Weekend Surf Forecast 12 - 14 April, 2019
COASTALWATCH | WEEKEND SURF FORECAST
The majority of surfers I talk to lately, the sentiment is usually the same: How good is it (ie the surf) at this time of year. And yes, generally speaking, it is. I for one have already managed to bank a couple of dear-diary moments – and with any luck there will be plenty more to come through mid to late autumn. Having said all that, you could probably find the kind of conditions on offer across Eastern Seaboard this weekend at any given day of the year.
The region remains under the influence of a mix of small-scale swell-trains; ranging from ESE across southern Queensland and far northern NSW, to South and Southeast across Sydney and surrounds. For the most part, that means a continuation of 2ft surf and occasionally bigger across the vast majority of exposed stretches of coast all weekend. Across the southern states, Huey is singing a similar tune. The presence of a strong, blocking high pressure system over the southeast of the continent suppresses usually energetic SW swell; both across South Australian and Victorian coasts throughout the weekend. That pretty much looks like capping set waves to about 3ft along the more exposed south and southwest facing breaks across both states all weekend – and like the rest of the country, early offshore land-breezes will be offering up the best of conditions both on Saturday and Sunday.
Once again, it’s only across the West Coast that we see something more substantial on the surfing menu. That takes the form of a thumping SW groundswell filling in during the early hours of Friday; rapidly transforming conditions as it kicks in size under offshore easterly quarter winds throughout the morning. That’s set to culminate in another excellent day of waves on Saturday as a still sizeable SW swell gradually scales down under early ENE winds.
Sydney, Newcastle and the South Coast
It’s all pretty small looking stuff when it comes to surf across the NSW coast this weekend – but something is always better than nothing. Short period SSE leftovers are set to bottom out on Friday, ahead of a minor increase in mid-period South-groundswell on Saturday; probably not exceeding the 2 to 3ft mark across the most south facing stretches. The tail-end of this energy starts to mix-in with some very minor, short-period SE windswell on Sunday; for the most part keeping wave-energy in the 1 to 2ft range. As per the autumn norm, the morning hours will be the pick as early offshore land-breezes make for clean conditions, before deteriorating in the afternoons.
Leftover South swell reinforced by small S groundswell in the afternoon. Slow sets in the 2ft range across south facing beaches, ranging from 1 to 2ft along the open beaches with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light WSW to SW 5 to 10 knots, tending light and variable, then NE 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Small Southerly groundswell fills in. Slow sets ranging from 2 to 3ft south facing beaches, otherwise smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WNW around 5 to 10 knots, turning Northerly, then NE and freshening to 10 to 15 knots during the afternoon.
Small SSE groundswell around 2ft south facing beaches, grading to 1 to 2ft elsewhere with size depending on exposure and fading in the afternoon. WIND: Early light Westerly tending Southerly, then SSE to SE 5 to 15 knots in the afternoon.
Queensland and Far Northern NSW
A continuation of small, short-period windswell won’t exactly get the adrenalin pumping this weekend – but at least there’s waves; mostly amounting to 2ft along the more exposed beaches with occasional larger sets. Conditions will be best during the early mornings, while inshore SSW winds opening up clean conditions, before south-easterlies develop during the days.
Mix of South and ESE/SE swells. Sets ranging from 2 to 3ft along exposed open beaches, wrapping at 1 to 2ft along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light WSW to SSW, tending SSE to SE 10 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Faded ESE and South swells. Around 2ft+ exposed open breaks, grading to 1 to 2ft along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early light WSW to SSW inshore, turning SE 10 to 15 knots.
Potential for small Easterly windswell up to 2ft along exposed breaks, otherwise grading to 1 to 2ft at best along the points and inside the bays with size depending on exposure and fading later. WIND: Early lighter WSW to SSW inshore, turning SE around 10 to 15 knots, possibly stronger in the arvo.
The exposed beaches beckon on Friday as the tail-end of an easing SW swell coincides with offshore N to NE winds – but that’s about where the good news ends. Saturday is shaping up as comparatively lacklustre; featuring smaller SW leftovers and westerly quarter winds that will add little value to the fading swell. While ESE winds are set to take the shine off conditions on Sunday, it looks like it will be pretty light – and may even drop to variable of light NE in the afternoon – again opening up good conditions along the more exposed stretches as small-scale SW persists.
Easing SW swell under offshore winds. Around 3 to 4ft along exposed beaches early, settling to 2 to 3ft in the arvo. Sets up around 2 to 3ft along the Surf Coast reefs early, easing later. WIND: North, NW to NE 5 to 10 knots, tending WNW in the afternoon.
Mix of smaller WSW and SW swells. Around 2 to 3ft along the exposed beaches, bumping up a bit in the late afternoon. Wrapping at a slow 1 to 2ft along the Surf Coast reefs and smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: WNW to NW 5 to 10 knots, turning West to SW during the day, then to South to SSE 10 to 15 knots in the arvo.
Combination of small WSW and SW groundswells. Up to a wind-affected 2 to 3ft+ along the exposed beaches, wrapping at a junky 1 to 2ft+ or so along the Surf Coast reefs, inconsistent in the upper range and otherwise smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. WIND: Early SE to ESE 10 to 15 knots, freshening to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
The Southwest is once again on the pump – at least over the next 48 hours; compliments of a new, robust SW groundswell kicking in on Thursday night. This episode is on track to peak in the 6 to 8ft plus realm across exposed coasts on Friday and it should continue to produce plenty of size as it gradually abates throughout Saturday. With both days featuring early, easterly quarter wind, it will be well worth milking it for all its worth. By Sunday you’ll very likely be looking at strong onshore westerly winds ripping into the tail end of the swell; marking the first in a string of stormy, onshore days prevailing across the region over the course of next week.
New SW groundswell kicks in. Southwest: Around 5 to 8ft early, peaking at a clean 6 to 8ft+ along exposed breaks during the day. Grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth: Around 2 to 3ft at the magnets, otherwise smaller elsewhere. WIND: ESE 5 to 15 knots in the early morning, tending Easterly, then shifting South to SSW 15 to 20 knots in the arvo.
Easing SW groundswell under freshening onshores. South West: Choppy sets up to 5 to 6ft+ at the most exposed breaks early, slowly easing in the afternoon. Perth/Mandurah: About 1 to 2ft. WIND: Light ENE 5 to 15 knots, tending NE during the morning, then turning WNW and freshening to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon.
Settled SW swell. South West: Windy, choppy sets around 3 to 4ft at the most exposed breaks, fading during the day before rebuilding in the late afternoon. Otherwise grading smaller elsewhere with size depending on exposure. Perth/Mandurah: Messy in the 1ft range. WIND: WNW 15 to 25 knots, tending Westerly and freshening to 20 to 30 knots in the afternoon.
There are reasonably good conditions to be had if you’re willing to go early over the next few days. A couple of days of smaller-scale SW swell will initially lend the focus to the more exposed South Coast beaches on Friday and Saturday, ahead of a stronger pulse materialising by Sunday. Conditions will, however, deteriorate pretty quickly as SE quarter winds get up to 10 to 15 knots both on Saturday and Sunday.
Smaller-scale SSW swell under northerly winds. South Coast: Clean sets ranging from 2 to 3ft at Waits and Parsons. Wrapping at 1 to 2ft at Middleton. Mid Coast: Up to 0.5ft. WIND: Northerly, NE 10 to 15 knots, tending NW in the afternoon, then variable later.
SW continues early under onshore winds. South Coast: Windy 2 to 3ft+ at Waits and Parsons, bumping up in the arvo. Grading to a choppy 1 to 2ft around Middleton, bumping up in the afternoon. Mid Coast: Junky 0.5ft. WIND: Early light and variable, tending SSW to SSE 5 to 15 knots, SE later.
Potential for stronger SW groundswell under light to moderate onshore winds. South Coast: Sets ranging from 3 to 4ft at Waits and Parsons. Wrapping at 2 to 3ft around Middleton, easing in the afternoon. Mid Coast: About 0.5 to 1ft. WIND: ESE 10 to 15 knots, tending lighter SSE to SE 5 to 15 knots.
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