Weekend Surf Forecast 22 - 24 June 2018

21 Jun 2018 0

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Issued Thursday, 21 June 2018

Good news: all coasts will experience at least one good morning this weekend. Timing and size vary but the nice thing that we will see at near all locations is at least one morning with offshore and/or light winds. 

On the East Coast, a Tasman Low that drifted off towards the North Island of New Zealand  pushed out mid period ESE groundswell that will grace the NSW coast under a favourable light offshore pattern. If you didn’t see the Forecaster Blog yet with all the East Coast scoop, be sure to check it here.

Meanwhile, a strong SW groundswell sourcing from a storm that crossed under WA Thursday will project larger surf across the bight. The large SW swell will decrease slowly on WA under improving offshore winds over the weekend. Then, as large waves move across the bight, we can see sets kick up size on SA and Victoria from Saturday to Sunday respectively. Wind for those states look the most varied, with a cold front tending strong offshore NW and then shifting WSW as the swell pushes up. 

What will your coast look like? pic: Nathan Pike

What will your coast look like? pic: Nathan Pike

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
The next couple days look great to out in the surf as swell direction trends SE and we see clean condition with winds tending lighter WSW to SW. We have a good-sized pulse of mid-period ESE sets across the region. The tail end of this swell will still likely to be holding Saturday morning and this will probably mark your last opportunity to get amongst some good, clean conditions before the swell fades back to small to tiny levels on Sunday.

Friday
Good day of surf.
Clean conditions and mid period SE/ESE groundswell peaks throughout the morning. Sets around 3 to 4ft across the most exposed breaks, grading to 2 to 3ft+ elsewhere. WIND: W 5 to 10 knots, tending light and variable, then light N during the afternoon.

Saturday
Fading swell but still good early.
Leftover ESE waves around 2 to 3ft exposed breaks, easing during the afternoon. WIND: WNW 5 to 15 knots, tending light and variable during the day.

Sunday
Residual small swell
. Leftover ESE sets up to 1 to 2ft exposed breaks, fading during the day. WIND: Early light WNW tending N during the afternoon.

A mid period set nicely comes to a peak. Pic: Bielich

A mid period set nicely comes to a peak. Pic: Bielich

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
Look for a steady improvement in conditions at the end of the week. A second push of mid period ESE swell will show up on Friday and likely to generate good sets across the more exposed northern NSW breaks, grading a foot smaller north of the border in QLD. Saturday morning holds fair before the swell fades Sunday.

Friday
Improving SE sets and clean conditions.
SE swell ranges from 3 to 4ft+ northern NSW south facing breaks, grading to 2 to 4ft open beaches depending on exposure. Sets to 2 to 3ft+ exposed southern QLD coasts and 1 to 2ft+ inside the points and bays. WIND: WSW to SW 5 to 15 knots, tending S during the day and SSE into the afternoon.

Saturday
Fading but still good early.
SE swell 2 to 4ft exposed northern NSW breaks early, easing to 2 to 3ft during the afternoon. Grading to 1 to 3ft across exposed QLD beaches and smaller inside the points and bays with size depending on exposure. WIND: WSW to SW 5 to 10 knots tending variable, then light S to SE during the afternoon.

Sunday
Smaller leftover SE swell fades
. Slow sets to 1 to 3ft northern NSW southern exposures. Grading to about 2ft exposed southern QLD coasts and smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early WSW to SW 5 to 10 knots, tending light S, then SSE 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.

Offshores sound good but note that frontal weather in Vic will likely not be as friendly as whats shown here. Pic: Noburu

Offshores sound good but note that frontal weather in Vic will likely not be as friendly as whats shown here. Pic: Noburu

Victoria
Smaller scale WSW swell Friday will go near flat on Surf Coast, while wrapping at minor levels to exposed beaches. A stronger round of SW groundswell then fills in Saturday, building during the afternoon, and holds throughout Sunday. A pattern of WNW to SW winds prevails through that time.

Friday
Weak and small.
Fading WSW swell shows slow sets around 1 to 3ft along the exposed beaches early, decreasing later. Less than 1ft, tending near flat along the Surf Coast. WIND: Early NW 5 to 15 knots, freshening during the afternoon.

Saturday
New long period SW groundswell builds in
. Possibly undersized at 3 to 4ft early before building to a well-organised 4 to 6ft+ along the exposed beaches during the afternoon. Around 2 to 3ft across the Surf Coast, building to 3 to 5ft. WIND: Frontal WNW 15 to 20 knots, shifting SW later.

Sunday
Long range SW groundswell peaks.
Sets fill in 5 to 8ft along the exposed beaches, while wrapping at a clean 4 to 6ft along the Surf Coast reefs, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 10 to 15 knots.

WA expected to get good as SW swell cleans up and eases. Pic: Wyer

WA expected to get good as SW swell cleans up and eases. Pic: Wyer

Western Australia
A SW swell peaked Thursday and will be on a slow easing trend from Friday and into the weekend. We should see improving conditions as local winds turn to an offshore ENE to NE wind pattern. This means we should see some clean, pumping surf on tap from Friday until Sunday with gradually downsizing swell strength. 

Friday
Solid SW groundswell settles under offshore morning winds
. South West: Clean, 6 to 8ft+, easing. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 2 to 3ft, easing. WIND: ENE at 5 to 10 knots tending variable in the afternoon.

Saturday
Further ease in SW groundswell under continued offshore morning winds
. South West: Clean, 4 to 6ft, easing. Perth, Mandurah: Clean, 1 to 2ft. WIND: ENE at 10 to 15 knots tending NNE in the afternoon.

Sunday
SW swell bottoms out under offshore NE winds. South West: Clean, 2 to 4ft, easing. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 1 to 1.5ft, easing. WIND: NE 10 to 15 knots, tending NNE later.

Mmm Mmm good groundswell wrap. Pic: Robson

Mmm Mmm good groundswell wrap. Pic: Robson

South Australia
Small, clean conditions Friday, marking a low point in surf, before a rise in SW/WSW groundswell gives a rise of long period SW/WSW groundswell for the weekend. Saturday a period of light generally north winds shows early, for possible oportunity, proceeding an early SE wind change. On Sunday swell directions shifts a little more SW resulting in a slight increase in size for the South Coast coupled with improved wind conditions.

Friday
Minor SSW swell bottoms out before a late rise in WSW/SW groundswell
. South Coast: Clean in areas, 1 to 2ft. Largest at magnets, rising inconsistent sets later. Mid Coast: Semi clean, 0.5 to 1ft, rising inconsistent 2ft sets late. WIND: NNE tending NNW 10 to 15 knots.

Saturday
New WSW/SW groundswell shows under moderate NW winds. South Coast: Possibly clean at dawn, 2 to 4ft. Possible larger wind affected sets at magnets later. Mid Coast: Clean, 1 to 3ft. WIND: Potential light north winds at dawn prior to an early 10 to 15 knot South, SE change.

Sunday
Swell directions shifts SW and slowly eases
. South Coast: Clean in areas, 3 to 4ft+. Largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Clean, inconsistent 1 to 2ft, easing later. WIND: E, ENE at 5 to 10 knots, easing. 


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