to keep you warm, a full suit and additional rubber for the extremities is recommended.

Summary: 

Friday SW swell. Easing back to 1 to 2ft+ on the Surf Coast and 2 to 3ft+ on the open beaches through the day. Light variable winds. 

Saturday Smaller shorter period SW swell. 1ft+ Surf Coast, 2 to 3ft open beaches. NNW winds 5 to 15 knots. 

Sunday Small, shorter period SW swell. 1 to 2ft Surf Coast, 2ft+ open beaches. Potential for an increase to 2 – 3ft+ during the afternoon. N winds 10 to 20 knots.

Detailed Forecast:
Victoria [ Coastalwatch Plus | Coastalwatch ]

Western Australia

It’s a rare weekend indeed when there’s no waves across the West Coast and this weekend is not one of them. Instead, surfers across the region can look forward to solid round of WSW swell, pushing up to four to five feet Down South as Friday’s onshore winds gradually relent, giving way to a lighter SSE flow across the region on Saturday, tending SE by Sunday.

Summary;

Friday Small WSW windswell. Southwest coast: 2-4ft. Perth: 1ft WIND: WSW 10 to 15 knots.

Saturday WSW swell increasing. Southwest coast: 3-5ft picking up sets. Perth: 1ft+. WIND: S 10 - 15knots decreasing and tending SSE

Sunday SW groundswell easing. Southwest coast: 3-5ft sets, fading. Perth: 1ft. WIND: SE up to 10 knots.

Detailed Forecast:
Western Australia [ Coastalwatch Plus | Coastalwatch ]

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