Weekend Surf Forecast 8 - 10 November 2013
Forecast issued 7th November 2013, by Ben Macartney
Having recently become a dad, I’ve swapped a fair chunk of surfing time for changing nappies and singing nursery rhymes – and that’s all good from my perspective, unless the surf it 6ft+ and pumping. Or even 4ft and pumping. Still, being curious about how other surfing dads cope I was pointed to a group of guys in California who got organised via a social networking site to optimise their surfing time. Their homepage says: “We're a group of responsible fathers who love to surf and would like to raise our children at the beach and spend more time in the water... to score decent surf while taking turns watching the groms. There are lots of things we still need to figure out, but this is a group that is looking forward as our children get older and we can fine tune the day-to-day 'operations' of the beach activities." I’m guessing the subtext of “There are lots of things we still need to figure out”, might be “Our wives and girlfriends will inevitably complicate this idea”. According to their home page they have only met once since the group was founded in 2011, so it looks like it’s still a work in progress. Whether you’re a parent or not, there is surf to be had across all regions this weekend - just keep your expectations low.
If there’s one piece of advice for the weekend, it’s get in early on Saturday. A small NE windswell should see surf heights ranging either side of two feet depending on exposure, with early light north-westerly winds preceding a strong southerly change developing late morning. Once this change arrives it’s pretty much all over. Winds should swing further around to the SSE on Saturday afternoon and persist at strength out of the south-east throughout Sunday – leaving nowhere to hide from the strong onshore flow.
NE windswell 1 – 2ft open beaches increasing to 2ft+ during the afternoon. WIND: N 5 to 15 knots tending NNE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
NE windswell up to 2– 3ft exposed open beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft elsewhere. Easing later. SSE windswell picking up to 1 – 2ft+ during the evening. WIND: Early NNW 5 to 15 knots tending SW during the morning and S to SSE 15 to 20 knots during the day.
Choppy SSE windswell 2 – 4ft south facing beaches rising to 3 – 5ft during the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: SSE 15 to 20 knots tending SE during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The weekend outlook is a bit disheartening across the region this weekend. Friday sees the last of this week’s SSE swell dropping out to very low levels on Friday – only up to two feet south of the border, grading to one foot or so across south-east Queensland. By Saturday we’ll be relying on some very slight, short period NE windswell for some tiny surf in the one foot plus range – probably bumping up slightly by Sunday. A moderate to strong northerly wind regime setting in on Friday will keep rideable options limited to northern corners all weekend.
SSE swell up to 2ft northern NSW exposed beaches. Mixing in with NE windswell around 0.5 -1ft+ across south-east QLD, bumping up during the afternoon. WIND: Early NW 5 to 15 knots tending NNE 15 to 20 knots.
NE windswell up to 1ft+ exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early NNW 10 to 20 knots tending NNE during the afternoon.
NE windswell up to 1 - 2ft exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: N 15 to 25 knots early, tending NNE and easing during the day.
It’s looking a little on the bleak side across Victorian coasts this weekend. Although there’s no shortage of SSW swell to be had across all coasts over the coming days, a cross the Surf Coast. Light N to NW winds should see good conditions at most locations, with the exposed beaches pulling in solid sets in the four foot range. Sunday sees a steep rising trend in short range SW swell underway, with strong SW winds resulting in low quality conditions across all coasts throughout the day.
SW groundswell 4 - 6ft exposed breaks. Around 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Early light ENE to ESE tending SE and increasing to 15 to 30 knots during the afternoon and SSW into the evening.
SSW swell 3 - 5ft exposed breaks. Grading to 2 - 3ft across the Surf Coast, easing during the afternoon. WIND: Early SSW 15 to 25 knots, tending S during the day.
SSW swell up to 3 – 4ft exposed beaches. Around 1 – 2ft across the Surf Coast, ESE windswell increasing later. WIND: Early SSE 10 to 20 knots tending SE during the afternoon.
Although the size of the swell isn’t exactly adrenalin pumping stuff, there will good quality surf to be had across the region’s exposed coasts – probably best on Friday as SSW swell hangs in around the three foot mark ahead of a drop in size over the weekend. Given deepwater swell direction carries a strong southerly bias it’s worth targeting the most open coasts with ample southern exposure.
Decrease in SW swell, offshores.
Southwest coast: 2 - 3ft+ sets on open exposures
Perth: flat to occasional 1ft
SE winds 10 – 15 knots.
Smaller SW swell, clean
Southwest coast: 2 - 3ft inconsistent
Perth: flat occ better
Light wind tending SE 10 knots.
Decrease in SW swell.
Southwest coast: 2ft with 3 - 4ft sets on open exposures
Perth: 0 - 1ft
E winds 10 - 15 knots, tending light in arvo.
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