Weekend Surf Forecast 29 June - 1 July, 2018
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
Forecast issued Thursday, 28 June 2018
Issued Thursday, 28 June, 2018
Surfing in winter ain’t always easy. Extricating oneself from beneath a doona or battling the fading light of an afternoon are the kind of first world problems that see many of us bound for the tropics at this time of year – and if that’s you in the coming weeks then don’t forget to check out the latest Indo forecast. Closer to home, the NSW coast sees a full week of solid SSE swell finally conking out just in time for the weekend. That will leave most surfers looking for alternative amusement on Saturday, before a new, directional pulse of S swell builds in at low levels throughout Sunday. Further north, southern Queensland and northern NSW coasts also have a small out-of-season E tradewind swell in the mix. This is also looking like a mediocre event peaking in the 2ft plus range over the next 24 hours before gradually waning over the course of the weekend.
Down south, Victoria and South Australia benefit from a more substantial push in WSW swell. This is set to build into the 3 to 5ft range along exposed beaches and should exhibit enough size to send in some 2 to 3ft sets along Victoria’s Surf Coast on Saturday. Sunday could see a bit more size and the Torquay reefs will remain the pick as westerly winds remain in force all weekend. Further afield, Western Australia’s Southwest sees a strengthening northerly airflow shutting down surfing options from Saturday morning onwards – and that leaves Friday as THE day to be chasing waves as light offshore to light and variable winds greet a solid SW swell in the 3 to 5ft range.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
Seldom do you hear surfers say: ‘you should have been here the day before yesterday’. Not because it’s necessarily untrue – it just lacks immediacy. The point is, this week’s solid run of SSE swell will be just about gone by Friday morning – and there isn’t a whole lot in the way of new swell to take its place. Saturday should pretty much qualify as virtually flat. Only true south facing breaks might see a skerrick of S swell, not amounting to more than a slow 1 to 2ft max and probably only breaking on the low tide. That leaves Sunday as your best bet for some slightly larger sets out of the south, but it’s worth keeping your expectations nice and low. A refracted, directional S swell is only projected to materialise inconsistently between 2 and 3ft across southern exposures on Sunday morning, but there are some indications it will push up a foot or so into the afternoon. Either way, conditions will be excellent as several days of offshore to light and variable breezes prevail under full days of sunshine, making for a great weekend regardless.
Residual SSE swell mixing with fading NE windswell. Up to an occasional 1 to 2ft exposed areas. Tending tiny to near flat elsewhere. WIND: WNW 10 to 15 knots.
Near flat and offshore. Background S swell to 1ft southern exposures, otherwise virtually flat. WIND: WNW 10 to 15 knots, tending WSW in the afternoon.
Potential for small, directional S swell. Sets up to an inconsistent 1 to 3ft south exposed breaks, speculatively building towards 2 to 3ft+ during the afternoon. Mostly 1 to 2ft elsewhere depending on exposure. WIND: Light WSW early, tending light and variable during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
You could be forgiven for thinking spring has arrived early this weekend. The onset of a flukey northerly airflow coincides with a couple of small-scale swell-trains, arriving at slight 2ft levels; primarily out of the E, with some residual SSE still evident south of the border on Friday. Light and variable to light to moderate northerly winds will lend the focus to the more exposed open beaches on Friday and Saturday, before the arrival of a southerly change on Sunday morning sees the focus returning to the points and bays.
Mix of fading E windswell and residual SSE swell under calm conditions. Better option early with clean 2ft+ sets on exposed beaches, grading to 1ft in bays and points. WIND: Calm to light WNW early, tending N 5 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Small calm residual ESE swell. Slow 2ft exposed areas, tending near flat to 1ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early NW to NNW 5 to 10 knots, tending light and variable to NNE to 10 knots during the afternoon.
Slight E windswell around 1 to 2ft exposed breaks, smaller across the majority of open beaches. Grading to tiny levels, inside the points and bays. WIND: WSW to SW 5 to 10 knots early, tending SSE 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Friday offers up one final day of small, clean conditions across Victoria’s exposed beaches before the focus shifts to the Surf Coast this weekend. Having said that, it looks like the swell will initially be pretty small. Freshening NNW winds coincide with a continued decline in SW swell; fading into the 2ft range along exposed stretches on Friday morning ahead of a gradual building trend setting in later in the day. This should lead in a more substantial push into the 4ft range along the beaches by Saturday, but by that point WNW winds will be lending the focus to the Surf Coast for some small-ish 2 to 3ft sets. The good news is a further push in WSW swell is on the cards for Sunday; probably offering up your best chances for some larger sets nudging into the 3ft plus range along the reefs.
WSW swell slowly builds in under strong NW winds. Probably undersized at 2ft early, building to 2 to 3ft along the exposed beaches during the afternoon. Surf Coast breezy with sets struggling to wrap at 1ft on the reefs, virtually flat elsewhere. WIND: Early NNW 15 to 20 knots tending N 20 to 25 knots during the day, then NNW into the arvo.
Minor SW groundswell fills in and combines with WSW swell. Holding at 3 to 4ft+ along the exposed beaches under textured conditions, picking up a tad later. Wrapping cleaner under west winds at 2 to 3ft along the Surf Coast. WIND: WNW to NW10 to 15 knots, tending W and freshening during the afternoon.
Settling WSW groundswell holds at about 4 to 5ft along the exposed beaches early, while wrapping at an inconsistent 2 to 3ft+ along the Surf Coast reefs. WIND: WNW 10 to 20 knots, tending light and variable to mild seabreeze in the afternoon.
Your surfing options look few and far between across the Southwest this weekend. The onset of a vigorous, pre-frontal NNW airflow on Saturday morning will quickly shut-down the prospect of clean waves. That means its well worth making the most of Friday’s good sized SW swell greeted by light E to NE wind, before tending variable during the afternoon. Once the northerlies set in on Saturday morning, probably your only viable surfing option involves a long drive south to places like Walpole and Denmark, where the robust NNW flow will be blowing offshore all weekend.
Easing in swell under offshore wind conditions. South West: Clean, 3 to 5ft, easing. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 1 to 2ft, easing. WIND: E 5 to 10 knots, tending NE then variable later.
Mid period SW swell bottoms out under offshore morning winds. South West: Clean, 2 to 3ft. Perth/Mandurah: Clean, 0.5 to 1ft at magnets. WIND: NE at 5 to 10 knots shifting north to north-westerly 10 to 15 knots during the morning.
Minor WSW groundswell mixed with a rising NW wind swell. South West coast: Messy, 3 to 4ft+, rising windblown 4 to 6ft+. Perth/Mandurah: Cross shore, 1 to 1.5ft, rising windblown 2 to 3ft. WIND: NNW 20 to 25 knots freshening to 30 to 40 knots in the afternoon. Fresh NNE winds across Metro waters in the morning.
There’s plenty of swell inbound over the coming days but you’ll have to time your run if you want to capitalise on clean conditions. Friday morning offers up a short window of good conditions as NNW winds precede the arrival of a fresh SW change during the day. That leads in a full day of south-westerlies across the coast on Saturday; taking the shine off an otherwise good sized SW swell in the 4ft range across the South Coast. That leaves Sunday as your best option for some cleaner waves in the 2 to 4ft range as winds swing back to the northwest, making for fair cross-offshore options across the South Coast all day.
Minor wind swell rise prior to a stronger mid period SW/WSW swell filling in late. South Coast: Clean in areas, 1 to 2ft+, rising 4ft. Largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Messy 0.5 to 1ft, rising 2ft sets. WIND: WNW at 20 to 25 knots shifting WSW in the afternoon.
Mid period WSW/SW swell peaks under workable winds. South Coast: Clean, 3 to 5ft. Largest sets at magnets Mid Coast: mostly clean, 1 to 2ft+. WIND: WNW at 10 to 15 knots, Possible light variable on the Mid Coast early.
SW swell slowly eases under continued OK winds. South Coast: Clean, 2 to 4ft. Largest at magnets. Mid Coast: Mostly clean, 1 to 1.5ft. WIND: NW at 5 to 10 knots, tending variable in the afternoon. Potential light NE winds across the Mid Coast in the morning.
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