Weekend Surf Forecast: 2 - 4 March, 2018
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
Issued Thursday, 01 March 2018
By Dan Wyer
Welcome to Autumn 2018! The season for the surfer, all day offshore’s and pumping groundswells….Well unfortunately this may not be the case for this weekend, for much of the country anyway. We saw a mid range push in SSE swell across southern Queensland coast the last few days. A reinforcing pulse in distant SE swell is expected to show Friday before conditions return small Saturday, grading tiny on Sunday. It will be a similar affair to the south across the NSW coast. A combination rise in south wind swell, reinforced mid period SE swell on Thursday is expected to slowly taper off into Friday morning before rendering conditions small to tiny over the weekend.
Further south, Victoria will see residual mid sized levels of SW swell slowly ease Friday prior to reinforcing SW groundswell energy arriving into Saturday morning. Surface conditions slowly improve Friday although Saturday will be the stand out day as winds tend offshore from the NE throughout the morning. Meanwhile across the border in South Australia we are expecting to see a period of ENE to NE morning winds slowly clean up some unsettled lumps across the Victor Harbour coast on Friday morning prior to persistent south winds throughout the rest of the weekend. The Mid Coast shows clean throughout the period although only small. Over West things are looking pretty good as we see a mid range pulse in SSW groundswell slowly ease into the weekend. Fresh cross offshore SSE winds create some unwanted lump on Friday prior to better offshore winds setting up for the weekend. To top things off, it’s a public holiday on Monday and things are looking pretty tidy as we see an overlapping pulse fill in coupled with a continued offshore wind pattern.
Autumn is here, the season for surfers.
SYDNEY, NEWCASTLE AND THE SOUTH COAST
It will be worth getting in the water Friday morning before wave heights continue to ease off into the weekend. A combination of SSE swell and trailing energy in SE swell should retain some 2 to 3ft surf across exposed beaches with scope for occasional larger sets within the mix early before easing into the day. Conditions show clean in the morning under light inshore breezes prior to shifting 10 to 15 knots from the SSE. On Saturday wave heights continue to ease as residual SE swell mixes with low levels of short period SSE swell. We may see a few small, clean 1 to 2ft peaks in the morning across exposed beaches prior to winds shifting NE in the afternoon. On Sunday all swell sources diminish leaving tiny conditions across the coast. Exposed magnets will come into play with 1 to 1.5ft surf expected with possible 2ft sets at best.
Mid period SE swell slowly eases, mixed with some shorter period SSE swell. Ranging from 2 to 3ft+ early, easing with size depending on exposure. WIND: Light south to SSW in shore breezes early prior to tending 10 to 15 knots SSE.
Smaller SE swell left overs mix with minor SSE swell, grading to 1 to 2ft+ with size depending on exposure, easing. WIND: WIND: Calm, light WNW tending NE - NNE at 10 to 15 knots.
Easing left overs in SE wind swell with underlying minor ESE swell.. Ranging from 1 to 1.5ft with size depending on exposure. WIND: Calm, light WNW tending NE before shifting 15 to 20 knots SSE in the afternoon.
QUEENSLAND AND FAR NORTHERN NSW
Not looking too flash as we see a minor push in mid period SE swell on Friday coincide with a moderate SSE change early morning. Southern Gold coast beach breaks should dish up a few OK options, grading small and clean on the Points. Currently this wind change is expected to arrive a little later on the Sunshine coast, thus opening up a few clean fun sized options across exposed beach breaks early. This swell is expected to then ease off into the weekend coupled with light wind mornings and NE afternoon sea breezes. Exposed magnets will come into play with Duranbah south to the Tweed coast offering up the best of it.
Reinforced SE swell shows under freshening south tending SE winds. Ranging from 2 to 3ft at exposed beaches with possible inconsistent larger sets from Duranbah south. Wrapping in at a clean 1 to 2ft on the Points. WIND: Light southerly inshore breezes early prior to a 15 to 20 knot SSE change in the morning .
Mid period SE swell eases off under light winds early.Grading to 1 to 2ft+ at exposed beaches early, largest from Duranbah south. WIND: Calm, light WNW tending NNE at 10 to 15 knots.
Small left over SE swell combines with a minor rise in NE wind swell.Clean 1 to 2ft across exposed beaches, largest sets from Duranbah south. WIND: NW at 5 to 10 knots tending NNE 10 to 20 knots
Easing levels of mid sized SW swell show on Saturday as winds ease into the ESE. While some locations on the Mornington and Philip Island coast will show clean; it may show a little in between size wise with some maxing sets. A reinforced pulse in SW groundswell shows on Saturday as winds shift into the NE. We expect to see some inconsistency although scope remains for some decent 4ft+ sets across exposed breaks, grading mostly clean although possibly slow 1 to 2ft across The Surf Coast. Onshore SW winds set in for Sunday as the swell eases so make the most of whats on offer Friday, Saturday.
SW groundswell holding early. Sets continue 4 to 6ft exposed beaches early, easing during the day 3 to 5ft. Wrapping at 2 to 3ft along the Surf Coast with SE texture building. WIND: SE to ESE at 10 to 15 knots.
Rising SW groundswell. SW swell decreasing, background long period SW groundswell fills in.Sets hold around 3 to 4ft+ along exposed beaches. Grading to inconsistent 2ft across the Surf Coast with lulls. WIND: NNE 10 knots early, tending calm then shifting WSW 10 to 15 knot.
Leftover SW swell and onshore winds. Slow sets to 2 to 3ft along the exposed beaches. About 1ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: SW 15 to 20 knots, tending S 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Lucky us, it’s a long weekend here in the West and guess what? The surf is looking good. We have a mid sized push in SSW groundswell that is expected to make landfall into Friday before slowly easing into the weekend. We should see this swell hold at decent levels across exposed South West beaches on Saturday before easing Sunday. A slight overlapping pulse then fills in on Monday as offshore winds continue. The bad news? Metro beaches will not see a lot of size across the period.
Mid period SSW swell overlaps sets, conditions see increasing southerly winds. South West: drifty southerly waves 3 to 4ft, rising 5ft sets at times. Perth/Mandurah: Sideshore S wind waves, increasing 1 to 2ft. WIND: Light SE in metro areas early, tending S 10 to 15 knots early in southwest. Freshening S 20 to 25 knots in afternoon.
SW swell decreases under offshore SE to ESE morning winds. Groomed fading, 3 to 4ft early, dropping 1 to 3ft. Perth/Mandurah: clean small, 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: SE to ESE at 15 to 20 knots, tending SSE 10 to 15 knots.
Breezy offshores with smaller SW swell. Groomed leftovers early, 2 to 3ft fading quick. Perth/Mandurah: small under 1ft. WIND: ESE 15 to 20 knots early, tending SE 10 to 15 knots.
Slight reinforced SW swell. Groomed early, 2 to 3ft with inconsistent sets. Perth/Mandurah: Small under 1ft. WIND: E 15 to 20 knots early easing before tending SE 10 to 15 knots.
Proceeding a period of light ENE to NE winds on Friday morning conditions turn to mush on the South Coast over the weekend as a persistent south to SE breeze sets in. While the Mid Coast shows cleaner conditions throughout the mornings, it will only be small with waves better suited to the micro groms and learners.
Swell direction shifts SSW as winds ease into the east to ENE.South Coast: Clean, 2 to 4ft, largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Clean 1 to 1.5ft. WIND: East at 5 to 10 knots tending NE for a period before shifting SSE at 10 to 15 knots.
Reinforced SSW groundswell as winds shift back into the south.South Coast: Bumpy, 2 to 4ft with some inconsistency. Largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Clean, 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: South to SSW 10 to 15 knots, freshening 20 knots. Grading light SSE on the Mid early.
Overlapping mid period SW swell fills in later. South Coast: Unsettled, 2 to 3ft, rising 4ft sets, largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Clean, 0.5 to 1ft early, rising to 1.5ft. WIND: South to SSE at 10 to 20 knots.
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