Weekend Surf Forecast 28 - 30 September 2018
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
Issued Thursday, 27 September 2018
Spring is in the air. You can sense it especially on the East Coast and West Coast as offshore winds, typical of the seasonal shift, grace incoming long period swell lines. A nice long period S groundswell that arrived on the exposed NSW coast Thursday will ease under the typical spring style conditions Friday morning before deteriorating under incoming short range swell sources Saturday and Sunday.
Over in WA, offshore winds will also groom out a nice long period SW groundswell pulse Friday and Saturday. This offers a good couple days out west before swell decreases under S winds Sunday.
Meanwhile, a stronger WSW groundswell source from a storm that crossed under the bight midweek will provide larger surf across SA and Victoria. Look for the WSW swell to hold best in protected corners that can wrap in the refracted WSW sets while not too effected by a dominant westerly wind stream Friday and Saturday. Weather sees improvement through Sunday as high pressure system settles out and swell fades into smaller conditions.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
A good-sized pulse of S groundswell will still likely to be holding good long period sets Friday morning and this will probably mark your last opportunity to get amongst some clean conditions before the swell fades back and winds swing onshore from the NE Saturday. A shift of S windswell on Sunday will favour south exposures for size although likely accompanied by texture.
Good morning of S groundswell. S groundswell eases under light north winds. Ranging from 2 to 3ft+ early south facing breaks, fading throughout the day. Grading smaller elsewhere. WIND: Early light WNW to NW, tending ENE at around 10 knots during the afternoon.
Fading S groundswell overridden with windswell. NE windswell ranging from 1 to 3ft exposed beaches early, gradually superseded by rising S windswell towards 2 to 3ft+ across south facing breaks into the afternoon. WIND: Early light SSW inshore, freshening southerly at around 15 to 25 knots in the arvo.
Short range S swell on exposed breaks early. Short range S swell peaking early at 2 to 4ft south facing breaks, grading to 1 to 3ft exposed open beaches and steadily easing throughout the afternoon. WIND: SW to SSW 5 to 15 knots, tending SE to ESE around 10 knots during the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A S groundswell shows best Friday and likely to generate good sets across the more exposed northern NSW breaks, grading a foot smaller north of the border in QLD. Saturday fresh north winds drive offshore conditions as a high pressure system whips up a rise in NNE swell through the weekend.
SSE sets hold best early. Easing south groundswell combined with a rising north wind swell. Sets ranging from 3 to 4ft+ at exposed northern NSW beaches, grading 1 to 3ft across exposed southern QLD beaches and tiny inside the points and bays before a rising north swell creates windblown peaks into the afternoon. WIND: Early NNW at 10 to 15 knots, tending NNE and freshening 15 to 20 knots later.
Fading SSE sets under rising N wind. Combo left over SSE swell and minor NNE windswell. Ranging from 2 to 3ft+ exposed northern NSW beaches. Grading windblown 1 to 3ft southern QLD exposed coasts and smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early NNW at 10 to 20 knots, tending N and freshening to 15 to 20 knots during the afternoon.
S windswell picks up under fresh southerly winds. Wind waves peak at a junky 3 to 4ft across exposed northern NSW beaches, tending 1 to 3ft along exposed southern Qld coasts and smaller yet cleaner in protected breaks. Size depending on exposure. WIND: Possible SSW inshore early, otherwise S 20 to 25 knots, tending SSE to SE and easing to 15 to 20 knots later.
A series of low pressure systems bring a westerly airstream along with a kick in larger SW, WSW groundswell activity. Expect messy, unruly conditions across exposed beaches while the more protected corners across the Surf Coast should offer up some clean, fun sized swell wrap throughout the weekend.
Rising WSW swells with W’ly winds. Small WSW swell overlapped by a stronger WSW pulse in the afternoon. Wind affected 2 to 3ft+, rising 3 to 4ft+ along exposed beaches. Wrapping at a clean 1 to 2ft across the Surf Coast reefs, rising towards 2 to 3ft. WIND: Early WNW tending WSW 10 to 20 knots during the day.
Continued WSW swell combo. Mid period WSW swell shows under continued west, WSW winds. Messy 4 to 6ft along the exposed beaches, grading to 3 to 4ft on the Surf Coast reefs. WIND: Early W across the Surf Coast, otherwise WSW to SW 10 to 20 knots.
Overlapping mid period SW swell with WSW swell fading. Lumpy 5 to 7ft along the exposed beaches, picking up into the afternoon. Wrapping at semi clean 3 to 4ft along the Surf Coast reefs early, rising later. WIND: West at about 5 to 15 knots before turning SW to SSW in the afternoon.
Good conditions prevail this weekend as we see persistent offshore winds and a slow easing trend in mid sized SW groundswell both Friday and Saturday. Sunday arvo sees a southerly wind-shift, which coincides with the arrival of a distant SW groundswell through the day.
SW groundswell settles under offshore morning winds. Long range SW groundswell slowly eases under offshore winds. South West: Inconsistent 4 to 6ft+ sets across exposed breaks early, settling to 4 to 5ft+ later. Perth/Mandurah: Clean 1 to 2ft+ early, easing later. WIND: ESE 15 to 20 knots early, easing 10 to 15 knots later.
Further ease in SW groundswell under continued offshore morning winds. Leftover SW swell slowly eases, potentially under fresh offshore winds. South West: Clean 3 to 4ft+ sets across exposed breaks early, settling during the afternoon. Perth/Mandurah: Around 1ft+. WIND: ESE at 15 to 20 knots, easing during the day.
Reinforcing SSW groundswell with arvo S wind shift. South West: Potential for semi-clean 3 to 4ft+ sets across exposed breaks, building towards 4 to 5ft+ later. Perth, Mandurah: Clean around 1 to 2ft at exposed beaches. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots, tending S during the day and freshening later. Grading light ESE across Metro waters in the morning.
An exiting front leaves a westerly airstream in its wake and kicks in a larger SW, WSW groundswell combo. Look for the more protected corners to offer up some cleaner, fun sized options. Meanwhile the Mid should also see some long awaited swell with scope for increased 2ft sets Friday afternoon and into Saturday morning.
Rise in WSW/SW groundswell and W winds. South Coast: Sets ranging from 3 to 5ft+ Waits and Parsons, rising 6ft+. Grading to 2 to 3ft+ around Middleton, bigger later. Mid Coast: WSW swell around 1 to 1.5ft, rising 2ft+ sets. WIND: WSW to SW 10 to 20 knots, tending SSW in the afternoon.
WSW/SW groundswell peaks early. Ranging from a messy 4 to 6ft+ at Waits and Parsons, grading to 2 to 4ft around Middleton. Mid Coast: Unsettled 1 to 2ft+. WIND: SW, SSW 10 to 15 knots, easing later in the afternoon.
Swell directions shifts SW and slowly eases. Mid period SSW groundswell gradually eases under light and variable winds. South Coast: Bumpy 3 to 4ft+ at Waits and Parsons. Grading to 2 to 3ft+ around Middleton and easing later. Mid Coast: Clean 1ft+. WIND: Early WNW to SW 5 to 10 knots, tending S/SE in the afternoon.
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