WEEKEND SURF FORECAST: September 21 - 23 , 2012

20 Sep 2012 0 Share

Although it's an extremely long way from anywhere, the North West will be the place to be this weekend.

Although it's an extremely long way from anywhere, the North West will be the place to be this weekend.

In many respects Australia is a land of extremes, encompassing a myriad of geographical and climatic diversity contained within a vast 7,600,000 square kilometre area – that makes Australia the four largest continental landmass on the planet. Our temperature variations are also at the extreme end of the scale; ranging from the high 40’s in the desert to below freezing in the mountains – variations that often occur simultaneously.

We also have some of the most venomous creatures in the world, like the Box Jellyfish, the Irukandji Jellyfish (two worth thinking about if you ever surf the Great Barrier Reef), the Stone Fish, the Blue Ringed Octopus, along with the top ten most deadliest snakes. And of course, Australia has an extremely varied coastline with widely varying surf conditions, and this weekend is a good case in point.

The West Coast receives a heavy round of WSW storm swell this weekend.

The West Coast receives a heavy round of WSW storm swell this weekend.

While the East Coast receives a combination of relatively small SSE and E swells ranging from one to three feet, the West Coast wears the full brunt of a heavy WSW storm swell; generating unruly 12 to 15 foot storm swell across the South West Coast. But if you could be surfing anywhere in Australia this weekend, it would probably be the long roping lefts of the North West Coast, which will receive perfect SW groundswell ranging from eight to ten feet across the premier breaks all weekend.

A low pressure system developing off the southern NSW coast on Friday holds potential for a small to mid range S windswell across the NSW coast this weekend.

A low pressure system developing off the southern NSW coast on Friday holds potential for a small to mid range S windswell across the NSW coast this weekend.

NSW:

The tail end of Thursday’s long period S swell hangs in at low levels on Friday, ahead of a new round of SSE windswell due on Saturday. There’s still some divergence among key models regarding the impact of a trough and developing surface low off the NSW coast on Friday, so check the detailed update for clearer guidance on this. What does appear certain is light offshore winds across the coast both on Saturday and Sunday mornings, so get in early for the best of it.

Summary

Friday
Easing S swell up to 2 - 3ft south facing beaches. Around 1 - 2ft elsewhere, fading during the day. Early clean conditions deteriorating later. WIND: WNW to NNE 5 to 15 knots, shifting SW 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon and S into the evening.

Saturday
S windswell around 2 – 3ft south facing beaches, mixing in with low scale ENE swell at 1 – 2ft open beaches. WIND: WSW 5 to 15 knots tending S to SE 10 to 15 knots later.

Sunday
Leftover SSE swell mixing with background E swell 1 – 2ft exposed open and south facing beaches. WIND: Early WNW 5 to 10 knots shifting NNE 10 to 15 knots during the day.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW

Extremely uninspiring across the region this weekend as a combination of low scale E and SSE swells maintain small surf, mostly ranging from one to two feet across exposed beaches. A stronger SSE change due on Tuesday may add some marginally stronger SSE windswell into the mix mid next week.

Friday
E windswell up to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD. SSE swell up to 2ft most exposed northern NSW south facing beaches. WIND: Early NNW tending NNE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
E windswell up to 1 – 2ft across south-east QLD. SSE windswell building from 1 – 2ft northern NSW south facing beaches towards 2ft+ later. WIND: Early NNW 5 to 15 knots tending SSE 15 to 20 knots during the day.

Sunday
SSE windswell up to 2 - 3ft northern NSW south facing beaches, grading to 1ft+ across south-east QLD. Fading during the afternoon. WIND: Early SW to SE 5 to 15 knots, tending E, then NNE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Victoria

It’s shaping up as a fairly run of the mill weekend of waves across Victorian coasts. Low scale SW swell maintains small to mid range surf across the region, generally hovering around the one to two foot mark across the Surf Coast and a larger two to four across the exposed coasts. Saturday will see the best conditions as a weak high pressure ridge maintains light winds statewise. Conditions deteriorate during Sunday as a gusty westerly change kicks in at 25 to 35 knots.

Summary

Friday
SW swell, with potential influence of some closer range windswell. 1 to 2ft+ Surf Coast, 2 to 3ft+ open beaches. WIND:WSW 10 to 20 knots.

Saturday
SW swell. 1 to 2ft Surf Coast, 2 to 3ft(+) open beaches. WIND: Early light and variable tending light NW to NE.

Sunday
WSW swell. Pushing up to 1 to 3ft on the Surf Coast early and 3 to 4ft+ on the open beaches early. Should add a foot or so size late in the day. WIND:W 15 to 30 knots (strengthening in the afternoon).

The Wave Tracker deepwater virtual buoy point for the South West shows a phenomenal increase in WSW swell this weekend.

The Wave Tracker deepwater virtual buoy point for the South West shows a phenomenal increase in WSW swell this weekend.

Western Australia:


It’s victory at sea across the South West this weekend. A deep frontal low extends north-eastward towards the West Coast on Friday, setting up a gale to storm force WSW fetch within point blank range of the coast. This triggers a steep run up in WSW storm swell on Friday afternoon and it will mix in with mid period SW groundswell to maintain extra-large surf across the region early on Saturday.

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