Weekend Surf Forecast 21 - 23 March 2014

20 Mar 2014 1 Share

Forecast issued Thursday, 20 March 2014, by Ben Macartney

A recent study suggests there will be 42% fewer storm wave events of wave heights of four metres or more during the 2070 to 2100 period for eastern Australia. They’re some fairly specific statistics that don’t bode well for the Australian leg of the Big Wave Tour of the future – or for generations of aspiring big wave surfers born over the coming decades. Of course, plenty of us will have surfed our last wave by this time and the rest of us won’t exactly be in our big wave surfing prime. Regardless of whether or not this super-long range forecast is accurate, it’s got to make you think... The world is changing and nothing lasts forever, so as they say, make hay while the sun shines.

Autumn  is one of the better seasons for surfing across all Australian coasts. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member DingoBiscuit.

Autumn is one of the better seasons for surfing across all Australian coasts. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member DingoBiscuit.

NSW
Our easterly swell window remains the focus of the outlook over the coming days. Although we’re not anticipating anything like last Sunday’s powerful round of easterly groundswell, we can look forward to a minor building trend in ENE swell. This is initially comprised of shorter range windswell originating out of the central Tasman Sea on Saturday, but it’s closely followed by a long range, mid period ENE swell on Sunday that should see stronger three to four foot sets materialising across the more exposed breaks during the day. This leads in a stronger increase in long period groundswell on Monday.

It may not be shaping up quite as nicely as last Sunday, but there will be some fun waves to be had this weekend none the less. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Dtlandmark.

It may not be shaping up quite as nicely as last Sunday, but there will be some fun waves to be had this weekend none the less. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Dtlandmark.

Friday
ENE windswell and background E swell 1 - 2ft exposed beaches, bumping up slightly during the afternoon. WIND: Early light N tending NE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
ENE windswell up to 2 to occasional 3ft most exposed open beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft across the Shire and the South Coast. WIND: Early light N to NE tending S 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Inconsistent mid period ENE groundswell 2 – 3ft exposed Sydney beaches early, rising towards 3 – 4ft during the afternoon. Grading a foot or so smaller across the Shire and the South Coast. WIND: Early SW to NW tending NE 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon, then NW during the evening.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The cyclical fluctuations in easterly swell swing back in our favour this weekend. An initial upswing in tradewind swell sees stronger three to four foot surf running across the exposed beaches on Friday and Saturday. Sunday marks the arrival of a stronger round of long range E groundswell generated by a distant extratropical low positioned southeast of Samoa. This should see larger, albeit inconsistent sets in the five to six foot range across the region under a light easterly wind regime.

Our easterly swell window remains active and there's plenty more of this in store over the weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Sweetocean.

Our easterly swell window remains active and there's plenty more of this in store over the weekend. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Sweetocean.

Friday
E tradewind swell 3 – 4ft exposed Gold Coast beaches, grading smaller inside the points and bays. WIND: Early light SSW tending ESE 5 to 10 knots.

Saturday
E tradewind swell 3 - 4ft+ exposed Gold Coast beaches. WIND: Early light SW tending E 5 to 10 knots.

Sunday
Inconsistent E groundswell. Sets to 5 - 6ft exposed Gold Coast beaches. Grading smaller inside the Points and Bays. WIND: Early light SSW tending E 5 to 10 knots.

Victoria
Persistent onshore winds are set to take the shine off what otherwise would be another wave filled weekend across Victorian coasts. A strong SSW flow develops in the wake of a trough and cold front crossing the state on Friday, so early Friday holds your best chances for some clean waves as winds remain light offshore, but Saturday and Sunday see persistent onshore SSW winds keeping a lid on wave quality.

Friday morning holds your best chances for a clean wave. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Paul.

Friday morning holds your best chances for a clean wave. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Paul.

Friday
SW swell around 3 - 5ft exposed beaches early. Sets to 2 - 3ft across the Surf Coast. WIND: Light NW to NE tending S/SE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
New SSW groundswell 6ft+ exposed beaches. Sets around 3 – 4ft across the Surf Coast, undersized early. WIND: SSW 15 to 20 knots easing to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon

Sunday
Leftover SSW groundswell around 5 - 6ft exposed beaches. Grading to 2 – 4ft across the Surf Coast, fading during the day. WIND: Early SSW 10 to 20 knots, easing during the afternoon and strong SW later.

Western Australia:
If you like it small and clean, then this weekend is looking good. A steady run of low scale SW swell fluctuates around the two to three foot mark across exposed Southwest breaks over the coming days. This coincides with a moderate ESE wind regime forecast to remain in place across the West Coast – at least until early to mid next week.

The Indian Ocean takes a breather, leaving us with more accessible two to three foot waves Down South all weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Sheebs.

The Indian Ocean takes a breather, leaving us with more accessible two to three foot waves Down South all weekend. Image: Coastalwatch Plus member Sheebs.

Friday
Small range SW swell continues inconsistent. Southwest coast: 2 - 3ft+ Perth: flat ESE winds 10-15kt, tending variable in arvo.

Saturday 
SW swell goes small. Southwest coast: 2 - 3ft Perth: flat ESE winds 10kt, tending variable in arvo.

Sunday
SW swell fades out. Southwest coast: 1-2ft Perth: flat ESE winds early 5-10kt, tending light to variable in arvo..

South Australia
It’s shaping up as a run of the mill weekend of waves across South Australian coasts as low scale SSW groundswell sees small surf hovering around the two to three foot mark across the South Coast, grading to flat across the Mid Coast. Light ENE winds will see good quality surf on offer throughout Saturday and early Sunday.

Unknown and empty. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Doug York.

Unknown and empty. Photo: Coastalwatch Plus member Doug York.

Friday
New SSW groundswell up to 2 – 3ft exposed South Coast beaches, grading to 2ft at Middleton. Around 0.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: SSW 15 to 25 knots tending S and then SSE later.

Saturday
New SSW groundswell around 3 - 4ft exposed South Coast beaches. Grading to 2 – 3ft at Middleton and to 0.5 - 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: ENE 10 to 15 knots tending to sea breezes during the afternoon.

Sunday
SSW groundswell 2 – 3ft+ most exposed South Coast beaches, grading to 1 – 2ft at Middleton and to 0.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: Early light and variable tending SW 10 to 15 knots.

Tags: surf forecast , bells , bondi , manly , byron , snapper (create Alert from these tags)

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