Weekend Surf Forecast 11 - 13 November, 2016

10 Nov 2016 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | Weekend Surf Forecast

Forecast issued Thursday, 10 November 2016

It’s looking a lot more like summer around the place this weekend. A northerly wind-regime setting in across the Eastern Seaboard delivers a full weekend of small-scale NE windswell to the region; showing most size across the southern half of the NSW coast, while only amounting to tiny 1 to 2ft dribble further north. Similarly, Victorian coasts experience a lull in wave activity; translating into a full day of clean, small-scale SW swell in the 2ft range across exposed stretches on Saturday. At the same time South Australia offers up little in the way of quality surf beyond some wind affected waves ranging from 2 to 4ft across the South Coast. Further afield, the West Coast sees several days of solid, mid-range SW swell; albeit under moderate to strong onshore winds that will leave little to be desired on Friday and Saturday. It’s won’t be until Sunday morning that conditions are set to turn on under lighter ESE winds; producing the best conditions you’re likely to find anywhere around the country over the next three days.

SEE ALSO: The Best Summer Wetsuits & Wettie Tops, Win One For Yourself!

There's nothing too serious happening in the wave department around the country this weekend. Photo: CW user Scottie Holland.

There's nothing too serious happening in the wave department around the country this weekend. Photo: CW user Scottie Holland.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
It’s not exactly shaping up as the kind of forecast that might compel one to drop everything to go chasing waves – but there will be small surfable waves on offer.  A timely rise in short-range NE windswell should see peaky surf ranging either side of 2ft across the most exposed east facing stretches on Saturday. Conditions will be typically wind-affected by associated northerly flow for most of Saturday, but it may well be worth hitting it late as winds shift to the NNW. The tail end of this energy will still be running at smaller and cleaner 1 to 2ft levels early on Sunday and it will be worth getting amongst early it before it starts to peter out during the afternoon.

SEE ALSO: Nail Your Duck Dives With These 3 Tips & Drills

Friday
Tiny and onshore to boot. Small mix of S and ESE swell. Around 1ft, occasional plus exposed beaches. Grading flat in protected breaks. WIND: Early S 10 to 15 knots, tending SE to NE 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Saturday
Junky, peaky and consistent NE windswell. Sets up to 2 - 3ft exposed breaks, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early NNE 10 to 15 knots, strengthening to 15 to 25 knots during the day before easing and tending NNW later.

Sunday
Clean, dwindling NE windswell. Sets to 2ft exposed open beaches early, dropping to 1 – 2ft during the afternoon. WIND: Early light WSW to WNW tending light and variable, then NE 5 to 15 knots ahead of a strong W change during the afternoon.

A minor upswing in NE windswell will lend the focus to the most exposed east facing stretches all weekend. Photo: CW user GreyC.

A minor upswing in NE windswell will lend the focus to the most exposed east facing stretches all weekend. Photo: CW user GreyC.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
If you’re four feet tall and thriving on the current run of small-scale NE windswell, you’ll be pleased to hear there’s plenty more of the same in store across the region this weekend. In the short-term this energy will dip in size; dropping a notch by Friday following the arrival of a short-lived SSE change. The good news is the northerly flow will become re-established on Saturday; setting up a renewed upswing in NE windswell throughout the afternoon and this localised energy should hang in at similar, 1 to 2ft levels on Sunday.

SEE ALSO: The Best Fails On The Gold Coast In 2016

Friday
Small and fun. Easing NNE swell. Around 1ft+, tending towards flat with south wind shift during the afternoon. WIND: Early light WSW to SSW tending SE to ESE 5 to 15 knots through the afternoon.

Saturday
Tiny and not so fun. Tiny NNE windswell. Around 1ft exposed breaks, bumping up to 1 – 2ft during the arvo. Grading to near flat elsewhere. WIND: Early light and variable, tending ENE to NNE and freshening to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon, then shifting NW later.

Sunday
Picking up during the afternoon. Short period NNE windswell. Up to 1 – 2ft exposed breaks, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early light NW tending N 5 to 15 knots later.


The activation of the easterly tradewind swell-season still resides beyond the long-range horizon. Photo: CW user Dkimber.

The activation of the easterly tradewind swell-season still resides beyond the long-range horizon. Photo: CW user Dkimber.

Victoria
Now I don’t have stats to back this up, but based on annual averages Victorian beaches must be some of the most swell-exposed in the country – if not the Southern Hemisphere. Perhaps even the world. This weekend, these usually energetic surf-zones see a short-lived period of small, user-friendly conditions, prevailing in response to a subdued Southern Ocean storm-track currently in effect throughout southern Australian longitudes. Saturday is shaping up as a small, clean day of waves, with set waves still expected to be hovering around the 2ft mark under favourable E to NE winds. By Sunday wave energy will be back on the rise; commencing with a building WSW windswell that’s set to lead in a more larger push in SW swell on Monday.

SEE ALSO: Nick Carroll On, The Pe'ahi Challenge Will Run This Week!

Friday
Good across exposed beaches early, deteriorating later. Small SW swell. Sets to 2 – 3ft+ exposed breaks. Grading to 1 - 2ft along the Surf Coast reefs. WIND: Light ESE 5 to 10 knots, freshening to 10 to 20 knots into the afternoon.

Saturday
About as small as it gets. Tiny SW swell. Slow sets to 2ft exposed breaks. Grading to 1ft to flat along the Surf Coast reefs. WIND: Light ENE to NE 10 knots early, shifting WNW and strengthening 15 to 25 knots during the day.

Sunday
Windblown and junky. WSW windswell superseded by rising SW swell during the afternoon. Junky 2 – 4ft exposed breaks, picking up later. Grading to 1ft along the Surf Coast reefs, rising to 1 – 2ft later. WIND: Early WNW 15 to 25 knots, tending WSW during the day and stronger SW into the afternoon.

Victoria's exposed beaches are the go-to venues across the state this weekend. Photo: CW user Mitch Pope.

Victoria's exposed beaches are the go-to venues across the state this weekend. Photo: CW user Mitch Pope.

Western Australia
A consistent run of SW swell offers up successive days of powerful, mid-range surf across exposed Southwest breaks over the next few days. The constraining element is, as per usual, local winds. From the outset, strong onshore SW winds will render conditions with plenty of lump and bump on Friday and early Saturday – so it’s worth hitting it early on both days to capitalise on lighter inshore winds. It won’t be until Sunday that conditions light up under the influence of lighter offshore, SE to ESE winds, making for a full morning of excellent conditions before the seabreeze blows it out during the day.

SEE ALSO: Magic Monday Swell Diary

Friday
Mid sized SW swell under a moderate onshore flow. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. SW winds 10-15kts, increasing 20kt+. Possibly light variable Perth/Mandurah early.

Saturday
Mid sized SW swell continues. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft+. Light S'ly winds early 5-10kts tending SW 10-15kts.

Sunday
Overlapping mid period SW swell under improving winds. Southwest coast: 3-4ft+, picking up during the afternoon. Perth/Mandurah: 1ft. SE winds early, tending to mild seabreeze 10kts.

It won't be until Sunday that conditions light up under an ESE breeze. Photo: Dan Wyer.

It won't be until Sunday that conditions light up under an ESE breeze. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
It’s not exactly a scintillating forecast, but hey, at least there are waves. A slow building trend in short-range SW swell coincides with a strong westerly change on Saturday, making for junky, wind-affected conditions as the swell picks up into the afternoon. Although Sunday sees a more substantial push in SW windswell into the 3 to 4ft range across the South Coast, local conditions will continue to be hampered by fresh onshore SW winds throughout the day.

Friday
Improving during the afternoon. Residual SW swell and small E windwaves. 1 - 2ft+ South Coast beaches. Grading flat - 0.5ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: E 10 to 20 knots, easing and tending lighter ENE during the afternoon.

Saturday
Junky W/WSW swell rising through the day. Refracted sets rising from 2ft towards 2 -3ft South Coast breaks. Grading to 1ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: W 15 to 25 knots.

Sunday
Solid and wind-effected WSW swell. Textured sets to 3 - 4ft exposed South Coast beaches. Wrapping around 1 - 2ft across the Mid Coast. WIND: WSW 15 to 25 knots.

You'll have to search far and wide to find a clean wave this weekend. Photo: CW user Mlauriault.

You'll have to search far and wide to find a clean wave this weekend. Photo: CW user Mlauriault.

Tags: Ben , Macartney , weekend , forecast (create Alert from these tags)

blog comments powered by Disqus
More From Weekend Surf Forecast
Weekend Surf Forecast 6 - 8 March 2020

Weekend Surf Forecast 6 - 8 March 2020

Bring on autumn.

5 Mar 2020
Weekend Surf Forecast 21 - 23 February, 2020

Weekend Surf Forecast 21 - 23 February, 2020

There's more late summer goodness in the forecast this weekend.

20 Feb 2020
Weekend Surf Forecast January 31- 2 February 2020

Weekend Surf Forecast January 31- 2 February 2020

There's a wave with your name on it this weekend.

30 Jan 2020
Recent
Maurice Cole: The Nightmare That’s Turned Into A Blessing

Maurice Cole: The Nightmare That’s Turned Into A Blessing

4 Aug 2020
Nick Carroll: The Travel Boom Lies Ahead

Nick Carroll: The Travel Boom Lies Ahead

9 3 Aug 2020
Watch Tom Carroll, Nathan Hedge and More Pull Into Massive Tubes on This Sydney Beachie's "Day of Days"

Watch Tom Carroll, Nathan Hedge and More Pull Into Massive Tubes on This Sydney Beachie's "Day of Days"

1 31 Jul 2020
Video: Rainbow Bay Last Saturday Was an A-Grade Tube Machine

Video: Rainbow Bay Last Saturday Was an A-Grade Tube Machine

4 31 Jul 2020
Popular This Week

Watch Tom Carroll, Nathan Hedge and More Pull Into Massive Tubes on This Sydney Beachie's "Day of Days"

"I think it's psycho, it's that thick and round..." says Nathan Hedge.

A WSL Wave Pool Event Is Coming in a Week, Italo Ferreira Is Still a Beast, and the Fantasy of Perfect Empty Kandui

This Week In Surfing: Ten Things from Surfing & the Internet on the Week That Was August 1 2020

Nick Carroll: The Travel Boom Lies Ahead

As Far as Surf Travel Goes, There’ll Never Be Another 2020

Paddle Bombs and Tow-Ins as East Coast Low Lights up Sydney Yet Again

There had been barely a moment for to collect your breath before Monday hit, and now there's more coming!

Go to Top