Weekend Surf Forecast 30 November - 2 December 2018

29 Nov 2018 0 Share

Ben Macartney

Chief Surf Forecaster

COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST

Issued Thursday, 29 November 2018

Summer is upon us people. Before you know it, it’s Christmas, New Year and ahhhh, relax, it the holidays. Until then, most of us are still nose to the grindstone and hoping for a bit of aquatic relief over the weekend. Across the Eastern Seaboard, there’s plenty of waves on tap as a vigorous East Coast Low delivers solid SE and ESE swell across the NSW coast on Friday and Saturday, before fading to relatively low levels by Sunday. The same swell-train carries a much stronger southerly bias as it propagates north, resulting in mid to large surf across northern NSW coasts, but only wrapping at pretty modest levels into southern Queensland coasts as it peaks on Friday and early Saturday.

Further south, a week-long flat spell finally breaks across Victorian and South Australian coasts. A gradual building trend in SW and WSW swells opens up a wide variety of good options under favourable winds on Saturday, trending onshore WSW on Sunday. That leaves the West Coast as the typically most energetic region with respect to swell. The Southwest receives a solid dose of SSW groundswell that should nudge the 6 to 8ft range as it peaks later Saturday through early Sunday, opening up plenty of surfable options across the region under a predominant southerly wind-regime.


The end of spring goes off in style across many states on Friday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Gregoryator.

The end of spring goes off in style across many states on Friday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Gregoryator.

Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast.
The intense coastal low responsible for our latest drenching and subsequent rise in windblown SSE swell has a silver – no – let’s call it a bronze lining over the next few days. A slow decline in short-period SE/ ESE swell sees much improved surfing options as local winds settle back to more typical speeds. Friday morning is shaping up as the pick for size and power as SE swell continues to range from 3 to 5ft. While wave energy will be down a couple of notches by Saturday, conditions will be cleaner and better organised; making for a great day to target an exposed beach as the swell progressively settles. Sunday will be looking a while lot more like summer as higher temperatures greet smaller leftovers in the 2ft range under warm northerly winds.

Friday
Combined SSE and ESE swells around 3 to 4ft+ exposed breaks, grading smaller elsewhere and easing in the afternoon. WIND: SW to SSW 10 to 15 knots, tending S to SE in the afternoon and ESE later.

Saturday
SE swell steadily eases. Initially up to 2 to 4ft exposed breaks, settling to 2 to 3ft during the afternoon. WIND: Early WSW to SSW 5 to 10 knots, turning light E, then NE 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Sunday
Leftover ESE swell. Sets up to a slower 1 to 3ft exposed beaches, fading during the day. WIND: Early light NW to North, tending NNE 10 to 15 knots, then turning West ahead of a late southerly change.


There will be good, clean and still solid waves on offer as SE/ESE swell gradually scales down in size over the next few days. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Aquatic Horizons.

There will be good, clean and still solid waves on offer as SE/ESE swell gradually scales down in size over the next few days. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Aquatic Horizons.

Queensland and Far Northern NSW
There’s no shortage of S and SSE swell inbound across the region over the next few days. This will produce the usual variances in wave-energy – particularly as the bulk of swell arrives from a straight southerly direction on Friday. The weekend sees a slight shift in direction to the SSE opening up a more equitable distribution of swell both north and south of the border – but even so you’ll probably need to be on the latter side if you want to get amongst some size and power.

Friday
S swell gradually eases under early southwesterly winds. Sets ranging from 4 to 6ft+ exposed northern NSW beaches, grading to anywhere from 3 to 5ft open beaches depending on exposure. Wrapping at 2 to 4ft exposed QLD breaks and down to a smaller 1 to 2ft inside the points and bays. WIND: Early light WSW to SSW, tending SE to Easterly 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Saturday
Easing SSE swell ranging from 3 to 4ft across northern NSW south facing beaches, settling to 2 to 3ft+ later. Wrapping at 2 to 3ft exposed southern QLD coasts, grading smaller inside the bays and along the points. WIND: Early light West to SW land-breezes, tending light and variable, then N to NE up to 10 to 15 knots later.

Sunday
Fading SSE swell up to 2 to 3ft northern NSW exposed coasts, smaller during the afternoon. Wrapping at a slow 2ft or so across exposed QLD breaks and smaller along the points and inside the bays. WIND: Early NW to NNW 10 to 15 knots, tending Northerly 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon.

Locations south of the border will pull in the lion's share of an inbound S/SSE swell this weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by RGL.

Locations south of the border will pull in the lion's share of an inbound S/SSE swell this weekend. Photo: Uploaded to CW by RGL.

Victoria
A fairly run of the mill, mid-sized SW swell may well bring tears of joy to wave-starved Victorians on Friday morning. In the wake of a rare, extended flat spell, Friday will dawn with beautiful 3 to 4ft waves across exposed breaks under light winds – and it wil continue to gradually build in size as winds turn moderate onshore during the afternoon. If you can’t get to the water until Saturday, then you’ll be pleased to hear conditions are looking even better. A solid run of mid-period WSW swell holds good 3 to 5ft potential across exposed beaches, grading to about half the size along the Surf Coast – and winds look like coming to the party as they swing from NW to NE during the day. A stronger building trend is anticipated under westerly quarter winds throughout Sunday, lending the focus to the Surf Coast as the swell builds – and potentially leading in some good to great conditions on Monday.

Friday
SW groundswell around 3 to 4ft along exposed beaches early, building towards 3 to 5ft in the afternoon. Wrapping at a slower 2 to 3ft along the Surf Coast reefs, bigger later. WIND: Early light and variable around 5 to 10 knots, tending SW to SSE 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon.

Saturday
WSW groundswell ranging from 4 to 5ft along exposed beaches early, settling marginally during the afternoon. Wrapping at 2 to 4ft along the Surf Coast reefs and smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light NW to NNW land-breezes, tending NE during the morning, then variable during the afternoon.

Sunday
Reinforcing WSW groundswell picks up. Around 3 to 5ft along the exposed beaches early, rising to 4 to 6ft+ during the morning and up to 6 to 8ft in the afternoon. Wrapping at about 2 to 3ft+ along the Surf Coast reefs, building to 3 to 4ft+ during the day and bigger later. WIND: WSW around 15 to 25 knots, tending W to WNW and easing later.

Victoria's exposed beaches make a welcome return to form as a solid run of SW swell coincides with favourable winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Admeeb.

Victoria's exposed beaches make a welcome return to form as a solid run of SW swell coincides with favourable winds. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Admeeb.

Western Australia
The usual good, bad and ugly surfing options present themselves across the West Coast over the coming days. Some of your best chances for some solid, clean waves will arrive early on Friday as lighter ESE breezes greet a still thumping SSW swell ranging anywhere from 5 to 8ft across exposed Southwest coasts. It is, however, one of the rare windows for good conditions. A new ridge building over the coast on Saturday morning sees moderate SSW winds prevailing from the outset, making for a full day of less-than-ideal contions as SSW swell rebuilds. For now there’s some variance in the modelling for Sunday, with some model runs showing a moderate southerly flow in place early. This may, however, become lighter SE/ SSE on Sunday morning, opening up somewhat better options as a still large SSW groundswell begins to subside.

Friday
SSW groundswell gradually eases under early light offshore winds. South West: Scope for semi-clean 5 to 8ft sets across exposed breaks, settling later. Perth/Mandurah: Around 1 to 3ft. WIND: ESE to SE 5 to 15 knots, turning SSW to SW and freshening to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.

Saturday
Reinforcing SSW swell picks up under southerly winds. South West: Cross-shore 4 to 6ft+ across exposed breaks, rebuilding towards a windblown 6 to 8ft in the afternoon. Perth, Mandurah: Around 2 to 3ft at exposed beaches. WIND: SSW 15 to 20 knots, tending South and easing later.

Sunday
Easing SW groundswell settles under southerly winds. Southwest: Wind-affected 5 to 8ft sets across exposed breaks, fading to 4 to 6ft+ in the afternoon. Perth/Mandurah: Clean in the 1 to 2 range. WIND: Southerly, SSE 5 to 15 knots, freshening in the afternoon.

There will be solid waves on tap across the Southwest this weekend, albeit under a predominant southerly airflow. Photo: Uploaded to CW by DLR.

There will be solid waves on tap across the Southwest this weekend, albeit under a predominant southerly airflow. Photo: Uploaded to CW by DLR.

South Australia
Like Victoria, SA will finally benefit from an upswing in SSW swell this weekend – and given it’s all relative – the waves will be looking pretty damn good – even as winds turn onshore on Friday. They will, however, become particularly inviting as winds swing N to NE and the swell picks up on Saturday – and it’s well worth making the most of it before a dreaded WSW airflow sets in on Sunday.

Friday
SSW groundswell builds in under early light winds, tending onshore. Sets up to a junky 2 to 3ft+ at Waits and Parsons, wrapping at 1 to 2ft+ into Middleton, picking up into the afternoon. Mid Coast: Flat to 1ft. WIND: Early light and variable to SSW 5 to 10 knots, tending South to SSE 5 to 15 knots in the arvo.

Saturday
SSW groundswell around 3 to 4ft+ around Waits and Parsons, grading to 2 to 3ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Sets around 1ft. WIND: Light N to NE 15 to 20 knots, turning SW 20 to 25 knots in the late afternoon.

Sunday
Potential for rising SW swell. South Coast: Around 3 to 5ft+ around Waits and Parsons, picking up to 4 to 6ft in the afternoon. Scope for solid 2 to 4ft sets around Middleton, building to 3 to 4ft+. Mid Coast: Up to 1 to 2ft. WIND: SW, WSW 15 to 25 knots. Easing marginally in the afternoon.

At long last there will be good, clean waves on tap as winds swing NNE across the state on Saturday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Luke Gordon.

At long last there will be good, clean waves on tap as winds swing NNE across the state on Saturday. Photo: Uploaded to CW by Luke Gordon.


Tags: Weekend Surf Forecast , Ben Macartney (create Alert from these tags)

blog comments powered by Disqus
More From Weekend Surf Forecast
Weekend Surf Forecast 7 - 9 December 2018

Weekend Surf Forecast 7 - 9 December 2018

The weekend brings surf. And plenty of it.

6 Dec 2018
Recent

REVIEW: Oceans of Inspiration

Two new books show how an ocean-based life can have far reaching impacts.

1 14 Dec 2018
"They Thought We Were Crazy"

"They Thought We Were Crazy"

12 Dec 2018
Watch: A Stunning Film on a Photographer

Watch: A Stunning Film on a Photographer

11 Dec 2018
All you Need to Know About Burleigh Single Fin

All you Need to Know About Burleigh Single Fin

10 Dec 2018
Watch: An Autumn Swell To Remember At Nazaré

Watch: An Autumn Swell To Remember At Nazaré

10 Dec 2018
Latest News

REVIEW: Oceans of Inspiration

Two new books show how an ocean-based life can have far reaching impacts.

"They Thought We Were Crazy"

RIP Scott Dillon, first of the wild boys.

Watch: A Stunning Film on a Photographer

Trent Mitchell has the lens turned in his direction for a change.

All you Need to Know About Burleigh Single Fin

"Possibly the toughest field ever!"

Watch: An Autumn Swell To Remember At Nazaré

Two huge and perfect swells ushered in the beginning of big-wave season at Nazaré and the surfers put on an epic show that we won't be forgetting in a hurry.

Popular This Week

The QS Is Really Bad but Could Be Really Good, Plus Harry Bryant Rules and Is This the Wave of the Winter?

This Week In Surfing: Ten Things From Surfing & The Internet On The Week That Was December 7, 2018

Roasted and Toasted: Mick on Parko

"He’s going to hate me for this, but it’s an amazing story."

NICK CARROLL: The Next RSL

Sign of the times! Boardriders’ clubs have... clubs!

Go to Top