Weekend Surf Forecast 13 - 15 July 2018

12 Jul 2018 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Issued Thursday, 12 July 2018

From a surf-centric perspective, winter remains in full swing around the country. The NSW coast receives yet another cold blast of southerly swell that will keep the good times rolling all weekend; given it mostly coincides with offshore winds – starting WSW to SSW on Saturday before giving way to a lighter W to light and variable pattern on Sunday. Up north, the directional, SSW deepwater swell-direction won’t be so kind to southern Queensland coasts; combining with a minor easterly swell at a fairly meagre 2ft across exposed beaches, with scope for the odd larger set materialising at the magnets on Sunday.

Further south, Victoria sees a string of great days across the state as WNW to NNW winds coincide with a new pulse of SW groundswell; well suited to a wide range of east and south facing breaks. The same swell also greets South Australia under favourable north to north-west winds, making for a full weekend of clean conditions across the South Coast. The only state really missing out on the fun is Western Australia. The Southwest Coast in particular again draws the short-straw; receiving successive days of pounding SW storm-swell under strong and gusty westerly winds.

There's another cracking winter weekend in store around the country.

There's another cracking winter weekend in store around the country.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast.
The good times keep coming across the NSW coast this weekend. The impending development of a relatively weak Tasman low offshore on Friday triggers a steep rise in short-period energy into the afternoon, before topping out at solid 4 to 6ft levels early on Saturday. While southerly swells aren’t exactly the preferred wave-trains for most, there’s still plenty of upside to this event. Locally, winds are forecast to be mostly cooperative; starting out WSW to SW on Saturday morning before tending lighter south during the afternoon. By Sunday conditions are likely to be firing as swell direction tilts to the SSE under a light westerly breeze tending variable into the afternoon.

Friday
Residual SSE swell superseded by rising S windswell during the afternoon. Around 1 to 2ft south facing breaks, speculatively building to 2 to 3ft+ during the afternoon. Grading smaller along open beaches with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early W 15 to 25 knots shifting SSW during the early afternoon.

Saturday
New S swell peaks. Solid sets ranging from 4 to 6ft along south facing beaches, grading to about 2 to 5ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early WSW to SW 10 to 20 knots, tending lighter S during the afternoon.

Sunday
Easing SSE swell. Ranging from 3 to 5ft south facing beaches early, easing into the afternoon. Grading to 2 - 4ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light W 5 to 15 knots, tending light and variable in the afternoon.

The arrival of a new S swell coincides with a predominant westerly wind-regime, making for great conditions across the NSW coast all weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Aquatic Horizons.

The arrival of a new S swell coincides with a predominant westerly wind-regime, making for great conditions across the NSW coast all weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Aquatic Horizons.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
The surf is only going to get smaller before it starts to get bigger again – and even so you’ll probably have to be south of the border if you’re looking for some grunt. A strong directional bias inherent in a rising round of S swell on Saturday effectively precludes southern Queensland from any notable surf – at least until Sunday. Even then, it’s only shaping up as a pretty slow 2 to 3ft at the most exposed Queensland beaches. If you’re looking for more, head south of the border for some larger sets nudging in the 4ft range. On the upside, winds are predominantly offshore both on Saturday and Sunday mornings.

Friday
Residual SSE swell mixing with minor ENE windswell. Potential for 1 to 2ft sets across the more exposed beaches, grading small to near flat along the points and inside the bays. WIND: Early WSW to SW 10 to 15 knots tending S during the afternoon.

Saturday
Rising S windswell gradually supersedes fading ENE swell. Around 2ft exposed open QLD beaches. S swell speculatively rising to a larger 2 to 3ft+ across northern NSW southern exposures during the day and up to a larger 3 to 4ft into the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW to SSW 5 to 15 knots tending S to SE and fading during the afternoon.

Sunday
S swell speculatively ranging from 3 to 5ft exposed northern NSW beaches early, settling during the afternoon. Mixing with slight E tradewind swell at a slow 1 to 3ft along exposed QLD beaches and down to a smaller 1 to 2ft max inside the points and bays. WIND: Early W inshore tending N around 5 to 15 knots later.

The onset of a new S swell event will light up northern NSW coasts, while only glancing southern Queensland as it fills in on Sunday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Ben McGrath.

The onset of a new S swell event will light up northern NSW coasts, while only glancing southern Queensland as it fills in on Sunday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Ben McGrath.

Victoria
As far as mid-winter goes conditions are looking about as user friendly as you could hope for across the Surf Coast this weekend. The arrival of a mid-sized SW groundswell coincides with relatively light west to north-westerlies on Saturday to produce fairly idyllic 4ft conditions on the reefs. Even the exposed beaches are likely to have their moments as winds swing to the north during Saturday afternoon – but if it’s still looking a little too energetic then you’ll have to wait until the swell drops off a foot or two by Sunday.

Friday
Faded SW swell under light winds reinforced by new SSW groundswell later in the day. Ranging from a clean 2 to 4ft along exposed beaches, re-building during the afternoon. Wrapping at slower 1 to 3ft across the Surf Coast reefs, picking up later. WIND: Early light W tending light and variable during the afternoon.

Saturday
Long period SW groundswell peaks, speculatively ranging from a clean 4 to 6ft+ along the exposed beaches, grading to a cross-shore 3 to 5ft on the Surf Coast reefs, easing into the afternoon. WIND: NW 5 to 15 knots, tending N and freshening during the afternoon.

Sunday
Leftover SW groundswell eases as small WSW groundswell moves in during the afternoon. Ranging from 3 to 4ft along the exposed beaches under textured conditions. Wrapping at a slow 2 to 3ft along the Surf Coast reefs and smaller elsewhere. WIND: NW to NNW 15 to 25 knots, tending N later.

The arrival of a mid-sized SW groundswell coincides with consistent northwest to northerly breezes to open up a variety of good surfing options across the state this weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Jordan Smith.

The arrival of a mid-sized SW groundswell coincides with consistent northwest to northerly breezes to open up a variety of good surfing options across the state this weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Jordan Smith.

Western Australia
Another dark and stormy weekend looms across the region this weekend, so unless you’re headed way north your surfing prospects look dim indeed. Gusty, westerly quarter winds are forecast to prevail - for the most part at 15 to 25 knots across the Southwest all weekend - leaving very few places to hide from brunt of conditions. And yes it’s looking big and ugly, but big is a relative term compared to what’s in store for the region early to mid next week.

Friday
Chaotic WSW groundswell builds in under strong onshore westerly winds. South West: Windblown sets to 6 to 8ft+ exposed breaks, building to a stormy 8 to 10ft later. Perth, Mandurah: Choppy 2 to 3ft at magnets. WIND: WSW 20 to 25 knots, easing to 10 to 20 knots during the afternoon.

Saturday
Large WSW groundswell continues under persistent, strong onshore westerlies. South West: Windblown 6 to 10ft exposed areas, easing during the day. Perth/Mandurah: Junky 2ft+ WIND: W 15 to 20 knots, potentially freshening to 20 to 30 knots during the afternoon.

Sunday
Easing mid period SW swell reinforced by large, long-period SW groundswell under strong onshore winds throughout the day. South West: Windblown 6 to 10ft exposed areas. Perth/Mandurah: Junky 2 to 3ft+ exposed beaches, grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: WSW 20 to 25 knots.

Big, rainy and onshore conditions prevail across the Southwest all weekend. It won't be until sometime early to mid-next week that conditions like this are likely to materialise. Photo: Dan Wyer.

Big, rainy and onshore conditions prevail across the Southwest all weekend. It won't be until sometime early to mid-next week that conditions like this are likely to materialise. Photo: Dan Wyer.

South Australia
Three straight days of straight offshore winds is straight up good news for South Australian surfers. The northerly flow comes compliments of a static high pressure system hovering over the southeast of the country; making for clean conditions as a new round of SW groundswell moves in. Expect clean and consistent 2 to 5ft surf across the South Coast, with a whole lot more to come early next week.

Friday
Small SW groundswell peaks under light winds. South Coast: Sets to 3 to 4ft at Waits and Parsons, grading to 1 to 3ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Up to 1ft. WIND: Early light NNW tending light and variable later.

Saturday
Potential for larger SW groundswell under freshening northerly winds. South Coast: 3 to 5ft sets at Waits and Parsons, grading to 2 to 4ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: W swell around 1ft. WIND: N to NW 10 to 15 knots.

Sunday
SW groundswell arrives under freshening NNW winds. South Coast: Clean 2 to 4ft Waits and Parsons, grading to 2 to 3ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Crosshore 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: N to NNW 10 to 20 knots.

A full weekend of offshores holds plenty of promise for South Australian surfers. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Patt Pombart.

A full weekend of offshores holds plenty of promise for South Australian surfers. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Patt Pombart.


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