Weekend Surf Forecast 10 - 12 January 2014

9 Jan 2014 0 Share

Forecast issued 9th January 2013, by Ben Macartney

If you drilled a hole from Sydney last Monday, straight through the earth to the other side, you’d have popped out in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean - roughly 1,000 miles west of Portugal and straight into the midst of a gargantuan storm swell that slammed the western European coastline. The subsequent flood of images and footage of the mountainous lumps of Belharra and Peniche may leave some of us – particularly East Coasters – feeling a little underwhelmed this weekend. The NSW coast can expect tiny surf; not exceeding one to two feet on Saturday and probably down to a foot at best by Sunday. Southeast Queensland fares only marginally better as fading easterly tradewind swell drops out into the two foot range. Only Victoria and Western Australia can expect any substantial swell – the former receiving  SW groundswell peaking at five to six feet across exposed beaches while wrapping into the Surf Coast at about two to three feet. An easing SW groundswell across South-western Australia levels off around the three to five foot mark on Saturday as strong ESE winds maintain good conditions all morning.

The West Coast had some tasty moments this week. Image: Justin Edwards.

The West Coast had some tasty moments this week. Image: Justin Edwards.

NSW
There will still be a few dribs and drabs of SSE swell leftover this weekend – probably not exceeding one to two feet at south facing beaches on Saturday and grading to a smaller one foot or so across the majority of open beaches. Early light to moderate northerly winds will see the best of it on Saturday morning before winds tend NE and strengthen during the afternoon. Sunday sees residual SSE swell down to a foot at best across the region and there’s only likely to be a short lived window of clean conditions before a moderate to strong SSE change blows it out.

Conditions like this are scarce at this time of year. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Tallguy.

Conditions like this are scarce at this time of year. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Tallguy.

Friday
SSE swell around 2ft+ south facing beaches, easing during the afternoon. Grading smaller elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: NE 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
SSE swell 1 – 2ft south facing beaches, mixing in with low scale NE windswell at similar levels across east facing beaches. WIND: Early light N tending NE 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Residual swells to 1ft exposed beaches. WIND: Early light and variable tending SSE 10 to 20 knots early morning, then SE later.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
This week’s upswing in short interval ESE swell gradually subsides over the weekend, but there should still be fun sized waves to be had across the region on both days; still ranging either side of two feet depending on exposure on Saturday before dropping another notch by Sunday. A predominant south-easterly wind-flow continues to lend the focus the points and bays on Friday. Onshore winds ease considerably by Saturday morning, making for better conditions across the exposed beaches early.

This week's easterly swell gradually fades over the weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Mark Angwin.

This week's easterly swell gradually fades over the weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Mark Angwin.

Friday
ESE windswell around 2 - 3ft southeast QLD exposed breaks. Mixing in with S swell at 2ft+ far northern NSW south facing beaches. WIND: ESE 10 to 20 knots.

Saturday
E tradewind swell around 2ft+ southeast QLD exposed breaks. Mixing in with S swell at similar levels across northern NSW south facing beaches. WIND: Early SSE tending ESE 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday
E tradewind swell up to 2ft across exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: SW to SE 5 to 15 knots increasing to 10 to 20 knots during the morning.

Victoria
A new round of long range SW groundswell arrives just in time for the weekend, ramping wave heights up to solid five to six foot levels across the exposed beaches throughout Saturday afternoon and holding this size into Sunday. The Surf Coast sees a more accessible version of this swell peaking in the two to three foot plus range, but all coasts can expect sub-standard surface quality all weekend. Moderate to strong SSW winds will leave little to the imagination on Saturday, but the onshore flow should gradually weaken throughout Sunday, making for manageable conditions across the exposed breaks all day.

The Surf Coast won't be doing any impersonation of this, but there will be a few waves to be had this weekend. Image: Randy Sparrow.

The Surf Coast won't be doing any impersonation of this, but there will be a few waves to be had this weekend. Image: Randy Sparrow.

Friday
SW groundswell 2 – 3ft+ exposed beaches. Residual ESE swell at 1 - 2ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: NE 10 to 15 knots.

Saturday
New SW groundswell 3 – 4ft early rising throughout the day to 5 - 6ft+ exposed breaks during the afternoon. Around 2ft early increasing to 2 – 3ft across the Surf Coast during the afternoon. WIND: Early SW 10 to 15 knots, strengthening during the afternoon.

Sunday
SW swell sets to 5 – 6ft exposed beaches, grading to 2 - 3ft across the Surf Coast, gradually easing during the day. WIND: Light SSW 10 to 20 knots early, easing and turning S to SE during the afternoon.

Western Australia:
This week’s chunky round of WSW groundswell gradually winds down over the weekend. Initially the tail end should hang in at a solid four to six feet on Friday before easing another notch into the three to five foot range by Saturday. The tail end of the swell coincides with fresh ESE winds under the influence of a broad high pressure ridge and deepening surface trough, making for excellent conditions across the Southwest all day.  Sunday morning may provide a short window of opportunity for some clean three to four foot waves, but it will be worth hitting in early to get the jump on a strong SW change due around lunchtime.

The Southwest sees offshore winds and mid range swell on Saturday. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Goodtrojan.

The Southwest sees offshore winds and mid range swell on Saturday. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Goodtrojan.

Friday
Slight decrease in WSW swell. Southwest coast:4-6ft+. Perth: 1ft+. WIND: Light SSE winds early, tending S to SW’ly 10kt.

Saturday
Decreasing WSW swell. Southwest coast: 3-5ft+ Perth: 0-1ft. WIND: Strong ESE tending S’ly 10-15 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Decreasing WSW swell. Southwest coast: 3-4ft Perth: flat occ. Better. WIND: Early light variable S winds, tending SW 15 to 20 knots in arvo.

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